| 研究生: |
陳昊沅 Chen, Hao-Yuan |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
COVID-19期間區域經濟韌性及影響因素之研究 —以北部及南部區域為例 Study on Regional Economic Resilience and Influencing Factors Amid the COVID-19 : A Case Study of Northern and Southern Regions |
| 指導教授: |
胡太山
Hu, Tai-Shan |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
規劃與設計學院 - 都市計劃學系 Department of Urban Planning |
| 論文出版年: | 2024 |
| 畢業學年度: | 112 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 98 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 區域經濟韌性 、經濟韌性驅動因素 、多元迴歸模型 、COVID-19 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Regional economic resilience, Factors of economic resilience, Multiple regression model, COVID-19 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:53 下載:5 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
2019 年底 COVID-19 成為流行傳染病在世界各國間蔓延,並以異常的速度重創區域經濟發展,臺灣在變異株病毒的入侵下,陷入暫時性衰退。隨著疫情逐漸趨緩,衝擊事件所帶來的負面影響,讓我們重新去檢視人居環境及過去城市治理的優缺點,而在衝擊當下受到脆弱度、結構性因素影響,導致區域間呈現出不同程度的韌性、韌性驅動因素,除了對區域經濟產生影響外,也對通盤性的都市規劃提出質疑,因此有探究區域經濟韌性差異,並從中剖析影響經濟韌性因素之必要。
考量世界各國才剛從疫情中復甦,缺乏以疫情為衝擊事件的討論,另外既有文獻多以臺灣北部區域為實證範圍,缺乏針對南部區域的實證研究及南北區域間之比較,而南部地區卻在過去研究中被視為是應變災害、危機事件脆弱度較高的區域,有更迫切提升經濟韌性之必要,再加上南北區域差異甚大,無法以北部區域之觀點來代表南部區域的經濟韌性發展。
爰此,本研究欲以新冠疫情為衝擊事件,探討北部及南部區域在疫情下的韌性差異。首先,透過經濟韌性指標判別各區域的韌性程度,再由四象限法進行韌性程度的分類,最後以多元迴歸模型解析影響經濟韌性之因素,並彙整上述結果提出後續規劃對策上之建議。研究結果顯示,疫情對於北部區域的市中心,以及南部區域的市中心、偏鄉地區造成嚴重衰退,而從多元迴歸模型的結果推知,影響韌性因素存在差異性,在北部區域中知識創新對於經濟韌性的影響較大;南部區域中則是地方規劃治理、知識創新對於區域經濟韌性有較高的解釋力,應作為市中心、偏鄉地區在後疫情時代提升區域經濟韌性之參考。
At the end of 2019, COVID-19 spread rapidly worldwide, severely impacting regional economies. Taiwan experienced a temporary recession due to the virus's variants. As the pandemic eased, it became crucial to reassess the living environment and urban governance. Regions exhibited varying degrees of resilience, influenced by factors such as vulnerability and structural issues. This raised questions about urban planning and the need to explore economic resilience differences and their influencing factors.
Considering that countries around the world are just recovering from the pandemic, discussions focusing on COVID-19 as a shock event are still lacking. Moreover, existing literature largely focuses on the northern regions of Taiwan, with insufficient empirical research on the southern regions or comparisons between the northern and southern regions. However, the southern region, often regarded as more vulnerable to disasters and crises in past studies, has a more urgent need to enhance economic resilience. Additionally, the significant differences between the northern and southern regions mean that the economic resilience development of the southern region cannot be represented by the perspective of the northern region.
Thus, this study examines the resilience differences between northern and southern Taiwan during the pandemic. Using economic resilience indicators, the study classifies resilience levels and analyzes influencing factors with a multiple regression model. Findings indicate that the pandemic caused severe recessions in both northern and southern central areas. Knowledge innovation significantly impacts resilience in the north, while local governance and planning, alongside knowledge innovation, are crucial in the south. These insights are vital for enhancing economic resilience in post pandemic Taiwan.
中文文獻
1. 王勁峰、徐成東(2017)。地理探測器: 原理與展望。地理學報,72(1),116-134。
2. 王奇珍、朱英明(2021)。中國城市經濟韌性與影響因素研究。生態經濟,37(10),84-92。
3. 辛炳隆(2020)。論疫情下臺灣勞動市場現況與因應。臺灣勞工季刊,(63) 4-13。
4. 洪志銘(2023)。經濟韌性:概念與應用。經濟前瞻,(208),44-47。
5. 莊惠棋、胡太山、潘思錡(2023)。以 Covid-19 疫情重新檢視經濟韌性影響因子-以我國的北部區域為例。建築與規劃學報,23(1&2),51-68。
6. 游傑勛、胡太山(2023)。產業園區之經濟恢復力特徵與其影響因素。都市與計劃,50(1),1-26。
7. 鄭安廷(2023)。從產業群聚與生存觀點初探空間經濟韌性。規劃學報,41(1),1-17。
8. 內政部統計處(2022)。社會經濟資料服務平台。2023年12月27日,取自https://segis.moi.gov.tw/STATCloud/Index
9. 行政院主計總處(2022)。中央對直轄市及縣市社會福利補助經費。2024年1月11日,取自https://www.dgbas.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=1526&s=3591
10. 衛服部疾管署(2023)。傳染病統計資料查詢系統。2023年11月18日,取自https://nidss.cdc.gov.tw/nndss/DiseaseMap?id=19CoV
11. 經濟部統計處(2022)。批發、零售及餐飲業統計調查。2023年11月20日,取自:https://dmz26.moea.gov.tw/GMWeb/investigate/InvestigateEA.aspx
12. 經濟部統計處(2022)。工廠校正及營運調查。2024年3月29日,取自https://www.moea.gov.tw/Mns/dos/content/Content.aspx?menu_id=6813
13. 經濟部智慧財產局(2022)。中華民國專利資訊檢索系統統計。2024年2月10日,取自https://twpat1.tipo.gov.tw/twpatc/twpatkm
英文文獻
1. Angeon, V., & Bates, S. (2015). Reviewing Composite Vulnerability and Resilience Indexes: A Sustainable Approach and Application. World Development, 72, 140-162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.02.011
2. Angulo, A. M., Mur, J., & Trívez, F. J. (2017). Measuring resilience to economic shocks: an application to Spain. The Annals of Regional Science, 60(2), 349-373. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-017-0815-8
3. Balland, P.-A., Rigby, D., & Boschma, R. (2015). The technological resilience of US cities. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 8(2), 167-184.
4. Bishop, P. (2019). Knowledge diversity and entrepreneurship following an economic crisis: an empirical study of regional resilience in Great Britain. Entrepreneurship & Regional Development, 31(5-6), 496-515.
5. Boschma, R. (2015). Towards an Evolutionary Perspective on Regional Resilience. Regional Studies, 49(5), 733-751. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2014.959481
6. Briguglio, L., Cordina, G., Farrugia, N., & Vella, S. (2005). Conceptualising and measuring economic resilience. In Pacific Islands Regional Integration and Governance. https://doi.org/10.22459/pirig.11.2005.03
7. Briguglio, L., Cordina, G., Farrugia, N., & Vella, S. (2009). Economic Vulnerability and Resilience: Concepts and Measurements. Oxford Development Studies, 37(3), 229-247. https://doi.org/10.1080/13600810903089893
8. Bristow, G., & Healy, A. (2018). Innovation and regional economic resilience: an exploratory analysis. The Annals of Regional Science, 60(2), 265-284.
9. Carlsson, E., Steen, M., Sand, R., & Nilsen, S. K. (2014). Resilient peripheral regions? The long-term effects of ten Norwegian restructuring programmes. Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift-Norwegian Journal of Geography, 68(2), 91-101.
10. Chen, J., Ma, H., Yang, S., Zhou, Z., Huang, J., & Chen, L. (2023). Assessment of Urban Resilience and Detection of Impact Factors Based on Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis and GeoDetector Model: A Case of Hunan Province. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 12(10), 391.
11. Christopherson, S., Michie, J., & Tyler, P. (2010). Regional resilience: theoretical and empirical perspectives. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1), 3-10.
12. Crespo, J., Suire, R., & Vicente, J. (2014). Lock-in or lock-out? How structural properties of knowledge networks affect regional resilience. Journal of Economic Geography, 14(1), 199-219.
13. Dijkstra, L., Garcilazo, E., & McCann, P. (2015). The effects of the global financial crisis on European regions and cities. Journal of Economic Geography, 15(5), 935-949.
14. Doran, J., & Fingleton, B. (2016). Employment Resilience in Europe and the 2008 Economic Crisis: Insights from Micro-Level Data. Regional Studies, 50(4), 644-656. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2015.1088642
15. Du, Z., Zhang, H., Ye, Y., Jin, L., & Xu, Q. (2019). Urban shrinkage and growth: Measurement and determinants of economic resilience in the Pearl River Delta. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 29(8), 1331-1345. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-019-1662-6
16. Eraydin, A. (2016). Attributes and characteristics of regional resilience: Defining and measuring the resilience of Turkish regions. Regional Studies, 50(4), 600-614.
17. Fingleton, B., Garretsen, H., & Martin, R. (2012). Recessionary shocks and regional employment: evidence on the resilience of UK regions. Journal of regional science, 52(1), 109-133.
18. Foster, K. A. (2007). A case study approachto understanding regional resilience.
19. Fratesi, U., & Perucca, G. (2018). Territorial capital and the resilience of European regions. The Annals of Regional Science, 60(2), 241-264.
20. Giannakis, E., & Bruggeman, A. (2017). Determinants of regional resilience to economic crisis: A European perspective. European Planning Studies, 25(8), 1394-1415.
21. Giannakis, E., & Bruggeman, A. (2020). Regional disparities in economic resilience in the European Union across the urban–rural divide. Regional Studies, 54(9), 1200-1213.
22. Groot, S. P. T., Möhlmann, J. L., Garretsen, J. H., & de Groot, H. L. F. (2011). The crisis sensitivity of European countries and regions: stylized facts and spatial heterogeneity. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 4(3), 437-456.
23. Hassink, R. (2010). Regional resilience: a promising concept to explain differences in regional economic adaptability? Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1), 45-58. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsp033
24. Hill, E., Wial, H., & Wolman, H. (2008). Exploring regional economic resilience.
25. Holling, C. S. (1973). Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual review of ecology and systematics, 4(1), 1-23.
26. Hu, X., & Hassink, R. (2020). Adaptation, adaptability and regional economic resilience: A conceptual framework. Handbook on regional economic resilience, 54-68.
27. Hu, X., Li, L., & Dong, K. (2022). What matters for regional economic resilience amid COVID-19? Evidence from cities in Northeast China. Cities, 120, 103440. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2021.103440
28. Kitsos, A., & Bishop, P. (2018). Economic resilience in Great Britain: the crisis impact and its determining factors for local authority districts. The Annals of Regional Science, 60(2), 329-347.
29. Kitsos, A., Carrascal-Incera, A., & Ortega-Argilés, R. (2019). The role of embeddedness on regional economic resilience: Evidence from the UK. Sustainability, 11(14), 3800.
30. MacKinnon, D., & Derickson, K. D. (2012). From resilience to resourcefulness: A critique of resilience policy and activism. Progress in human geography, 37(2), 253-270.
31. Martin, R. (2012). Regional economic resilience, hysteresis and recessionary shocks. Journal of Economic Geography, 12(1), 1-32. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbr019
32. Martin, R., & Gardiner, B. (2019). The resilience of cities to economic shocks: A tale of four recessions (and the challenge of Brexit). Papers in Regional Science, 98(4), 1801-1832.
33. Martin, R., & Sunley, P. (2011). Conceptualizing Cluster Evolution: Beyond the Life Cycle Model? Regional Studies, 45(10), 1299-1318. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2011.622263
34. Martin, R., & Sunley, P. (2015). On the notion of regional economic resilience: conceptualization and explanation. Journal of Economic Geography, 15(1), 1-42.
35. Martin, R., & Sunley, P. (2020). Regional economic resilience: Evolution and evaluation. Handbook on regional economic resilience, 10-35.
36. Martin, R., Sunley, P., Gardiner, B., & Tyler, P. (2016). How regions react to recessions: Resilience and the role of economic structure. Regional Studies, 50(4), 561-585.
37. Nicola, M., Alsafi, Z., Sohrabi, C., Kerwan, A., Al-Jabir, A., Iosifidis, C., Agha, M., & Agha, R. (2020). The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19): A review. International journal of surgery, 78, 185-193.
38. OECD. (2020). Policy Responses to Coronavirus (COVID-19). A Systemic Resilience Approach to Dealing with COVID-19 and Future Shocks.
39. Pavel, A., Moldovan, B. A., Kourtit, K., & Nijkamp, P. (2020). Urban or Rural: Does It Make A Difference for Economic Resilience? A Modelling Study on Economic and Cultural Geography in Romania. Sustainability, 12(9). https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093776
40. Pike, A., Dawley, S., & Tomaney, J. (2010). Resilience, adaptation and adaptability. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1), 59-70.
41. Reinhart, C. M., & Rogoff, K. S. (2009). The aftermath of financial crises. American Economic Review, 99(2), 466-472.
42. Sensier, M., Bristow, G., & Healy, A. (2016). Measuring Regional Economic Resilience across Europe: Operationalizing a complex concept. Spatial Economic Analysis, 11(2), 128-151. https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2016.1129435
43. Simmie, J., & Martin, R. (2010). The economic resilience of regions: towards an evolutionary approach. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1), 27-43.
44. Song, G., Zhong, S., & Song, L. (2022). Spatial Pattern Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors in County Economic Resilience in China. Sustainability, 14(14). https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148703
45. Swanstrom, T. (2009). Regional resilience: a critical examination of the ecological framework.
46. Volkov, A., Žičkienė, A., Morkunas, M., Baležentis, T., Ribašauskienė, E., & Streimikiene, D. (2021). A Multi-Criteria Approach for Assessing the Economic Resilience of Agriculture: The Case of Lithuania. Sustainability, 13(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/su13042370
47. Wang, J., & Xu, C. (2017). Geodetector: Principle and prospective. Acta Geogr. Sin, 72(01), 116-134.
48. Yu, S., & Kim, D. (2021). Changes in regional economic resilience after the 2008 global economic crisis: The case of Korea. Sustainability, 13(20), 11392.
49. Zhao, R., Zhan, L., Yao, M., & Yang, L. (2020). A geographically weighted regression model augmented by Geodetector analysis and principal component analysis for the spatial distribution of PM2. 5. Sustainable Cities and Society, 56, 102106.