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研究生: 易禮卡
Wulandari, Rizka Indri
論文名稱: 洪水緊急疏散動態規劃:台灣台南市仁德區仁德里案例研究
A Dynamic Approach to Flood Emergency Evacuation Planning: Case Study of Rende Village, Rende District, Tainan City, Taiwan
指導教授: 謝正倫
Shieh, Chjeng-Lun
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 自然災害減災及管理國際碩士學位學程
International Master Program on Natural Hazards Mitigation and Management
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 151
外文關鍵詞: Flood, Network Analysis, Evacuation Route, Evacuation Zone, Community Based, Evacuation Planning
相關次數: 點閱:135下載:16
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  • Climate change brought many effects in human life such as increasing of an extreme event such as increasing global average temperature, the ocean becomes more acidic, extreme weathers become more frequently, tropical cyclones become stronger and sea level rise increased . This phenomena increase flood risk especially in urban area.
    Tainan as urban area has many history of flood events such as 2014 heavy rainfall, 2016 Typhoon Megi and 2017 Typhoon Haitang. Some area or Tainan city got inundated due to high intensity rainfall in short time. Regarding historical record of Tainan City flood event, Rende Village in Rende District has frequently flood events within last ten years.
    Because flood is a dynamic natural disaster, the time series of inundation condition is utilized to understand how inundation water depth affects the evacuation route from community to the shelters. This research used previous flood simulation modelling by Wong Hock-Kiet in 2018 (Wong, 2018) to generate flood evacuation route using Network Analysis Tool in ArcGIS. Water depth data generated by flood simulation was used as barrier to find evacuation route.
    The result of network analysis showed that different water depth condition may generate different evacuation route. From total 28 community points, 10 locations are in red zone, seven locations are in yellow zone and eleven locations are in green location. There are four destinations from five destinations available in this area are found as closest shelters. From those four, the closest one is Rende District Office and the farthest one is Tainan Metropolitan Park. However, Rende District Office has high possibility to get inundated as well because of the location. The most proper shelter is Tainan Metropolitan Park because the location is quite safe from inundation and it has big capacity. Hence it can accommodate the evacuee from this area.
    This paper proposed evacuation plan based on the result of evacuation route and time. The plan consists of nine part as below:
    1. Community Organization
    2. Community Monitoring System
    3. Community Warning System
    4. Evacuation Zoning
    5. Evacuation Time and Duration
    6. Evacuation Transportation
    7. Shelter Management
    8. Communication System
    9. Post-Event Management
    Those parts are some factors that is needed can help people get evacuated safely to shelter when flood occurred in that area.

    Table of Contents ABSTRACT i ACKNOWLEDMENT iii Table of Contents v List of Figures viii List of Tables x CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Study Area 5 1.2.1 Flood History in Tainan City 6 1.2.2 Flood Control Project in Tainan City 9 1.2.3 Rende District Evacuation Planning 11 CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW 13 2.1 Flood Disaster 13 2.2 Disaster Management 13 2.2.1 Risk Assessment 15 2.2.2 Disaster Mitigation 16 2.2.3 Disaster Preparedness 19 2.2.4 Disaster Response 20 2.2.5 Disaster Recovery 21 2.2.6 Community-based Disaster Management 22 2.3 Flood Simulation Modelling 23 2.3.1 SOBEK 23 2.3.2 MIKE 11 24 2.3.3 HEC-RAS 25 2.3.4 3Di 25 CHAPTER III METHODOLOGY 27 3.1 Flood simulation using 3Di Modelling 28 3.2 Network Analysis 29 3.2.1 Data Collecting 29 3.2.2 Data processing 39 3.2.3 Network Analysis Tools 45 3.2.4 Evacuation Planning 48 CHAPTER IV RESULT 49 4.1 Evacuation Route 49 4.1.1 2014 Heavy Rainfall 49 4.1.2 2016 Typhoon Megi 59 4.1.3 2017 Typhoon Haitang 65 4.1.4 Route Summary 74 4.2 Evacuation Time Estimation 77 CHAPTER V EMERGENCY EVACUATION PLAN 88 5.1 Community Organization 88 5.1.1 Community Structure 88 5.1.2 Community Participation 92 5.2 Community Monitoring System 93 5.3 Community Warning System 95 5.4 Evacuation Zoning 96 5.5 Evacuation Time and Duration 99 5.6 Evacuation Transportation 100 5.7 Shelter Management 101 5.8 Communication System 105 5.9 Post-event Management 107 5.9.1 Evaluation 108 5.9.2 Plan Revision 111 CHAPTER VI CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 112 6.1 Conclusion 112 6.2 Recommendation 114 Bibliography 116 Appendix 121 I. Network Analysis Result 121

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