簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 曹正懿
Tsao, Cheng-Yi
論文名稱: 台灣股市IPO期初報酬及波動率探討:基於資訊不對稱理論之分析
An Analysis of IPO Initial Returns and Volatility in the Taiwan Stock Market: Based on Information Asymmetry Theory
指導教授: 王澤世
Wang, Tse-Shih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 53
中文關鍵詞: 初次上市櫃資訊不對稱期初報酬股價波動率多元迴歸模型
外文關鍵詞: Initial Public Offering, Information Asymmetry, Initial Return, Stock Volatility, Multiple Regression
相關次數: 點閱:2下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本研究旨在探討台灣股市初次上市櫃 (IPO) 公司在掛牌初期的期初報酬與股價波動率,並檢驗資訊不對稱理論在台灣市場的適用性。以臺灣上市櫃 IPO 案件為對象,區分電子業與非電子業子樣本,運用多元迴歸模型與穩健標準誤,分析公司特徵及承銷特徵對掛牌首日與首五日表現的影響。

    期初報酬的實證結果顯示,台灣 IPO 蜜月行情深受大盤氛圍主導,資訊不對稱變數缺乏獨立解釋力。在納入市場報酬的模型中,大盤走勢與市帳值比呈現顯著影響;然而一旦剔除市場報酬,整體模型隨即失去顯著性,傳統資訊不對稱變數皆無法有效預測期初報酬。此外,隨著時間推移至掛牌第五日,微觀基本面的影響力快速收斂,報酬表現全面回歸系統性大盤走勢。

    股價波動率的實證結果則顯示,資訊不對稱對風險的影響具有顯著的產業異質性,且保鮮期極其短暫。在首日波動率模型中,負債比顯著推升非電子業的波動,而公司規模則顯著降低電子業的波動,反映出不同產業在評價基礎與風險容忍度上的差異。在首五日波動率模型中,所有基本面與資訊不對稱變數皆全面失效。綜合而言,本研究指出資訊不對稱理論於台灣 IPO 市場之適用性,並非體現於傳統的期初報酬預測,而是深刻反映在短期波動率的風險衡量與產業異質性的價格發現機制上,為新股定價與市場風險控管提供了嶄新的視角。

    This study investigates the initial returns and stock price volatility of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in Taiwan to examine the applicability of information asymmetry theory. Using multiple regression models with robust standard errors, this research analyzes the impacts of firm characteristics and underwriting characteristics, during the first and fifth days of listing across electronic and non-electronic industries. Empirical results show Taiwan's IPO initial returns are highly driven by market sentiment. When market returns are excluded, traditional information asymmetry variables lose explanatory power. For stock volatility, the impact of information asymmetry exhibits significant industry heterogeneity. Excluding market factors, the leverage ratio significantly increases first-day volatility in non-electronic firms, while firm size reduces it in electronic firms. However, these fundamental influences converge rapidly and completely disappear by the fifth trading day. In conclusion, this study contributes by demonstrating that the applicability of Information Asymmetry Theory in Taiwan's IPO market lies not in predicting absolute initial returns, but rather in explaining short-term volatility and the price discovery mechanisms driven by industry heterogeneity. This provides a novel perspective on IPO pricing and risk evaluation.

    摘要 i 誌謝 v 目錄 vi 表目錄 vii 第壹章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景 1 第二節 研究動機與目的 4 第貳章 文獻回顧 6 第一節 資訊不對稱理論 6 第二節 資訊不對稱實證 8 第三節 其他相關研究 10 第四節 研究假說 11 第參章 研究方法 12 第一節 研究期間與資料來源 12 第二節 研究方法 13 第肆章 實證分析與結果 19 第一節 敘述性統計 19 第二節 相關係數與VIF 23 第三節 實證結果 24 第伍章 結論與建議 40 第一節 結論 40 第二節 研究限制與建議 41 參考文獻 42

    朱心蘅、陳怡諠與邱惠貞(2010)。興櫃市場首次公開發行超額報酬與資訊揭露效果之探討,台灣金融財務季刊,11(1),69-92。
    江淑貞與吳桂燕(2013)。為何台灣的競價拍賣逐漸式微於初級上市市場,台大管理論叢,23(2),29-64。
    姜堯民與戴維芯(2016)。台灣股票初次上市(櫃)相關研究文獻回顧,經濟論文叢刊,44(1),77-125。
    陳湘琴(2015)。推動初次上市(櫃)案件優先採用競價拍賣方式辦理承銷,證券暨期貨月刊,33(12),27-41。
    黃佩佩(2012)。淺談承銷制度與改革,證券暨期貨月刊,29(5),5-23。
    劉玉珍與陳薇如(2004)。為何詢價圈購方式逐漸取代競價拍賣,證券暨期貨月刊,22(5),16-31。
    Aggarwal, R., Prabhala, N. R., & Puri, M. (2002). Institutional allocation in initial public offerings: Empirical evidence. Journal of Finance, 57(3), 1421–1442.
    Aruǧaslan, O., Cook, D. O., & Kieschnick, R. (2004). Monitoring as a motivation for IPO underpricing. Journal of Finance, 59(5), 2403–2420.
    Baker, E. D., Boulton, T. J., Braga-Alves, M. V., & Morey, M. R. (2021). ESG government risk and international IPO underpricing. Journal of Corporate Finance, 67, 101913.
    Baron, D. P. (1982). A model of the demand for investment banking advising and distribution services for new issues. Journal of Finance, 37(4), 955–976.
    Booth, J. R., & Chua, L. (1996). Ownership dispersion, costly information, and IPO underpricing. Journal of Financial Economics, 41(2), 291–310.
    Boulton, T. J., Smart, S. B., & Zutter, C. J. (2017). Conservatism and international IPO underpricing. Journal of International Business Studies, 48(6), 763-785.
    Carter, R. B., Dark, F. H., & Singh, A. K. (1998). Underwriter reputation, initial returns, and the long‐run performance of IPO stocks. Journal of Finance, 53(1), 285–311.
    Chan, K., Wang, J., & Wei, K. J. (2004). Underpricing and long-term performance of IPOs in China. Journal of Corporate Finance, 10(3), 409–430.
    Cliff, M. T., & Denis, D. J. (2004). Do initial public offering firms purchase analyst coverage with underpricing? Journal of Finance, 59(6), 2871–2901.
    Derrien, F., & Kecskes, A. (2007). The initial public offerings of listed firms. Journal of Finance, 62(1), 447–479.
    Ellul, A., & Pagano, M. (2006). IPO underpricing and after-market liquidity. Review of Financial Studies, 19(2), 381–421.
    Habib, M. A., & Ljungqvist, A. P. (2001). Underpricing and entrepreneurial wealth losses in IPOs: theory and evidence. Review of Financial Studies, 14(2), 433–458.
    Ibbotson, R. G. (1975). Price performance of common stock new issues. Journal of Financial Economics, 2(3), 235–272.
    Jain, B. A., & Kini, O. (1994). The post-issue operating performance of IPO firms. Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1699–1726.
    Lee, P. J., Taylor, S. L., & Walter, T. S. (1999). IPO underpricing explanations: implications from investor application and allocation schedules. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 34(4), 425–444.
    Lee, P. M., & Wahal, S. (2004). Grandstanding, certification and the underpricing of venture capital backed IPOs. Journal of Financial Economics, 73(2), 375–407.
    Li, X., Wang, S. S., & Wang, X. (2019). Trust and IPO underpricing. Journal of Corporate Finance, 56, 224-248.
    Liu, X., & Ritter, J. R. (2011). Local underwriter oligopolies and IPO underpricing. Journal of Financial Economics, 102(3), 579–601.
    Loughran, T., & Ritter, J. R. (2004). Why has IPO underpricing changed over time? Financial Management, 33(3), 5–37.
    Lowry, M., & Schwert, G. W. (2002). IPO market cycles: bubbles or sequential learning? Journal of Finance, 57(3), 1171–1200.
    Lowry, M., Officer, M. S., & Schwert, G. W. (2010). The variability of IPO initial returns. Journal of Finance, 65(2), 425–465.
    Muscarella, C. J., & Vetsuypens, M. R. (1989). A simple test of Baron's model of IPO underpricing. Journal of Financial Economics, 24(1), 125–135.
    Parkinson, M. (1980). The extreme value method for estimating the variance of the rate of return. Journal of Business, 53(1), 61–65.
    Ritter, J. R., & Welch, I. (2002). A review of IPO activity, pricing, and allocations. Journal of Finance, 57(4), 1795–1828.
    Rock, K. (1986). Why new issues are underpriced. Journal of Financial Economics, 15(1-2), 187–212.
    Su, D. (2004). Leverage, insider ownership, and the underpricing of IPOs in China. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 14(1), 37–54.
    Teti, E., & Montefusco, I. (2022). Corporate governance and IPO underpricing: evidence from the Italian market. Journal of Management and Governance, 26(3), 851-889.
    Welch, I. (1992). Sequential sales, learning, and cascades. Journal of Finance, 47(2), 695–732.

    QR CODE