| 研究生: |
王余尹 Wang, Yu-Yin |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
使用太陽能發電模擬軟體進行既有太陽能案場之成本效益分析 Cost-Benefit Analysis of Existing Solar Sites by Using Solar Power Simulation Software |
| 指導教授: |
蔡明田
Tsai, Ming-Tien |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
工學院 - 工程管理碩士在職專班 Engineering Management Graduate Program(on-the-job class) |
| 論文出版年: | 2024 |
| 畢業學年度: | 112 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 65 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 太陽能發電模擬軟體 、成本效益分析 、太陽光電系統 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Solar power simulation software, Cost-benefit analysis, Photovoltaic (PV) system |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:124 下載:25 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究旨在透過使用太陽能模擬軟體,對太陽能案場進行成本效益分析,並將模擬結果與實際案場數據進行比較。本研究共使用三種主流太陽能模擬軟體:PVsyst、PV*SOL premium及SolarEdge Designer,這些工具被廣泛在學術界使用,提供了從初步設計到詳細報告的全面功能,包括太陽能光伏系統的發電量產出預測、財務分析、遮陰模擬、3D建模功能、氣象資訊。
透過這些模擬軟體,本研究首先確立了模擬與實際中太陽能光電系統的建置,希望能夠完全相仿,達到最佳模擬,包括太陽能板的種類、排列和傾斜角度、建置容量,以及逆變器廠牌的匹配。隨後,利用收集到的氣候數據和地理信息,對每個案場的年度能源產出進行了精確模擬。這些數據被用來估計20年後的投資回報率(ROI)、淨現值(NPV)和內部收益率(IRR),這些指標是評估項目經濟可行性的關鍵。
模擬結果顯示,雖然各軟體在預測能源產出方面存在細微差異,但它們在財務分析方面提供了一致的結論,證明所選案場具有良好的投資效益。此外,透過與實際案場運營數據的比較,本研究確認了模擬軟體在預測太陽能系統性能方面的準確性和可靠性,雖然也發現了一些偏差,這些主要由於實際氣候條件、人為誤差、系統計算差異所致。
最後,本研究進行了敏感性分析,探討了太陽能板成本、電價變動和政策變化等因素對項目經濟效益的影響。結果表明,雖然外部經濟和政策因素對太陽能項目的財務表現有顯著影響,但透過精確的系統設計和財務規劃,風險可以得到有效管理。
This study aims to perform a cost-benefit analysis of solar sites using solar simulation software and to compare the simulated results with actual field data. Three leading solar simulation software tools were employed: PVsyst, PV*SOL premium, and SolarEdge-Designer. The simulation results indicate that while there are slight differences in the prediction of energy output among the software, they provide consistent conclusions in terms of financial analysis, demonstrating that the selected sites have a favorable investment outlook. The findings suggest that through precise system design and financial planning, risks can be effectively managed.
[1]經濟部能源署, "111年發電概況," [Online]. Available: https://www.moeaea.gov.tw/ECW/populace/content/Content.aspx?menu_id=14437. [Accessed Feb 2024].
[2]L. A. G. D. A. C. L. L. T. A. &. B. A. N. R. Constantino, "Cost and Benefit Analysis of Solar Panels at Home," International Journal of Advanced Engineering, Management and Science, 2023.
[3]再生能源資訊網, "再生能源資訊網," 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.re.org.tw/default.aspx. [Accessed Feb 2024].
[4]台灣積體電路製造股份有限公司, "台灣積體電路製造股份有限公司," 2023. [Online]. Available: https://pr.tsmc.com/chinese/news/3067. [Accessed Jan 2024].
[5]臺南市政府全球資訊網, "臺南市低碳城市自治條例," Dec 2022. [Online]. Available: https://law01.tainan.gov.tw/glrsnewsout/NewsContent.aspx?id=450. [Accessed Sep 2023].
[6]U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, "End-of-Life Management for Solar Photovoltaics," [Online]. Available: https://www.energy.gov/eere/solar/end-life-management-solar-photovoltaics. [Accessed Mar 2024].
[7]全國法規資料庫, "再生能源發展條例," 2023. [Online]. Available: https://law.moj.gov.tw/LawClass/LawAll.aspx?pcode=J0130032. [Accessed Jan 2024].
[8]D. K. T. &. J. S. Milosavljević, "Review and validation of photovoltaic solar simulation tools/software based on case study," Open Physics, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 431-451, 2022.
[9]劉智生,洪儒生, "太陽能電池," 科學發展, no. 439, pp. 60-65, 2009.
[10]SolarEdge, "SolarEdge 功率優化器," [Online]. Available: https://www.solaredge.com/tw/products/residential/power-optimizers. [Accessed Feb 2024].
[11]J. L. de Souza Silva, H. Soeiro Moreira, D. Bastos de Mesquita, M. V. Gomes dos Reis, and M. Gradella Villalva, "Study of Power Optimizers for grid-connected photovoltaic systems," IEEE LATIN AMERICA TRANSACTIONS, vol. 17, no. 01, pp. 127-134, 2019.
[12]N. B. B. B. C. &. P. B. S. Umar, "Comparison of different PV power simulation softwares: case study on performance analysis of 1 MW grid-connected PV solar power plant," International Journal of Engineering Science Invention, vol. 7, no. 7, pp. 11-24, 2018.
[13]WIKIPEDIA, "SolarEdge," [Online]. Available: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SolarEdge. [Accessed Mar 2024].
[14]PVsyst, "PVsyst," [Online]. Available: https://www.pvsyst.com/. [Accessed Feb 2024].
[15]PV*SOL, "PV*SOL," [Online]. Available: https://pvsol.software/en/. [Accessed Feb 2024].
[16]C. P. Kandasamy, P. Prabu and K. Niruba, "Solar potential assessment using PVSYST software," 2013 International Conference on Green Computing, Communication and Conservation of Energy (ICGCE), Chennai, India, pp. 667-672, 2013.
[17]M. Ramadhan and A. Naseeb, "The cost benefit analysis of implementing photovoltaic solar system in the state of Kuwait," Renewable Energy, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 1272-1276, 2011.
[18]M. Ali, D. M. Lestari and T. Rahman, "Design of Rooftop Photovoltaic System for 30/60- type House in Sukabumi, Indonesia using PVSyst Simulation," 2021 IEEE 7th International Conference on Computing, Engineering and Design (ICCED), Sukabumi, Indonesia, pp. 1-4, 2021.
[19]I. Baghdadi, A. E. Yaakoubi, K. Attari, Z. Leemrani, and A. Asselman, "Performance investigation of a PV system connected to the grid," Procedia Manufacturing, vol. 22, pp. 667-674, 2018.
[20]M. R. Basir Khan, J. Pasupuleti, J. Al-Fattah, and M. Tahmasebi, "Optimal Grid-Connected PV System for a Campus Microgrid," Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, vol. 3, no. 12, p. 899, 2018.
[21]A. K. Shukla, K. Sudhakar, and P. Baredar, "Design, simulation and economic analysis of standalone roof top solar PV system in India," Solar Energy, vol. 136, pp. 437-449, 2016.
[22]許志義, 蔡志欣, "太陽能發電系統生命週期淨能源分析與成本效益評估," 台電工程月刊, no. 834, 2018.
[23]N. Pawar and Pragya Nema, "Techno-Economic Performance Analysis of Grid Connected PV Solar Power Generation System Using HOMER Software," 2018 IEEE International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Computing Research, pp. 1-5, 2018.
[24]R. Sharma and L. Gidwani, "Grid connected solar PV system design and calculation by using PV*SOL premium simulation tool for campus hostels of RTU Kota," 2017 International Conference on Circuit ,Power and Computing Technologies, pp. 1-5, 2017.
[25]V. Delapedra-Silva, P. Ferreira, J. Cunha, and H. Kimura, "Methods for Financial Assessment of Renewable Energy Projects: A Review," Processes 2022, vol. 10, no. 2, p. 184, 2022.
[26]再生能源資訊網, "太陽光電躉購費率微幅調降 經部預告增訂屋頂型發電級距," Jan 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.re.org.tw/news/more.aspx?cid=198&id=6686. [Accessed Feb 2024].
[27]I. Das, K. Bhattacharya, C. Canizares and W. Muneer, "Sensitivity-Indices-Based Risk Assessment of Large-Scale Solar PV Investment Projects," IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 370-378, 2013.
[28]Our world in data, "Solar (photovoltaic) panel prices," [Online]. Available: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/solar-pv-prices.
[29]Our World in Data, "Solar PV system costs, United States, 2000 to 2015," [Online]. Available: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/solar-pv-system-costs. [Accessed 2024 Mar].
[30]M. B. Hayat, D. Ali, K. C. Monyake, L. Alagha, and N. Ahmed, "Solar energy—A look into power generation, challenges, and a solar-powered future," International Journal of Energy Research, vol. 43, no. 4, pp. 1049 - 1067, 2018.
[31]P. Kumar, S. Gupta, & V. Dagar, “Sustainable energy development through non‐residential rooftop solar photovoltaic adoption: empirical evidence from india,” Sustainable Development, 2023.
[32]經濟部, "113年度再生能源電能躉購費率 正式公告," [Online]. Available: https://www.moea.gov.tw/MNS/populace/news/News.aspx?kind=1&menu_id=40&news_id=114036. [Accessed Mar 2024].
[33]財政部, "核釋再生能源發電設備設置者售電之營業登記使用免用統一發票及報繳營業稅規定," [Online]. Available: https://law-out.mof.gov.tw/LawContent.aspx?id=GL009378. [Accessed Mar 2024].