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研究生: 趙家琦
Chao, Chia-Chi
論文名稱: 美國商業銀行備抵呆帳是否隱含未來不良貸款水準之資訊?
Does Loan Loss Reserve of US Commercial Banks Contain Information for Future Level of NPL?
指導教授: 王澤世
Wang, Tse-Shih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 33
中文關鍵詞: 備抵呆帳不良貸款
外文關鍵詞: loan loss reserve, NPL
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  • 自從2008年美國金融風暴發生後,商業銀行對於不良貸款的發生與備抵呆帳的提列愈加重視。然而在巴塞爾協議П (New Basel Accord)後,如何在維持一定資本與提高備抵呆帳之間取得平衡成為銀行需克服的難題。本篇研究發現盈餘與備抵呆帳之間的抵換對於規模較小的銀行較有影響,也因而會進行些微的盈餘管理。
    本篇研究主要探討不良貸款與備抵呆帳間之相互關係,由於備抵呆帳為裁決性(discretionary)項目,本篇研究指出備抵呆帳提列時會以不良貸款為重要依據。同樣的,不良貸款雖為非裁決性(non-discretionary)項目,但本篇研究發現備抵呆帳仍能影響不良貸款,隱含著銀行雖無法增加或減少不良貸款的提列,但仍可藉由備抵呆帳所提供的額外資訊以得知未來不良貸款的水準以評估更準確的信用風險。

    Since the financial crisis in 2008 in America, commercial banks attach great importance to NPL and LLR. However, the balance of capital requirements and LLR is more difficult to maintain for banks after New Basel Accord regulated. Our study suggests that small banks have to earning-smooth to meet both conditions.
    The main purpose for our study is the interrelation between LLR and NPL. Due to LLR is a discretionary term, which can decide by banks, we suggest that NPL is a significant determinant when recording LLR. Similarly, although NPL is a non-discretionary term, we find that LLR have a positive impact on it. Implicating LLR contains extra information for NPL, which is helpful for banks to evaluate the credit risk precisely.

    Content 摘 要 I Abstract II 誌謝 III Chapter 1. Introduction 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Motivation and contribution 2 Chapter 2. Literature Review 4 2.1 The information content between LLP/LLR and NPL 4 2.2 The determinants of LLP/LLR 4 2.3 The signal effect of LLP/LLR 5 2.4 Procyclicality of LLP/LLR 6 2.5 The earnings-smoothing incentives 7 2.6 The capital management 7 Chapter 3. Data Measures and Methodology 9 3.1 Sample selection 9 3.2 Descriptive statistics 2 14 3.3 Methodology 19 3.3.1 Main models 19 3.3.2 Additional models 20 Chapter 4. Empirical Results 22 4.1 Results of regression of LLR/ LLP 22 4.1.1 All Banks 22 4.1.2 Large Banks and Small Banks 23 4.2 Results of regression of NPL 25 4.2.1 All Banks 25 4.2.2 Large Banks and Small Banks 27 Chapter 5. Conclusion 30 Reference 32

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