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研究生: 鄭雅楓
Cheng, Ya-Feng
論文名稱: 臺灣公路運輸與短程海運之環境與經濟效益分析
The Environmental and Economic Benefit Analysis of the Multi-Transport Mode of Road and Short Sea Shipping in Taiwan
指導教授: 張瀞之
Chang, Ching-Chih
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 91
中文關鍵詞: 短程海運CO2排放量SO2排放量總營運成本碳稅
外文關鍵詞: Short Sea Shipping, CO2 Emission, SO2 Emission, Total Operating Cost, Carbon Tax
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  • 本研究以純公路運輸與海公路複合運輸探討臺灣進、出口貨櫃之運輸,估算不同情境之下,每延噸公里CO2排放量與SO2排放量之差異,為環境效益分析;且估算不同情境之下,每延噸公里總營運成本之差異,為經濟效益分析。本研究共採用七個情境,分別是(1)100%之純公路運輸;(2)70%之純公路運輸、30%之海公路複合運輸;(3)60%之純公路運輸、40%之海公路複合運輸;(4)50%之純公路運輸、50%之海公路複合運輸;(5)40%之純公路運輸、60%之海公路複合運輸;(6)30%之純公路運輸、70%之海公路複合運輸;(7)100%之海公路複合運輸。本研究最後利用碳稅與需求價格彈性之概念,探討貨櫃運輸業者轉移至海公路複合運輸之可能性,以及探討距離因素對於運輸模式選擇之影響。

    研究結果顯示,(1)以情境七之100%海公路複合運輸進、出口貨櫃,可使CO2排放量最少,且短程海運使用輕油燃料,可使SO2排放量最少,為最符合環境效益之運輸模式;(2)以情境七之100%海公路複合運輸進、出口貨櫃,可使總營運成本最低,為最符合經濟效益之運輸模式,且短程海運使用重油燃料之總營運成本略低於輕油,但差異不顯著;(3)欲使100%之純公路運輸轉移某一比例至海公路複合運輸,在短距離之情況下,必須制訂較高之碳稅稅率;(4)在公路距離相同之情況下,海運距離愈長,愈適合海公路複合運輸。最後,本研究建議課徵碳稅之政策實施可使純公路運輸轉移至海公路複合運輸,亦建議短程海運之燃料應以輕油取代重油。

    This paper explores the movement of import and export containers through road transportation and sea-road intermodal transport in Taiwan. The analyses of CO2 emissions, SO2 emissions and total operating costs per tonne-kilometer are called environmental benefit analysis and economic benefit analysis respectively, and these two factors are being compared under different scenarios. We establish seven scenarios having different proportions of road transportation and sea-road intermodal. We employ the concept of the carbon tax and the price elasticity of demand to explore the possibility of container transport operators switching to sea-road intermodal, and further investigate the influence of distance factor for the transport mode selection.

    The result shows that the transportation of import and export containers through entirely on sea-road intermodal (scenario 7) produces the least amount of CO2 emissions and incurs the least total operating costs. Meanwhile short sea shipping using MGO as fuel can produce the least amount of SO2 emissions. As a result, Sea-road intermodal is the most environmental and economic beneficial transport mode. Furthermore, in order to switch a proportion of road transportation to sea-road intermodal when considering short distances, a higher rate of the carbon tax needs to be developed. Then, when the distance of road transportation is the same, the case of longer shipping distance is more appropriate for sea-road intermodal. Finally, this paper recommends that the policy implementation of the carbon tax can make road transportation switch to sea-road intermodal, and suggests that short sea shipping should use MGO instead of HFO as fuel.

    目錄I 表目錄V 圖目錄VII 第一章 緒論1 1.1 研究背景1 1.2 研究動機5 1.3 研究目的10 1.4 研究架構12 第二章 文獻回顧13 2.1 短程海運發展之相關文獻13 2.2 二氧化碳排放之相關文獻14 2.3 公路與海運總運輸成本之相關文獻 18 2.4 碳稅與需求價格彈性之相關文獻21 2.5 小結23 第三章 研究方法27 3.1 變數說明27 3.2 燃料消耗量模型29 3.2.1 公路運輸之燃料消耗量模型29 3.2.2 短程海運之燃料消耗量模型30 3.3 CO2排放量模型33 3.3.1 公路運輸之CO2排放量模型33 3.3.2 短程海運之CO2排放量模型34 3.3.3 CO2排放量比較模型34 3.4 SO2排放量模型35 3.4.1 公路運輸之SO2排放量模型35 3.4.2 短程海運之SO2排放量模型36 3.4.3 SO2排放量比較模型36 3.5 總營運成本模型37 3.6 課徵碳稅之相關模型38 3.7 小結39 第四章 實證分析40 4.1 情境說明40 4.2 資料蒐集42 4.2.1 進、出口貨櫃量42 4.2.2 公路行駛距離44 4.2.3 公路延噸公里之燃料消耗量45 4.2.4 貨櫃船主引擎功率與負載率46 4.2.5 海運航行距離與航行速度47 4.2.6 特定燃油消耗係數48 4.2.7 CO2排放係數49 4.2.8 SO2排放係數50 4.2.9 總營運成本52 4.3 環境效益分析53 4.3.1 情境一54 4.3.2 情境二55 4.3.3 情境三56 4.3.4 情境四57 4.3.5 情境五59 4.3.6 情境六60 4.3.7 情境七61 4.4 經濟效益分析66 4.4.1 情境一67 4.4.2 情境二67 4.4.3 情境三68 4.4.4 情境四69 4.4.5 情境五70 4.4.6 情境六71 4.4.7 情境七72 4.5 課徵碳稅之相關分析75 4.6 探討距離之相關分析76 第五章 結論與建議79 5.1 結論79 5.2 建議82 5.3 研究限制82 5.4 未來研究方向83 參考文獻85 中文文獻85 英文文獻86

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