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研究生: 林敬傑
Lin, Chin-Chieh
論文名稱: 風剪力對暴潮推算之影響
Effect of Wind Stress on Storm Surge Simulation
指導教授: 高家俊
Kao, Chia-Chuen
李汴軍
Li, Beng-Chun
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 水利及海洋工程學系
Department of Hydraulic & Ocean Engineering
論文出版年: 2008
畢業學年度: 96
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 47
中文關鍵詞: Princeton Ocean Model颱風暴潮風剪力
外文關鍵詞: wind stress, Princeton Ocean Model, Storm surge
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  • 應用數值模式推算颱風暴潮水位時,風剪應力的大小對於暴潮水位會產生影響。本文應用POM模式推算暴潮水位,檢討前人關於剪應力的研究成果,選擇適當的剪應力公式取代POM模式中的剪力項,以提升暴潮水位推算準確度。
    POM模式中原有的剪力項以風速為單一變化,然而實測數據迴歸(Moon,2004)顯示剪力值在風速上的分布範圍較大,表示影響剪利項的因素並非只有風速。由Moon(2004)利用風速及波齡之關係討論海表面阻力係數的分佈結果顯示,考慮波浪及風速雙變數所決定的剪力係數時能有效降低剪力係數的變動範圍,能更精準的決定剪力值的大小。本文利用Janssen(1989)所提出之包含波浪影響的剪力公式,將海表面總剪應力表示為:波致應力及紊流應力之和,再應用SWAN波浪模式求得海表面上的波致應力,將波致應力與紊流應力代入POM海洋模式中求取暴潮水位。
    利用2004年納坦颱風案例可驗證,以風速和波浪為雙變數的剪力公式能有效改善模式中原本對暴潮水位推算值偏高的情形,並可使暴潮水位的推算更接近實測值。

    The value of sea-surface stress is known to have impacts on the numerical simulation results of storm surge. To improve the simulation accuracy of storm surge, this research makes an in-depth discussion of the previous studies and proposses a more suitable wind stress formula for the Princeton Ocean Model (POM).The original wind stress formula of POM considers only wind speed. However, regression analysis of the actual meausrement data (Moon, 2004) shows that the predicted sea-suface stress has a greater variation range, which means the wind speed is not the only variable influential to the sea-surface stress. Furthermore, Moon’s study on the influence of wind speed and wave age to the sea surface stress also suggests that dual-variable stress formula that considers both the wind and the wave can provide more accurate calculatuion results and decrease the variation range of the sea-surface stress. This research adopts the formula presented by Janssen (1989), which consider both wave induced stress and turbulence stress, and the SWAN wave model to calculate the wave induced stress. Then, the wave induced stress and the turbulence stress are substituted into POM to simulate the storm surge. A set of historical typhoon data is applied to verify the proposed method. Experiment results show that the presented method can effectively improve the deviation of sea level suggested by POM and make the simulation result closer to the real monitoring value.

    摘要 ii Abstract iv 誌謝 v 目錄 vi 表目錄 ix 圖目錄 x 符號說明 xii 第一章 緒論 1 1-1前言 1 1-2文獻回顧 1 1-3研究動機與目的 2 1-4本文組織 3 第二章 暴潮推算模式 4 2-1 POM模式基本架構 4 2-2 POM模式應用於暴潮推算的假設條件 12 2-3暴潮動力機制 12 2-4 POM模式剪力項之探討 13 第三章 波浪對暴潮推算之影響 15 3-1 剪力項敏感度探討 15 3-2 波浪對剪力的影響 17 3-3 包含波浪因數的剪力公式 17 第四章 波浪模式與海洋模式的結合 23 4-1 模式結合的必要性 23 4-2 SWAN波浪模式基本架構 23 4-3 波浪引致剪力的決定方法 25 4-4 模式結合之計算流程 26 第五章 結合模式測試 28 5-1 模式設定 28 5-1-1 模式計算區域 28 5-1-2 邊界條件 28 5-1-3 颱風風場與氣壓場 30 5-2 颱風案例選定 32 5-3 實測潮位資料分析 33 5-4 暴潮推算結果的比較 34 第六章 結論與建議 44 6-1 結論 44 6-2 建議 44 自述 47

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