隨著網路與資通訊技術日新月異，且應用越來越廣泛，使得人們對網路的需求越來越強烈。為了滿足對於所有通信類型的巨大需求，通信衛星系統的設計正從地球靜止軌道衛星轉（Geostationary Satellite Orbits, GSO）移到非同步的低軌道衛星（Non-Geostationary Satellite Orbits, NGSO）。
如今，隨著多年來國際衛星業者投入大量資金來發展太空產業，使得衛星技術有突破性的成長，加上可重複使用的火箭的出現，衛星製造與發射的成本大幅度降低，促使國際大型衛星業者如SpaceX、OneWeb、Amazon與Telesat等相繼投入大量資源進入低軌衛星市場。其中以SpaceX之星鏈服務佈署最為積極，且即將進入我國市場。
　　因此，本研究結合情境分析法以及專家訪談以評估星鏈服務進入我國對國內通訊產業之影響。首先在通訊服務商中，使用了不確定軸面為分析架構，並產生了短期與長期兩個主要情境。其次，在通訊設備商中，本研究分為技術、國內環境，以及政府法規三大構面。並整理出低軌衛星中的設備製造將成為台灣未來的發展方向，尤其在四大產業中的衛星製造以及衛星地面設備。在頻譜管理中，本研究先整理出了可能發生干擾的情形，包含了最終用戶端上鏈訊號，以及地面收發站上鏈訊號。
　　在上述分析中，本論文亦加入了專家訪談。以半結構式的問卷，詢問專家們對於上述三個主題的看法，以進行分析與驗證。最終整理出星鏈服務引入我國後，對我國通訊產業雖然會造成一些衝擊，但以正面影響居多。
　　綜合上述，本研究希冀可以透過這份論文，提供我國不論是在通訊服務商、設備商，抑或是主管機關未來進行決策或商討時，提供些許參考方向。
　　
關鍵字：星鏈服務、通訊服務產業、通訊設備產業、頻譜管理、半結構式訪談

Due to the rapid growth of technology, the need for broadband wireless networks has increased in the modern world. To meet the huge demands required for all types of communication, the design of communication satellite systems has shifted from geostationary satellite orbits to non-geostationary satellite orbits.
The international satellite industry has invested a lot of money in developing the space industry, resulting in a breakthrough in satellite technology. Furthermore, the emergence of reusable rockets has greatly reduced the costs involved in satellite launches. These reasons have prompted large international satellite operators to keep investing the Low Earth Orbit (LEO) market. Among such operators, Starlink is the most active one, and its service may soon enter Taiwan’s market.
Therefore, to evaluate the impact of this market entry on the domestic communication industry, this study attempts to combine two methods of scenario analysis and expert interviews, dividing the research into three main parts: communication service providers, communication equipment providers, and spectrum management.
After the initial analysis, our study then proceeds with semi-structured expert interviews regarding the three topics mentioned above, validating the analysis described in the previous sections. Finally, the conclusion indicates that the introduction of Starlink services would have a mostly positive impact on the Taiwan communication industry.
In summary, we hope to provide some reference directions for future decisions about communication service providers, equipment manufacturers, and authorities in Taiwan.
Key Words: Starlink, communication service industry, communication equipment industry, spectrum management, semi-structured interview.

參考文獻
[1] Ž. Andreje and B. Batagelj, "Vrednotenje tehničnih lastnosti komunikacijskega omrežja majhnih satelitov Starlink," Elektrotehniski Vestnik, vol. 88, no. 1/2, pp. 1-7, 2021.
[2] M. Stanley, "Space:Investing in Space Exploration.," July. 2020 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/investing-in-space.
[3] 羅秋馨, "低軌衛星通訊網路管理與控制系統," 工業技術研究院 資訊與通訊研究所, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://ictjournal.itri.org.tw/content/Messagess/contents.aspx?&MmmID=654304432061644411&CatID=654313611231473607&MSID=1127367016306347162.
[4] P. Melechin, "All about the Starlink constellation," SPACEX 05.02 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.elonx.cz/vse-o-konstelaci-starlink/.
[5] I. Mcketta, "How Starlink’s Satellite Internet Stacks Up Against HughesNet and Viasat around the Globe," GLOBAL SPEEDS 08/04 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.speedtest.net/insights/blog/starlink-hughesnet-viasat-performance-q2-2021/.
[6] FCC, "Application for Fixed Satellite Service by Space Exploration Holdings, LLCSAT-LOA-20161115-00118 / SATLOA2016111500118," 10. 2021 2021. [Online]. Available: https://fcc.report/IBFS/SAT-LOA-20161115-00118.
[7] S. Mazumder, "5G Spectrum Series: What is Happening with 12 GHz?," 10. 2021 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/5g-spectrum-series-what-happening-12-ghz-shahed-mazumder.
[8] Ofcom, "UK Frequency Allocation Table (UKFAT)," 2022. [Online]. Available: http://static.ofcom.org.uk/static/spectrum/fat.html.
[9] HBR, "n258 (26 GHz)," no. 5g frequency bands [Online]. Available: https://web.archive.org/web/20210411012054/https://halberdbastion.com/technology/cellular/5g-nr/5g-frequency-bands/n258-26-ghz.
[10] 財團法人台北市公民教育基金會, "台灣網路報告," 財團法人台灣網路資訊中心, pp. 6-7, 10. 2021 2020.
[11] 國家傳播通訊委員會, "通訊傳播市場報告," 2020.
[12] 曹凱婷, "馬斯克和貝佐斯的太空夢，為何不能沒有台灣人？," 天下雜誌, 製造 12-17 2021. [Online]. Available:https://www.cw.com.tw/article/5119160.
[13] J. C. McDowell, "The low earth orbit satellite population and impacts of the SpaceX Starlink constellation," The Astrophysical Journal Letters, vol. 892, no. 2, p. L36, 2020.
[14] V. S. Reddy, "The spacex effect," New Space, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 125-134, 2018.
[15] M. Ilchenko, T. Narytnyk, V. Prisyazhny, S. Kapshtyk, and S. Matvienko, "The Internet of Things Space Infrastructure. Current State and Development Prospects," in Internet of Things: IntechOpen, 2021.
[16] Z. Fan, Y. Dai, and H. Minn, "Performance Analysis of Large-Scale NGSO Satellite-Based Radio Astronomy Systems," IEEE Access, vol. 9, pp. 93954-93966, 2021.
[17] T. Duan and V. Dinavahi, "Starlink space network-enhanced cyber–physical power system," IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 3673-3675, 2021.
[18] Z. Z. Kassas, J. Khalife, and M. Neinavaie, "The first carrier phase tracking and positioning results with Starlink LEO satellite signals," IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems, 2021.
[19] M. Hapgood, H. Liu, and N. Lugaz, "SpaceX—Sailing Close to the Space Weather?," vol. 20, ed: Wiley Online Library, 2022, p. e2022SW003074.
[20] 羅山珊, "我國固網業者經營 IPTV 服務之策略-以中華電信 MOD 為例," 2008.
[21] M. J. McIntosh and J. M. Morse, "Situating and constructing diversity in semi-structured interviews," Global qualitative nursing research, vol. 2, p. 2333393615597674, 2015.
[22] P. J. Schoemaker, "When and how to use scenario planning: a heuristic approach with illustration," Journal of forecasting, vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 549-564, 1991.
[23] 余序江, 許志義, and 陳澤義, 科技管理導論: 科技預測與規劃. 五南, 1998.
[24] D. L. Nielson, A heritage of innovation: SRI's First Half Century. SRI International, 2006.
[25] B. D. Schwartz and R. A. Sprouse, "L2 cognitive states and the full transfer/full access model," Second language research, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 40-72, 1996.
[26] R. K. Yin, Case study research: Design and methods. sage, 2009.
[27] T. Wachyudi, A. Daryanto, M. Machfud, and Y. Arkeman, "Biofuel supply chain risk mitigation strategy framework: Expert interview based Approach," Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 179-194, 2020.
[28] E. De Leeuw, "Self-administered questionnaires and standardized interviews," Handbook of social research methods, pp. 313-327, 2008.
[29] N. K. Denzin, The research act: A theoretical introduction to sociological methods. Transaction publishers, 2017.
[30] K. Hafeez, Y. Zhang, and N. Malak, "Core competence for sustainable competitive advantage: a structured methodology for identifying core competence," IEEE transactions on engineering management, vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 28-35, 2002.
[31] S. Satellite Industry Association, "State of the Satellite Industry Report " 2021. [Online]. Available: https://sia.org/news-resources/state-of-the-satellite-industry-report/.
[32] E. S. a. S. S. Expert, "Satellite communications." [Online]. Available: https://digital-platform.euroconsult-ec.com/.
[33] "太空衛星科技產業鏈簡介," 產業價值鏈資訊平台, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://ic.tpex.org.tw/introduce.php?ic=4100&stk_code=2314.
[34] 吳靜芳, "《56家關鍵台廠》馬斯克和貝佐斯的太空夢，為何不能沒有台灣人？," 天下雜誌, no. 製造, 12-02 2021.
[35] 經濟部, "經濟部 110 年度單位預算評估報告 110 年度單位預算評估報告," 05-14 110.