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研究生: 林信佑
Lin, Hsin-You
論文名稱: 應用自動化機器學習於冰機系統冷卻水水溫最佳轉點建議
Application of Automated Machine Learning for Optimal Temperature Prediction of Chilled Water in Chiller Systems
指導教授: 楊宏澤
Yang, Hong-Tzer
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 電機資訊學院 - 電機工程學系
Department of Electrical Engineering
論文出版年: 2025
畢業學年度: 113
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 66
中文關鍵詞: 冰機系統最佳運轉組合自動化機器學習
外文關鍵詞: Chiller system, optimal operation combination, Automated Machine Learning
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  • 為符合綠色製造與節能減碳目標,政府與企業皆為節電發起構想並積極行動,在本研究中,透過改善措施降低冰機系統的能耗,提高其運作效率,除能為無塵室維護穩定的溫溼度提供保障,亦可幫助科技製造廠降低能源成本,提升其綠色製造的能力。
    本研探討冰機系統直接影響效率之可控制因子冷卻水塔水溫,因冷卻水塔水溫調整亦會直接影響冷卻水塔本身效率,為平衡水塔與冰機主機的最佳整體效率,本研究利用AutoML(Automated machine learning)進行冷卻水塔與冰機系統運轉參數進行冷卻水塔最佳水溫設定點模預測。資料方面,為確保模型能計算最佳的運短點,進一步探討參數影響原因與訂定篩選條件,最後排除無效參數並以歷年資料效率最佳的前20%作為訓練資料。
    從訓練後得到的數組模型中,以最高得分的演算法堆疊法(Stack)導入使用,利用監控設備回傳訊號導入模型進行冷卻水控制點推算,推算出當下需求條件及外器條件下最佳的運轉點,並依照模型推算目標值實際控制冷卻水塔,得到相較於往年水塔更好的運轉效率。

    To align with the objectives of green manufacturing and energy conservation with carbon reduction, both governmental bodies and enterprises have initiated and actively implemented energy-saving measures. In this study, targeted improvement strategies were employed to reduce the energy consumption of the chiller system and enhance its operational efficiency. These measures not only ensure stable temperature and humidity control within cleanroom environments but also contribute to lowering energy costs and advancing the green manufacturing capabilities of technology-based manufacturing facilities.
    This research investigates the cooling tower water temperature as a key controllable factor directly influencing the efficiency of chiller systems. Adjustments to this temperature also have a direct impact on the cooling tower’s own performance. Therefore, the primary objective is to achieve an optimal balance between the efficiencies of both the cooling tower and the chiller unit. To this end, Automated Machine Learning was employed to predict the optimal cooling tower water temperature setpoint based on the operational parameters of the cooling tower and the chiller system.
    Among the trained models, the Stacking ensemble algorithm achieved the highest performance score and was subsequently adopted. Feedback signals from the monitoring system were incorporated into the model to estimate the optimal operating point under prevailing demand and environmental conditions. The cooling tower was then regulated in real time according to the model’s predicted target values, resulting in a marked improvement in operational efficiency compared with previous years.

    摘要 i EXTENDED ABSTRACT ii 誌謝 vi 目錄 vii 表目錄 x 圖目錄 xi 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究動機 1 1.2 研究回顧/貢獻 2 1.3 論文架構 2 第二章 冰水系統基本架構 3 2.1 冰水供應系統 3 2.2 冰機冷凍循環系統 4 2.3 離心式壓縮機冰機 6 2.4 冰機冷卻水溫影響分析 8 第三章 研究方法 20 3.1 自動化機器學習(Automated Machine Learning) 20 3.1.1 自動工具輔助時期 20 3.1.2 全流程自動訓練及雲端結合時期 20 3.1.3 大型語言模型時期 22 3.1.4 實驗用AutoML設定說明 23 3.2 冷卻水溫相關參數篩選 25 3.3 資料前處理 28 3.4 模型訓練 30 3.4.1 隨機搜索(Random Search) 31 3.4.2 堆疊法(Stack) 32 3.4.3 梯度提升(Gradient Boosting) 36 3.4.4 相關係數(Correlation Coefficient and Covariance) 38 第四章 測試結果 39 4.1 模型預測結果 39 4.2 落地應用效益說明 45 第五章 結論與未來展望 47 5.1 結論 47 5.2 未來研究方向 48 參考文獻 49

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