| 研究生: |
張志明 Thammanant, Piyawat |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
Impact of the Thailand Futures Exchange on the Stock Exchange of Thailand Impact of the Thailand Futures Exchange on the Stock Exchange of Thailand |
| 指導教授: |
張紹基
Chang, Shao-Chi |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班 Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master) |
| 論文出版年: | 2009 |
| 畢業學年度: | 97 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 38 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Granger causality, Futures, Spot, EGARCH, Cointegration, ECM, Thailand |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:66 下載:0 |
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Recent empirical researches heavily discussed over the impact of derivatives trading on spot market in three aspects: efficient market hypothesis (EMH), lead-lag relationship and pattern of spot index volatility. This paper examines the impact of the introduction of stock index futures on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) using daily data for period April 2003-April 2009. To test the efficient market hypothesis, cointegration analysis is used for this study. The lead-lag relationship is investigated through the error correction model and the impact on spot index volatility is detected by EGARCH model. The results found that there is long-run equilibrium for spot index and futures prices. This implies futures can be unbiased estimator for future spot price. The results also suggest that the direction of both long-and short-run causality is from spot prices to futures prices and the introduction of futures trading increases the conditional volatility of SET50 index.
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校內:2109-07-10公開