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研究生: 孫明園
Sun, ming yuan
論文名稱: 臺灣陸域風力機退役葉片回收技術之環境與經濟效益評估:應用Weibull分佈與生命週期評估
Environmental and Economic Benefits Assessment of Recycling Technologies for Blade Waste from Onshore Wind Turbines in Taiwan:An Application of Weibull Distribution and Life Cycle Assessment
指導教授: 黃韻勳
Huang, Yun Hsun
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 資源工程學系
Department of Resources Engineering
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 122
中文關鍵詞: 廢棄風機葉片Weibull生命週期評估氧化液化循環經濟
外文關鍵詞: Waste wind turbine blades, Weibull distribution, Life cycle assessment, Oxidation liquefaction, Circular economy
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  • 隨全球氣候變遷與能源加速轉型,風力發電已成為重要再生能源之一,然陸域風機葉片多由玻璃纖維強化複合材料構成,於退役後不易回收,逐漸成為再生能源發展下的新興廢棄物議題。鑒於臺灣陸域風電設備即將陸續屆齡,未來廢棄葉片數量勢將快速增加,亟需建立完善之回收體系與評估機制。本研究以臺灣陸域風機葉片為研究對象,首先採用 Weibull 壽命失效函數,推估2000至2050年間葉片之退役量,並考量具再生資源回收路徑計算其經濟效益,其次,運用生命週期評估方法,比較掩埋、水泥窯協同處理與氧化液化三種回收技術之環境衝擊,以ReCiPe 2016中間點與終點指標量化人類健康、生態系統品質與資源耗竭等影響。考量氧化液化技術尚處實驗室階段,本研究進一步導入技術擴大框架,將實驗數據轉換為商業化規模,並透過不確定性分析,檢視關鍵參數變動對三大終點環境衝擊類別之影響。
    研究結果顯示,臺灣陸域風機葉片廢棄量自2011年起開始零星出現,於2019至2024年間呈現逐漸上升之趨勢,至2050年累積廢棄葉片約 9,202 噸。再生資源回收路徑之效益結果顯示,氧化液化之潛在經濟價值顯著高於水泥窯協同處理。環境評估結果顯示,水泥窯協同處理可透過替代燃煤與原生礦物原料,在多數環境衝擊指標上優於傳統水泥熟料製程;氧化液化雖在再生資源經濟效益具高價值回收潛力,然現階段技術條件下,於三大環境衝擊指標上仍存在較高環境負荷。
    綜合環境衝擊與經濟效益之評估結果,建議臺灣採取分階段推動回收策略,短期以水泥窯協同處理為核心,搭配掩埋過渡性因應措施,同步啟動化學回收示範計畫;中長期則視先進化學回收技術於經濟與環境面向改善進程,循序導入高值材料回收之補充路徑。

    Wind power is central to Taiwan’s decarbonization efforts; however, end-of-life recycling of wind turbine blades composed of glass fiber–reinforced composites poses numerous challenges. This study projected blade retirements in Taiwan from 2000 to 2050 using a Weibull distribution model. We then assessed the environmental impact based on a life cycle assessment using the ReCiPe 2016 method, comparing three possible end-of-life pathways: landfilling, cement co-processing, and oxidative liquefaction.
    Onshore blade decommissioning in Taiwan began sporadically in 2011, followed by a progressive upward trend between 2019 and 2024. By 2050, the cumulative blade waste is projected to reach approximately 9,202 tons. Among the pathways assessed, cement co-processing involving the substitution of coal and raw materials in clinker production was shown to have the greatest environmentally benefits. Oxidative liquefaction would provide the highest economic returns but also the greatest environmental burden. Uncertainty analysis revealed that the costs of landfilling and cement co-processing are highly sensitive to transportation distances, whereas oxidative liquefaction depends primarily on hydrogen peroxide consumption and wastewater discharge.
    Overall, our results support a phased recycling strategy: near-term deployment of cement co-processing, supplemented by limited landfilling and pilot-scale chemical recycling, followed by a gradual transition toward higher-value material recovery as chemical recycling technologies mature.

    中文摘要 II Abstract III 致謝 VII 目錄 VIII 表目錄 XI 圖目錄 XII 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第三節 研究架構 3 第四節 研究範圍與限制 6 第二章 文獻回顧 7 第一節 國外文獻 7 第二節 國內文獻 9 第三節 小結 11 第三章 廢棄風機葉片回收技術與制度現況 12 第一節 風機葉片結構 12 第二節 廢棄風機葉片回收方式 13 一、機械回收 13 二、水泥窯協同處理 14 三、熱處理 15 四、化學回收 15 第三節 廢棄風機葉片回收現況與相關法規 18 一、歐盟 18 二、美國 22 三、英國 23 四、臺灣 24 第四節 小結 25 第四章 研究方法 26 第一節 Weibull 壽命失效函數 26 一、方法簡介 26 二、資料搜集與前處理 28 三、Weibull 分佈情境設定 29 第二節 經濟評估 30 一、方法簡介 30 二、回收經濟效益情境設定 31 第三節 生命週期評估 33 一、方法簡介 33 二、目標範疇與界定 35 三、資料前處理與盤查清單 40 四、衝擊評估 46 五、不確定性分析 47 第五章 結果與討論 50 第一節 陸域風機葉片廢棄量預測 50 第二節 經濟效益 51 一、水泥窯協同處理回收產物經濟效益 51 二、氧化液化回收產物經濟效益 52 第三節 生命週期評估分析結果 54 一、三種回收方式之綜合討論 55 二、三種回收處理程序之熱點分析 57 三、水泥窯再生資源回收效益評估 58 四、氧化液化再生資源回收效益評估 61 五、不確定性分析 64 第六章 結論與建議 74 第一節 結論 74 第二節 建議 76 參考文獻 79 附錄 I

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