簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 黃品瑄
Huang, Ping-Hsuan
論文名稱: 經濟政策不確定性與成本結構
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Cost Structure
指導教授: 楊朝旭
Young, Chaur-Shiuh
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 40
中文關鍵詞: 總體經濟政策不確定性管理者能力成本剛性營業槓桿變動成本固定成本成本結構
外文關鍵詞: economic policy uncertainty(EPU), managerial ability, cost rigidity, operating leverage, fixed cost, variable cost, cost structure
相關次數: 點閱:196下載:36
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本研究探討總體經濟政策不確定性(economic policy uncertainty)與成本結構的關聯。現有的研究對於需求不確定性與營業槓桿之間的關聯存在不一致的研究結果。與過去文獻相符,本研究發現總體經濟政策不確定性與營業槓桿之間的關聯不顯著為正亦不顯著為負。然而,藉由進一步研究,我發現管理者能力有助於強化總體經濟政策不確定性與營業槓桿之間的關係。當面臨較高的總體經濟政策不確定性時,能力高的管理者著重於擁擠成本(congestion cost)遠勝投資不可逆性(investment irreversibility),會事先調整產能以因應未來潛在異常高額需求,因而擴大營業槓桿程度。額外測試表明,對於高成長機會的公司與高客戶集中度的公司,管理者能力更有助於提升總體經濟政策不確定性與營業槓桿之間的正相關,該結果進一步支持假說二,也就是高能力管理者在面對高總體經濟政策不確定性時,會特別重視擁擠成本。

    This study investigates the association between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and cost rigidity (i.e. the ratio of fixed-to-variable costs). Extant research finds mixed evidence on the relationship between demand uncertainty and operating leverage. In line with previous research, I discover that the relationship between EPU and cost rigidity is neither positive nor negative. However, I investigate further and demonstrate that managerial ability amplifies the positive effect of EPU on cost rigidity. When confronted with high EPU periods, high-ability managers prioritize congestion risk over investment irreversibility, opting for high capacity in advance for unusually high demand realizations, resulting in a high degree of operating leverage. Additional analysis shows that managerial ability strengthens the relationship between EPU and operating leverage for firms with high growth opportunities and higher customer concentration, supporting hypothesis 2 that high-ability managers pay special attention to congestion costs when firms face higher congestion risk during high EPU periods.

    Table of Contents 1. Introduction 1 2. Literature review and Hypotheses development 6 2.1 Economic policy uncertainty 6 2.2 Economic policy uncertainty and cost structure 7 2.3 The effect of managerial ability 11 3. Data and research methodology 12 3.1 Data, Sample, and descriptive statistics 12 3.2 Measuring economic policy uncertainty 16 3.3 Measuring operating leverage 17 3.4 Empirical models for hypothesis 1 18 3.5 Empirical models for hypothesis 2 20 4. Empirical results 20 4.1 Economic policy uncertainty and the degree of operating leverage (H1) 20 4.2 The effect of managerial ability on the association between economic policy uncertainty and the degree of operating leverage (H2) 22 5. Additional analyses 24 5.1 Multicollinearity 24 5.2 The effect of managerial ability on the association between EPU and operating leverage conditional on growth potential 25 5.3 The effect of managerial ability on the association between EPU and operating leverage conditional on customer concentration 27 6. Conclusions 31 Appendix 34 Reference 35

    Aboody, D., Levi, S., & Weiss, D. (2018). Managerial incentives, options, and cost-
    structure choices. Review of Accounting Studies, 23(2), 422-451.
    Anderson, M. C., Banker, R. D., & Janakiraman, S. N. (2003). Are selling, general, and
    administrative costs “sticky”? Journal of accounting research, 41(1), 47-63.
    Ashraf, B. N., & Shen, Y. (2019). Economic policy uncertainty and banks’ loan pricing. Journalof Financial Stability, 44, 100695.
    Babar, M., & Habib, A. (2022). Product market competition and operating leverage:
    International evidence. Journal of Corporate Accounting & Finance.
    Baik, B., Brockman, P. A., Farber, D. B., & Lee, S. (2018). Managerial ability and the quality of firms’ information environment. Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 33(4), 506-527.
    Baik, B., Choi, S., & Farber, D. B. (2020). Managerial ability and income smoothing. The Accounting Review, 95(4), 1-22.
    Baik, B. O. K., Farber, D. B., & Lee, S. A. M. (2011). CEO ability and management earnings forecasts. Contemporary accounting research, 28(5), 1645-1668.
    Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The quarterly journal of economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
    Balakrishnan, R., Sivaramakrishnan, K., & Sprinkle, G. (2008). Managerial accounting.
    Banker, R. D., Byzalov, D., & Chen, L. T. (2013). Employment protection legislation,
    adjustment costs and cross-country differences in cost behavior. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 55(1), 111-127.
    Banker, R. D., Byzalov, D., Fang, S., & Liang, Y. (2018). Cost management research.
    Journal of Management Accounting Research, 30(3), 187-209.
    Banker, R. D., Byzalov, D., & Plehn-Dujowich, J. M. (2014). Demand uncertainty and cost behavior. The Accounting Review, 89(3), 839-865.
    Banker, R. D., Huang, R., & Yan, Y. (2022). Flexible or Rigid? Evidence on Managerial
    Ability and Cost Structure. Baruch College Zicklin School of Business Research Paper, (2019-05), 01.
    Bonaime, A., Gulen, H., & Ion, M. (2018). Does policy uncertainty affect mergers and
    acquisitions?. Journal of Financial Economics, 129(3), 531-558.
    Bonsall IV, S. B., Holzman, E. R., & Miller, B. P. (2017). Managerial ability and credit risk assessment. Management Science, 63(5), 1425-1449.
    Chang, Y. Y., Dasgupta, S., & Hilary, G. (2010). CEO ability, pay, and firm performance.
    Management Science, 56(10), 1633-1652.
    Chang, H., Hall, C. M., & Paz, M. T. (2021). Suppliers' product market competition,
    customer concentration, and cost structure. Journal of Management Accounting Research, 33(3), 9-27.
    Chen, H. (2015). The effect of agency problems on optimal operating leverage and social welfare. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 34(3), 319-331.
    Chen, T. K., Liao, H. H., & Chen, W. H. (2017). CEO ability heterogeneity, board’s recruiting ability and credit risk. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 49(4), 1005-1039.
    Chen, L., & Zhao, X. (2006). On the relation between the market-to-book ratio, growth opportunity, and leverage ratio. Finance Research Letters, 3(4), 253-266.
    Chourou, L., Purda, L., & Saadi, S. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and analysts' forecast characteristics. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 40(4), 106775.
    Chui, A. C., & Wei, K. C. (2021). Is Financial Reporting Quality Affected by Economic
    Policy Uncertainty? Evidence from Conditional Conservatism around the World. Evidence from Conditional Conservatism around the World (May 12, 2021).
    Cooper, R., & Kaplan, R. S. (1987). How cost accounting systematically distorts product costs. Accounting and management: Field study perspectives, 204-228.
    Cooper, R., & Kaplan, R. S. (1992). Activity-based systems: Measuring the costs of resource usage. Accounting horizons, 6(3), 1-13.
    De Franco, G., Hope, O. K., & Lu, H. (2017). Managerial ability and bank‐loan pricing.
    Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 44(9-10), 1315-1337.
    Demerjian, P. R., Lev, B., Lewis, M. F., & McVay, S. E. (2013). Managerial ability and
    earnings quality. The accounting review, 88(2), 463-498.
    Demerjian, P., Lev, B., & McVay, S. (2012). Quantifying managerial ability: A new measure and validity tests. Management science, 58(7), 1229-1248.
    Dhole, S., Liu, L., Lobo, G. J., & Mishra, S. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and
    financial statement comparability. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 40(1), 106800.
    Doshi, H., Kumar, P., & Yerramilli, V. (2018). Uncertainty, capital investment, and risk
    management. Management Science, 64(12), 5769-5786.
    El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Kim, Y., & Yoon, H. J. (2021). Policy uncertainty and
    accounting quality. The Accounting Review, 96(4), 233-260.
    Gulen, H., & Ion, M. (2016). Policy uncertainty and corporate investment. The Review of Financial Studies, 29(3), 523-564.
    Handley, K., & Limão, N. (2017). Policy uncertainty, trade, and welfare: Theory and
    evidence for China and the United States. American Economic Review, 107(9), 2731-83.
    Harjoto, M. A. (2017). Corporate social responsibility and degrees of operating and financial leverage. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 49(2), 487-513.
    Herrmann, P., & Datta, D. K. (2005). Relationships between top management team
    characteristics and international diversification: An empirical investigation. British Journal of Management, 16(1), 69-78.
    Hoberg, G., & Phillips, G. (2016). Text-based network industries and endogenous product differentiation. Journal of Political Economy, 124(5), 1423-1465.
    Holzhacker, M., Krishnan, R., & Mahlendorf, M. D. (2015). Unraveling the black box of cost behavior: An empirical investigation of risk drivers, managerial resource procurement, and cost elasticity. The Accounting Review, 90(6), 2305-2335.
    Horngren, C. T., Sundem, G. L., Elliott, J. A., & Philbrick, D. (2013). Introduction to
    financial accounting. Pearson Higher Ed.
    International Monetary Fund. (2012). Coping with high debt and sluggish growth. World Economic Outlook. World Economic and Financial Survey.
    Irvine, P. J., Park, S. S., & Yıldızhan, Ç. (2016). Customer-base concentration, profitability, and the relationship life cycle. The Accounting Review, 91(3), 883-906.
    Jiang, L., Pittman, J. A., & Saffar, W. (2017). Policy uncertainty and textual disclosure.
    Accounting Horizons.
    Jin, X., & Wu, H. (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and cost stickiness. Management Accounting Research, 52, 100750.
    John Wiley & Sons. Banker, R. D., & Byzalov, D. (2014). Asymmetric cost behavior.
    Journal of Management Accounting Research, 26(2), 43-79.
    Kallapur, S., & Eldenburg, L. (2005). Uncertainty, real options, and cost behavior: Evidence from Washington state hospitals. Journal of Accounting Research, 43(5), 735-752.
    Kama, I., & Weiss, D. (2013). Do earnings targets and managerial incentives affect sticky costs?. Journal of accounting research, 51(1), 201-224.
    Kaviani, M. S., Kryzanowski, L., Maleki, H., & Savor, P. (2020). Policy uncertainty and
    corporate credit spreads. Journal of Financial Economics, 138(3), 838-865.
    Lanen, W., Anderson, S., & Maher, M. (2013). Fundamentals of cost accounting. McGraw-Hill Education.
    Li, X. (2019). Economic policy uncertainty and corporate cash policy: International
    evidence. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 38(6), 106694.
    Luttmer, E. F., & Samwick, A. A. (2018). The welfare cost of perceived policy uncertainty: evidence from social security. American Economic Review, 108(2), 275-307.
    Mauer, D. C., & Ott, S. H. (1995). Investment under uncertainty: The case of replacement investment decisions. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 30(4), 581-605.
    McDonald, R., & Siegel, D. (1986). The value of waiting to invest. The quarterly journal of economics, 101(4), 707-727.
    Nagar, V., Schoenfeld, J., & Wellman, L. (2019). The effect of economic policy uncertainty on investor information asymmetry and management disclosures. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 67(1), 36-57.
    Nguyen, M., & Nguyen, J. H. (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and firm tax avoidance. Accounting & Finance, 60(4), 3935-3978.
    Oikonomou, I., Brooks, C., & Pavelin, S. (2012). The impact of corporate social performance on financial risk and utility: A longitudinal analysis. Financial Management, 41(2), 483-515.
    Petkevich, A., & Prevost, A. (2018). Managerial ability, information quality, and the design and pricing of corporate debt. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 51(4), 1033-1069.
    Weiss, D. (2010). Cost behavior and analysts’ earnings forecasts. The Accounting Review, 85(4), 1441-1471.
    Xu, Z. (2020). Economic policy uncertainty, cost of capital, and corporate innovation. Journal of Banking & Finance, 111, 105698.
    Yung, K., & Root, A. (2019). Policy uncertainty and earnings management: International evidence. Journal of Business Research, 100, 255-267.

    下載圖示 校內:立即公開
    校外:立即公開
    QR CODE