| 研究生: |
葉承楙 Yeh, Chen-Mao |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
淨值市價比及信用風險指標(O-score與TCRI)運用在投資績效之分析 Book-to-Market Equity, Distress Risk, and Stock Returns |
| 指導教授: |
李宏志
Li, Hung-Chih |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 財務金融研究所 Graduate Institute of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2005 |
| 畢業學年度: | 93 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 74 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 價值股 、報酬來源 、淨值市價比 、信用風險指標 、成長股 、投資績效 、三因子模式 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | BE/ME, performance, Distress Risk |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:114 下載:7 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究以台灣股票市場上市、櫃公司為樣本,探討不同風格特性之股票其投資報酬率是否出現顯著差異。本研究參考學者Griffin and Lemmon(2002)研究方法,利用「淨值市價比」作為分類價值股與成長股的依據,再以兩種財務危機風險評量指標O-score及TCRI進行區分,將標的公司發生財務危機風險之機率進行排序比較,探討結果是否呈現差異,並選取較適合的財務危機風險評量指標,進一步探討此分類下,不同規模的公司其投資績效是否產生顯著之變化。同時進一步延伸Fama and French(1995)三因子模型,再納入財務危機風險(Griffin and Lemmon, 2002)及非財務變數董監持股比率(Daily and Dalton, 1994),試圖對台灣股票市場報酬來源提出解釋,暨望能對影響台灣股票市場報酬來源提供較完整的解釋。
實証結果顯示進行股票風格分類時,財務危機指標採O-score分類所得結果較TCRI為佳,代表TCRI指標較不適用在本研究之分類上。此外,本研究根據「淨值市價比」及「O-score」分類下,考量公司規模因素對投資績效之影響,結果發現無論公司規模,均呈現價值股報酬顯著優於成長股,且財務危機發生機率大致與投資報酬率呈反向關係。此外,無論公司規模,大部分價值型投資組合呈現顯著優於市場報酬,而成長型投資組合則呈現顯著劣於市場報酬之現象。
報酬來源之實證結果發現台灣股票市場中,市場因素及淨值市價比因素對股票報酬有顯著的正向關係,而財務危機因素與董監持股因素對股票報酬則呈現負向關係,但公司規模與報酬來源之關係,在不同模式呈現之結果有所差異。此外發現四因子模式所能提供之解釋能力確實優於Fama and French三因子模型,而五因子模式與四因子模式之使用時機依公司規模而有所差異。
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