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研究生: 木瑞彬
Mutayomba, Renatus Libent
論文名稱: 坦尚尼亞達累斯薩拉姆的公眾對洪水風險的認知和基於社區的備災案例研究
Public Perceptions of Flood risk and Community-based disaster Preparedness, a case study in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
指導教授: 王筱雯
Wang, Hsiao-Wen
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 自然災害減災及管理國際碩士學位學程
International Master Program on Natural Hazards Mitigation and Management
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 108
外文關鍵詞: public perception, flood risks, community, preparedness, disaster management
相關次數: 點閱:125下載:5
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  • Flood disasters are considered as one of the most devastating natural disasters. In Tanzania, floods occur putting at risk hundreds of thousand livelihoods every year. This study explored and analyzed the community flood perception, flood experiences, information channel, and future adaptation concentrating on the variables that affect how the public is aware of, prepared for, and respond to flood threats by administering questionnaire surveys across five districts in Dar es Salaam in Tanzania. Findings were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics supported by the software SPSS (v17.0). The results indicated that residents even with flood experiences never participated in any evacuation or training drill, meaning that respondents who experienced flood in the past years never took any disaster prevention measures. Moreover, there is significant difference in how the respondents are aware of flood potential and evacuation maps and their flood experiences. Surprisingly, more than half of the participants (55%) have encountered flooding incidents between one and six occasions, while 5% of the respondents have experienced floods on more than ten occasions. Additionally, respondents with prior flood experience exhibit greater worry (p value < 0.05) about flood disasters, house damage, injuries, and overall flood damage compared to those without such experience. Regarding flood improvement strategies and adaptability, more respondents suggest more education, accessible and reliable communication channels and regular disaster training. It is expected this study can be used by local policy makers in the improvement of the current flood risk management system.

    Acknowledgement III Table of Contents IV List of Tables VII List of Figures VIII List of Abbreviations IX 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Research background 1 1.2 Research motivation and purpose 3 1.3 Research questions 4 1.4 Research framework 4 1.5 Organization of thesis 7 2 Literature Review 9 2.1 The public perception of flood risks and disaster preparedness 9 2.2 Floods in Dar es salaam 16 3 Methodology 23 3.1 Study area 23 3.2 General overview of flood events in Dar es salaam from 1986-2020 23 3.3 Sampling questionnaires 27 3.3.1 Question design and measures 27 3.3.2 Socio demographic information 28 3.3.3 Risk , knowledge and behaviour perception 29 3.3.4 Information and communication and future adaptations 30 3.4 Data collection 30 3.5 Statistical analysis 32 4 Results and Discussion 35 4.1 Socio-demographic details 35 4.2 Flooding experience 38 4.3 Flood knowledge 40 4.3.1 Sources of flood events. 40 4.3.2 Strategies for reducing flood impacts 41 4.3.3 Helpfulness of preparedness information 43 4.3.4 Understanding of 100-year return period 45 4.4 Variance analysis (ANOVA) and T-test comparing location, gender and worry 46 4.5 Perception and behavior 52 4.5.1 Flood training and evacuation 52 4.5.2 Individual behaviours 53 4.5.3 Authority to be contacted for getting help 53 4.6 Information and communication 55 4.6.1 Flood disaster information delivery 55 4.6.2 Channel for information and communication 56 4.6.3 Average timely of receiving flood information warning 57 4.6.1 Trust channel for flood disaster information 58 4.7 Future adaptation for flood disaster 59 4.7.1 Facing flood disaster in future 59 4.7.2 Flood perception based of climate changes 60 5 Discussion 64 5.1 Flood disaster experiences 64 5.2 Community Flood perception based on knowledge 65 5.2.1 The sources of flood events 65 5.2.2 Strategies for reducing flood impacts 65 5.2.3 Trust and Preference of channel for risk information and communication for future 66 5.2.4 Awareness of flood information maps 66 5.2.5 Helpfulness of availability of preparedness information. 67 5.2.6 Understanding of the 100-year return period 68 5.3 Behaviors and worry 68 5.4 Flood improvement and adaptation for future 70 6 Conclusion and Recommendation 72 Reference 75 Appendix 92

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