鳥擊對於航空運輸而言，是非常難以預測的問題。國際民航組織(ICAO)第14條附約中，規定機場採用安全管理系統(SMS)進行鳥擊防制。安全管理系統是一個系統化管理安全的方法。透過危害確認與風險管理，控制風險在容許範圍之內。安全管理系統的程序為：危害辨認、風險評估、以及改善措施。本研究使用安全管理系統，分別以拉維飛行法與動態預測兩種方法，分析機場的鳥擊風險，並以臺灣桃園國際機場為實際案例。
拉維飛行法能夠分析不同物種發生鳥擊的機率與嚴重程度，再根據不同的風險值做分類，亦可比較出不同跑道鳥擊風險值的不同，因此夠作為機場地點選用的參考。結果顯示需特別留意的鳥種有：夜鷺、黃頭鷺、大白鷺以及蒼鷺。動態預測方法中則採用雷達來偵測機場周邊的鳥類，進而預測未來可能發生的鳥擊事件。世界各地許多大型的機場皆有安裝鳥擊防制雷達。但在實際操作減緩措施時是有困難的。動態預測法中，將未來可能發生的鳥擊事件做風險分析，並予以管制人員風險值與時間的關係圖做為參考，以便直接的辨認何種條件下，對於飛行是較為安全的。

Bird strike is a highly unpredictable problem in air transportation. The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) has adopted the safety management system (SMS) to manage bird strike risks. SMS is defined as a systematic approach to manage safety. The procedures include: hazard identification, safety risk assessment and mitigation. In this thesis, the SMS was used with the Lévy flight method and a dynamic predicative method on Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport (ICAO: RCTP, IATA: TPE).
The probability, severity, and risk of different species of birds can be accessed by using the Lévy flight method. Species can thereby be categorized into different risk levels. The risk of different runways can also be calculated. Therefore, the risk values can be used as reference when choosing an airport location. Results show that the Black Crowned Night Heron, the Cattle Egret, the Great Egret, and the Grey Heron possess higher risks at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport. In the dynamic predictive method, the radar is used to detect the birds surrounding the airport. It can calculate the risk for imminent bird strikes and provide the value of risk over time to the ATCs, which can enable ATCs to directly decide when it would be safer for flight operation.

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