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研究生: 凱若林
Tarnowska, Karolina Anna
論文名稱: 家戶停水損失評估研究
The Evaluation of Water Outage Loss in Residential Sector
指導教授: 郭彥廉
Kuo, Yen-Lien
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 自然災害減災及管理國際碩士學位學程
International Master Program on Natural Hazards Mitigation and Management
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 64
外文關鍵詞: residential sector, water outage, contingent valuation method, averting expenditures method
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  • This paper aimed to estimate the monetary loss due to the water outage, focusing on residents who are one of the major users of water. The household loss from water outage was estimated using averting behavior method. A sample of 42 household representatives was collected, who experienced the water outage for one to four weeks after the 2016 Southern Taiwan Earthquake. To estimate the household expenditure for various water usages during the water outage, focus group discussion, and the individual survey were conducted. The losses then were calculated as the difference between the expenditure during water outage and the expenditure during a normal situation. The evaluation revealed that the household loss of a water outage day accounts for up to 15% of the household’s monthly income and has the mean of 1008 NTD (34 USD). The loss to income ratio was the highest in households with children and older adults. The loss of water outage in the residential sector can be adopted for cost-benefit analysis of water shortage mitigations including additional water sources, pipeline system enhancement, and water demand management.

    ABSTRACT I ACKNOWLEDGMENTS II Table of Contents IV List of Tables VI List of Figures VII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Motivation 1 1.1.1 Characteristic of the residential sector 4 1.1.2 0216 Earthquake 4 1.2 Research objectives 6 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 7 2.1 Losses of water supply interruptions 7 2.2 Contingent valuation method 9 2.2.1 Stated preferences values and the influence of additional variables 10 2.2.2 WTP and WTA 13 2.2.3 Elicitation formats 13 2.3 Averting expenditures method 15 2.3.1 Limitations 16 2.4 Averting expenditures vs. contingent valuation method 16 2.5 Summary 17 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 18 3.1 Loss estimation 18 3.1.1 Estimation of averting expenditures (AE) 19 3.1.2 Contingent valuation elicitation formats 24 3.1.3 Example 26 3.2 Study location 27 3.3 Survey data 28 3.4 Sample characteristic 30 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS 34 4.1 Water consumption and conservation behavior 34 4.2 Averting expenditures (AE) 38 4.3 Contingent valuation 40 4.4 Losses 43 4.5 The most affected groups 44 CHAPTER FIVE the loss estimation of the gaoping river weir failure 45 CHAPTER SIX CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 51 6.1 Conclusions and suggestions 51 6.2 Policy recommendations 53 6.3 Research Gaps 54 References 55 APPENDICES 61 Appendix 1: Cost of using groundwater 61 Appendix 2: Kaohsiung water shortage simulation results (Ministry of Economic Affairs (R.O.C), 2015) 63

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