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研究生: 林欣賢
Lin, Hsin-Hsien
論文名稱: 淨利與綜合淨利波動性之風險攸關性與價值攸關性:國內金融保險業之研究
Risk relevance and value relevance of income measures' volatilities:Evidence from financial industries in Taiwan
指導教授: 吳清在
Wu, Tsing-Zai
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 96
中文關鍵詞: 淨利波動性綜合淨利波動性外資持股比例風險攸關性價值攸關性
外文關鍵詞: risk relevance, foreign investors holding rate, income volatilities, comprehensive income volatilities, value relevance
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  • 本研究以國內金融保險業為研究對象,自2006年至2008年止,檢測自財務會計準則第三十四號公報開始適用以來,淨利與綜合淨利的風險攸關性與價值攸關性。首先,本文將樣本分為兩群:外資持股比例較高、外資持股比例較低。經由過去的研究發現,外國機構投資人在台灣股市之投資,對於電子產業與金融保險業有特別的偏愛,近年來,外資進入國內金融體系的趨勢增加,特別是具有公股的金融機構因規模較大,尤為其關注之目標,因此形成各金融機構外資持股比例不一的情況。從敘述統計分析發現,在外資持股比例較高(低)的樣本裡,綜合淨利波動性的平均數大約是淨利波動性的1.64(1.18)倍。

    接著檢驗在這兩群樣本裡,淨利與綜合淨利的波動性與風險因子的關聯性是否有所不同。研究結果發現在外資持股比例較高的樣本裡,淨利與綜合淨利的波動性皆與風險因子呈顯著正相關,代表淨利與綜合淨利皆能提供與總風險與系統風險有關的資訊。而在外資持股比例較低的樣本裡,淨利與綜合淨利的波動性只有與總風險成顯著正相關。

    最後,本文使用Ohlson model來檢測淨利與綜合淨利的波動性與股價的關聯。研究結果指出,無論在外資持股較高或外資持股較低的樣本裡,淨利與綜合淨利的波動性皆未與股價有顯著的關聯。

    We investigated the risk relevance and value relevance of the standard deviation of two performance measures: net income, comprehensive income for a sample of 45 listed firms of financial industries in Taiwan from 2006 to 2008.

    First, we divided the sample into two groups: sample of higher foreign-investors holding, and sample of lower foreign-investors holding. In descriptive statistics, we found that for the average sample, the volatility of comprehensive income is more than 1.5 times that of net income in ample of higher foreign-investors holding; and more than 1.18 times that of net income in sample of lower foreign-investors holding.

    Second, we tested the association between income volatilities and risk factors. The result suggested that two income volatilities both provide significant information for total risk in return and systematic risk in sample of higher foreign-investors holding. But the two income volatilities only provide significant information for total risk in sample of lower-foreign investors holding after controlling for industries and net assets growth rate.

    Finally, we tested the association between income volatilities and share prices with Ohlson model. We found that there is no significant relation between two income volatilities and share prices both in sample of higher and lower foreign-investors holding after controlling for industries and net assets growth rate.

    第一章 緒論 - 1 - 第一節 研究動機與目的 - 1 - 第二節 研究問題 - 5 - 第三節 研究架構 - 5 - 第二章 文獻探討 - 8 - 第一節 公平價值概述 - 8 - 第二節 綜合淨利觀念的發展 - 12 - 第三節 綜合淨利相關文獻 - 18 - 第四節 外資相關文獻 - 25 - 第三章 研究設計 - 30 - 第一節 研究假說 - 30 - 第二節 實證模型與變數衡量 - 42 - 第三節 樣本選取與資料來源 - 49 - 第四章 實證結果 - 55 - 第一節 敘述統計分析 - 55 - 第二節 相關係數分析 - 60 - 第三節 多元回歸分析 - 63 - 第四節 額外的測試 - 72 - 第五章 結論與建議 - 77 - 第一節 結論 - 77 - 第二節 研究限制 - 79 - 第三節 未來研究建議 - 80 - 參考文獻 - 81 -

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    中文部分

    1. 王月玲,(2003),《外資對台灣股市的影響》「,國立政治大學金融研究所碩士論文。
    2. 吳精展,(2004),《外資持股比率與持股比率變動對股價之影響》,國立中正大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    3. 阮呂豔,(1996),《外國專業投資機構投資策略與會計資訊之關係》。政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
    4. 周舒屏,(2004),《國際機構權益投資偏好成因之探討》,政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
    5. 林江亮、鄭菽萱,(2006),《政府持股與公司價值之關聯性研究》。Journal of Contemporary Accounting 7 (2),237-260。
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    8. 高妮瑋,(2000),《機構投資人持股偏好與績效之研究》。中正大學會計研究所碩士論文。
    9. 陳一如、謝秀津,(1999),《臺灣股票上市公司的外資持股比例對其股價之影響》,臺灣經濟金融月刊 35,85-96。
    10. 陳振遠、張智堯、王蘭芬、李文智,(2005),《應用Ohlson 會計評價模型探究公司治理之價值攸關性—以台灣上市公司電子業為例》。臺大管理論叢,15(2),123-142。
    11. 郭素菱,(2002),《機構投資人與財務報表攸關性之研究》。國立成功大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
    12. 陳曉蓉、王詠惠,(2006),《機構投資人持股對股價反映未來盈餘資訊程度之影響─以台灣集團公司與非集團公司為例》。會計與公司治理,3(2),69-100。
    13. 游智賢、賴育志,(1999),《外資資訊領先地位之探討》。Journal of Financial Studies, 7 (3),1-26。
    14. 黃金澤,(2009),《34號公報第三次修訂重點解析(一)》。會計研究月刊,278。
    15. 黃琳勝,(2006),《外國機構投資人在台灣股票市場交易價量關聯性及其資訊內涵之研究》,國立中興大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
    16. 黃競輝,(2008),《外資持股比例與股價報酬之非線性關聯性研究》。淡江大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    17. 劉紀芬,(2001),《穩健性原則對會計基礎評價模式之影響》。國立中山大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
    18. 劉瑀農,(2006),《財務報導格式對非專業投資人判斷之影響─以綜合淨利資訊為例》淡江大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
    19. 顏信輝,(2000),《財務報表新要素:綜合淨利之報導與解析(一)(二)(三)》,會計研究月刊,175-177。
    20. 羅夏虹,(2000),《綜合淨利及其組成項目與股票報酬之關聯性》,國立中正大學會計研究所碩士論文。

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