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研究生: 曾暐竣
Tseng, Wei-Chun
論文名稱: 探討日交易者的紀律、策略與績效的互動關係
Investigation of the Interactive Relationship among the Disciplines, the Strategies, and the Performances of the Day Traders
指導教授: 李宏志
Li, Hung-Chih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 42
中文關鍵詞: 紀律策略績效最大曝險
外文關鍵詞: Discipline, Strategy, Performance, the most Exposure
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  • 本研究係針對在2005年台灣期貨交易所於電子期貨(TE)與金融期貨(TF)中交易至少四個月以上的純日交易者(day-trader)做為研究對象,分別對於電子期貨(TE)與金融期貨(TF)來探討交易者前後期交易的紀律、策略與績效相互影響情況。另外再針對前期最大曝險、紀律、策略與績效對下期最大曝險的影響作探討。研究結果發現,以Cheng et al. (2012)所衍生出的紀律變數DV相較以Locke and Mann (2005)所設計的紀律變數DURv更具有解釋力,另外也發現交易者在前期發生虧損時,下期能承受較大風險以獲得較佳的報酬,此結果支持Coval and Shumway (2005)的發現。

    The research is aimed at the subject – the pure day traders who traded in the electronic futures and the financial futures at least four months in Taiwan Futures Exchange during 2005. Separately regarding the electronic futures and the financial futures, the research investigates into the mutual influence between the traders, disciplines, strategies, and the performances in the preceding and current periods. Furthermore, the research also investigates how the most exposure, discipline, strategies, and performances in the preceding periods influence the most exposure in the next periods. The results of the research suggest that based on Cheng et al. (2012) derivative discipline variable DV and Locke and Mann (2005) designed discipline variable DURv, Cheng et al. (2012) has been more explainable. On the other hand, the research also suggests that when the traders had had losses in the prior period, they could bear greater risk to get better gains. The conclusion supports Coval and Shumway (2005) research findings.

    摘 要 I Abstract II 誌 謝 III 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的及貢獻 4 第三節 研究架構 5 第二章 文獻回顧 6 第一節 紀律(Discipline)的探討 6 第二節 動能(Momentum)與反向(Contrarian)交易策略的探討 8 第三章 研究方法 11 第一節 資料來源及研究期間 11 第二節 研究方法設計 15 第三節 變數說明 22 第四章 研究結果 24 第一節 基本敘述性統計 24 第二節 迴歸結果分析 27 第五章 結論與建議 38 第一節 研究結論 38 第二節 研究建議 39 參考文獻 40

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