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研究生: 吳秀雯
Wu, Siou-Wun
論文名稱: 以銀行業1998以及2007兩次金融風暴之股價報酬,觀察銀行業之經營是否受風險文化之影響?--以台灣資料實證結果為例—
Does Risk Culture Affect Bank Performance? What Can We Know by Using Bank Performance in 1998 and 2007 Financial Crisis to Explain the Effect of Risk Culture?
指導教授: 王澤世
Wang, Tse-Shih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所碩士在職專班
Graduate Institute of Finance (on the job class)
論文出版年: 2015
畢業學年度: 103
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 37
中文關鍵詞: 股價報酬率金融風暴金融海嘯
外文關鍵詞: stock return performance, financial crisis, financial tsunami
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  • 為什麼某些銀行總在金融危機時自己也同時陷入危機?是什麼原因,讓它相較於其他同業顯得特別脆弱?本篇研究,觀察1998年亞洲金融風暴時,台灣上市銀行業股價報酬表現,並以此股價報酬表現為基礎,進而觀察當2007年金融海嘯發生,則台灣上市銀行業是否已有足夠的能力度過海嘯?抑或,與1998年亞洲金融風暴時一樣,在失控的洪流中載浮載沉?其實,無論隨波逐流或者勇渡風暴,其背後支撐銀行的因子究竟是什麼,才是本研究所關注者。
    參考文獻後,本研究形成「風險文化假說」以及「學習假說」兩個面向作為探討路徑。「風險文化假說」的部分,實證結果顯示,台灣境內上市銀行乃高風險文化者,係指台灣銀行業經營模式,為達報酬目標不惜犧牲原有的獨家資訊(Private information)優勢,讓經營風險升高亦在所不惜。如此作法,將使得台灣境內銀行業之經營變得敏感,面臨大環境景氣波動,抵抗力低弱。「學習假說」的部分,實證結果顯示,台灣境內上市銀行並沒有文獻所提到的「學習」行為,亦即台灣境內上市銀行,錯誤一犯再犯,雖經歷兩次金融危機卻仍有重蹈覆轍的情況,經營狀況令人憂心。

    Why some banks always come to a crisis when financial crisis? What’s the causes make them weaker than others? We observed stock return performance of banks in Taiwan during the 1998 financial crisis, and take stock return performance as the foundation to consider whether they can tide over the 2007 financial crisis or not.We are concerned with factors supporting banks.
    Through empirical analysis, we understand that banks in Taiwan don’t change their ”Risk Culture” and don’t have “Learning ”behavior. The circumstance is depressingly worse.

    第一章、緒論……………………………………………………1 第一節研究動機………………………………………………1 第二節研究目的………………………………………………1 第三節研究架構與流程………………………………………2 第二章、文獻探討………………………………………………4 第一節 風險文化假說………………………………………4 第二節 學習假說……………………………………………6 第三章、研究設計………………………………………………8 第一節 研究樣本……………………………………………9 第二節 實證模型……………………………………………10 第三節 變數定義……………………………………………12 第四章、實證結果分析…………………………………………17 第一節 敘述性統計與相關性分析…………………………17 第二節 實證結果……………………………………………31 第五章、結論與建議……………………………………………33 第六章、參考文獻………………………………………………34

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