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研究生: 陳韋蓁
Chen, Wei-Jen
論文名稱: 運用多準則決策與LLM於紡織業出口物流航運商選擇之研究
A Study of Multi-Criteria Decision-Making and LLM for Export Logistics Provider Selection in the Textile Industry
指導教授: 楊大和
Yang, Taho
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 電機資訊學院 - 製造資訊與系統研究所
Institute of Manufacturing Information and Systems
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 121
中文關鍵詞: 大型語言模型多準則決策低程式碼/無程式碼紡織業物流數位轉型
外文關鍵詞: Digital Transformation, Large Language Model, Low-Code/No-Code, Multi-Criteria Decision-Making, Textile Logistics
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  • 在全球供應鏈高度不確定與航運市場快速變動之環境下,紡織業出口物流航運商之評選已無法僅以單一成本作為決策依據。企業除需考量運費價格外,亦須同時評估運輸時效、艙位保障、服務品質及風險控管能力等因素,使航運商選擇逐漸演變為多準則決策問題。然而,實務上決策資料常分散於不同系統與文件中,導致資訊整合困難、流程冗長與決策效率不佳。
    因此,本研究以紡織業出口物流航運商評選為研究情境,結合低程式碼/無程式碼(Low-Code/No-Code, LCNC)技術、多準則決策方法(Multi-Criteria Decision Making, MCDM)與大型語言模型(Large Language Model, LLM),建構一套具數位化管理與智慧決策能力之雲端決策支援架構。研究透過資訊價值流圖(Information Stream Mapping, iSM)分析案例公司現行資訊流程,並以Ragic雲端資料庫與Power BI建置數位化報價管理系統與決策儀表板,以改善資訊分散與人工彙整問題。
    在決策模型方面,本研究採用最佳最差法(Best-Worst Method, BWM)建立準則權重,並結合理想解相似度法(Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution, TOPSIS)進行航運商排序,以建構具一致性與可解釋性之決策模型。此外,本研究進一步透過情境模擬與敏感度分析,驗證模型於不同市場波動情境下之穩健性,並導入大型語言模型進行決策推理與風險辨識,比較其與MCDM模型之決策結果。
    實證結果顯示,LCNC平台有效整合分散資訊,成功將報價至決策產出之流程前置時間縮減50%,並提升資訊即時性與決策透明度。BWM-TOPSIS模型展現良好之一致性與穩定性,即使於權重波動情境下,整體排序結果仍維持高度穩健。此外,LLM於多期模擬中展現良好的語義推理與風險辨識能力,能有效辨識低價高風險方案,並與MCDM基準結果呈現高度一致性。
    本研究證實,透過LCNC平台、多準則決策模型與LLM之整合,能有效提升物流評選之資訊整合效率、決策品質與風險辨識能力。研究成果除可作為紡織業推動數位轉型之參考外,亦提供生成式AI應用於物流決策支援之實務驗證。

    Under global supply chain uncertainty and rapidly changing logistics markets, textile export logistics provider selection has evolved into a complex multi-criteria decision-making problem. Enterprises must evaluate not only freight costs, but also transportation lead time, cargo space availability, service quality, and risk management capabilities. However, decision-related information is often dispersed across multiple systems and documents, resulting in inefficient information integration, lengthy operational processes, and low decision-making efficiency.
    Therefore, this study proposes a cloud-based decision support framework integrating Low-Code/No-Code (LCNC) technologies, Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) models, and a Large Language Model (Harris et al.) for export logistics provider selection in the textile industry. Information Stream Mapping (iSM) was adopted to analyze the existing information flow of the case company, while the Ragic platform and Microsoft Power BI were utilized to establish a digitalized quotation management and decision support system.
    For the decision-making process, the Best-Worst Method (BWM) was applied to determine criteria weights, and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) was used to rank logistics providers. Scenario simulations and sensitivity analyses were further conducted to validate the robustness of the proposed model under different market fluctuation conditions. In addition, an LLM was introduced for semantic reasoning and risk identification, and its results were compared with the benchmark MCDM model outcomes.
    The empirical results demonstrated that the LCNC platform reduced the lead time from quotation collection to decision-making by 50% while improving information transparency, operational efficiency, and decision timeliness. The BWM-TOPSIS model exhibited strong consistency and robustness under fluctuating weight conditions. Moreover, the LLM demonstrated promising semantic reasoning and risk identification capabilities, successfully identifying low-cost but high-risk alternatives and maintaining high consistency with the benchmark MCDM ranking results.
    This study confirms that integrating LCNC platforms, MCDM models, and an LLM can effectively improve information integration, decision quality, and risk identification in logistics provider selection. The proposed framework provides practical guidance for digital transformation and generative AI-based logistics decision support in the textile industry.

    目錄 x 表目錄 xiv 圖目錄 xvi 1 緒論1 1.1 研究背景與動機 1 1.2 研究目的 3 1.3 研究流程 4 1.4 研究架構 6 2 文獻探討 7 2.1 數位轉型與AI趨勢 7 2.2 JJC自働生產管理環 7 2.3 低程式碼無程式碼 8 2.3.1 雲端資料庫平台 9 2.3.2 Power BI 9 2.4 多準則決策 10 2.4.1 多屬性決策 11 2.4.2 最佳最差法 13 2.4.3 理想解相似度法 14 2.4.4 決策方法之綜合比較 15 2.5 生成式AI與大型語言模型決策支援 16 2.6 小結 17 3 研究方法 18 3.1 Information Stream Mapping 19 3.1.1 iSM績效指標 20 3.1.2 iSM流程分析方法 20 3.2 系統建置與導入 22 3.2.1 Ragic平台架構 23 3.2.2 Power BI儀表板 24 3.3 多準則決策模型建構 24 3.3.1 決策問題與準則建構 25 3.3.2 最佳最差法權重建構 27 3.3.3 TOPSIS排序模型 29 3.3.4 決策模型驗證指標 31 3.3.5 敏感度分析 33 3.4 模擬與情境分析方法 34 3.4.1 模擬與情境分析之研究定位 34 3.4.2 情境設計原則 36 3.4.3 模擬數學模型設計 37 3.4.4 排序變動與決策品質評估指標 39 3.5 大型語言模型建構 41 3.5.1 LLM之研究定位 41 3.5.2 LLM架構與提示工程設計 41 3.5.3 決策輸入與輸出機制 43 3.5.4 LLM與多準則決策模型之實證比較設計 44 4 產業背景與案例說明 46 4.1 紡織產業背景 46 4.2 案例公司背景 47 4.3 案例公司現況分析 48 4.3.1 資料收集 48 4.3.2 iSM現況流程圖 49 4.3.3 問題釐清與確認 51 5 實證分析 53 5.1 系統導入與流程改善 53 5.1.1 低程式碼平台建置成果 54 5.1.2 資訊流績效指標分析 62 5.2 多準則決策模型結果 65 5.2.1 專家決策偏好評估流程 65 5.2.2 BWM最終權重與一致性分析 66 5.2.3 TOPSIS方案排序結果 68 5.2.4 專家偏好一致性驗證 69 5.2.5 決策結果與成效分析 71 5.2.6 LLM決策分析結果 73 5.3 模型穩定性與敏感度分析 74 5.3.1 敏感度分析 75 5.3.2 排序穩定性評估 77 5.4 情境模擬分析結果 77 5.4.1 MCDM與LLM之多情境分析結果 77 5.4.2 LLM決策可靠性與幻覺性分析 87 6 結論與建議 91 6.1 研究結論 91 6.2 研究限制與未來建議 93 6.3 未來建議 94 參考文獻 97 附錄A:情境模擬資料 100 A.1 情境I模擬資料 100 A.2 情境II模擬資料 101 A.3 情境III模擬資料 102

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