| 研究生: |
楊鈞堯 Yang, Chun-Yao |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
雲林地區景觀生態決策支援系統之應用與低地永續管理 Application of Decision Support System for Sustainable Lowland Planning and Management - A Case of Yunlin, Taiwan |
| 指導教授: |
王筱雯
Wang, Hsiao-Wen |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
工學院 - 水利及海洋工程學系 Department of Hydraulic & Ocean Engineering |
| 論文出版年: | 2011 |
| 畢業學年度: | 99 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 92 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 景觀生態 、決策支援系統 、專家系統 、情境分析 、水災風險管理 、永續性評估 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Landscape ecology, Decision support system, Expert system, Scenario Analysis, Flood risk management, Sustainability Assessment |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:132 下載:2 |
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近年來受到氣候變遷和環境劣化的衝擊,各國政府投入大量資金及建設,希望能減緩其所帶來的傷害。台灣政府也在二零零五年提出八年一千一百六十億的治水預算,以求解決台灣沿岸長期以來每當豪雨便氾濫成災的情形。永續發展已成為普世的共同價值。為了確保政策及管理規劃符合永續發展的理念,透過適當的工具能幫助我們了解各種政策帶來潛在的效益及衝擊,進一步去探討何種方案最接近永續發展的趨勢
此研究為以台灣雲林地區為研究對象,分別就社會、經濟及生態三個面向深入探討,根據雲林地區過去之環境變遷及外來可能的發展趨勢,設計三個方案來探討沿海地區永續經營策略。研究中以安全、淹水損失和東方環頸、高蹺、彩鷸之物理棲地作為指標,建構空間資訊決策支援系統,模擬雲林地區面臨洪水可能會遭遇的情形。透過此系統,本研究將各種情境的改變視覺具體化,有助於利益相關者(stakeholder)之間的討論,也能提供決策者在制定相關政策或管理策略之依據。本研究成果跳脫傳統以工程水段控制洪水的治水策略,轉而以洪災風險管理的方式來解決雲林沿海地區長久以來面對的淹水問題,提供一個能達到永續經營的策略,希冀研究成果可以作為相關部門未來規劃參考。
It is increasingly recognized that more sustainable approaches are needed for planning and managing landscapes worldwide, and tools are needed to effectively apply sustainable principles to planning and management, especially for lowland areas. The spatial dimension of sustainability engages relations between different land uses, ecosystems, biotopes and human effects at different scales and over time. Yunlin County, located in southern west of Taiwan, is with the abundant nature resources and suffering from flooding and land subsidence for long. With the effects of climate change, lowland management in this area is getting complicated. All possible strategies should be considered and conveyed to decision-makers in the most efficient and transparent way, so as to redirect further discussion toward the conflicting aspects. This is optimally achieved by resorting to a Decision Support System.
The study focused on the evaluation of the effects on landscape pattern, safety, economic and ecological resources as a whole based on the rules of thumb and the future developing trend. Three planning scenarios, Do Nothing, Current Policy and Coastal Conservation Green Way, were generated so as to simulate. The scenarios were then compared by applying the OSIRIS, a software of decision and evaluation support system, to highlight the most conflicting sites and to propose an optimal strategy for the area under evaluation. The results illustrated that the current policy might not be an effective and sustainable strategy of lowland planning and management in safety, economics and ecological concerns. Instead, the scenario of Coastal Conservation Green Way might not only ease flood threaten but also provide the additional ecological benefit. Hence, the study based on the application of Decision Support System could contribute to enhance communication between stakeholders and help achieve sustainable lowland management.
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