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研究生: 蔡孟汝
Tsai, Meng-Ju
論文名稱: 當沖交易量、交易稅與股價日波動:台灣股市的實證研究
Day trading Quantity, Transaction Tax, and Stock Daily Volatility: An Empirical Study of the Taiwan Stock Market
指導教授: 王澤世
Wang, Tse-Shih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2025
畢業學年度: 113
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 32
中文關鍵詞: 當沖交易證券交易稅股價波動台灣股市交易成本
外文關鍵詞: Day trading, Securities Transaction Tax, Stock Price Volatility, Taiwan Stock Market, Transaction Costs
相關次數: 點閱:23下載:5
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  • 本研究以台灣股市為樣本,探討當沖交易量、交易稅變動與股價日波動性之間的關係。利用2014年至2024年之交易資料,並採用多元迴歸及二階段最小平方法進行實證分析,結果顯示現股當沖交易量顯著提高股價日波動性,且2017年實施的現股當沖證交稅減半政策進一步放大了此影響。稅負降低促使短線交易活動增加,導致市場噪音強化與價格波動加劇。本文建議未來政策設計應兼顧市場活絡與穩定,避免單純追求交易量成長而忽視市場風險。本研究結果對於台灣的金融監理政策制定,提供了實證上的參考依據。

    This thesis investigates the dynamic relationships among day trading volume, transaction tax changes, and daily stock price volatility in Taiwan's equity market. Using a large-scale dataset covering the period from June 2014 to June 2024 and employing both multiple regression and two-stage least squares (2SLS) methods, the study provides robust empirical evidence that cash-based day trading significantly increases daily stock price volatility. The 2017 policy reducing transaction tax for day trading further magnified this effect. The analysis suggests that lower transaction costs encourage speculative behavior, resulting in intensified market noise and short-term price swings. These findings reveal critical policy trade-offs: although reducing tax may enhance market liquidity and trading activity, it also increases systemic risks and undermines price stability. The study offers important insights for regulators aiming to balance market development with financial stability and contributes valuable empirical evidence for future policy formulation in Taiwan’s capital markets.

    摘要 ii Abstract iii 致謝 vi 目錄 vii 表目錄 viii 圖目錄 ix 壹、緒論 1 第一節:研究背景及動機 1 第二節:研究目的 3 貳、文獻探討 4 第一節:當沖對股價波動的影響 4 第二節:交易稅對股價波動的影響 5 叁、研究方法 8 第一節:變數衡量與研究模型 8 第二節:樣本選取與來源 11 肆、實證結果 12 第一節:敘述性統計 12 第二節:相關係數 13 第三節:單變量分析 15 第四節:迴歸估計結果 16 伍、結論 19 參考文獻 20

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