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研究生: 英格麗
Tagal, Ingrid Balatero
論文名稱: Earnouts: An Analysis of the Postacquisition Period
Earnouts: An Analysis of the Postacquisition Period
指導教授: 張紹基
Chang, Shao-Chi
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班
Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master)
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 68
中文關鍵詞: EarnoutContractsEarnout announcementMergersProbit analysis.
外文關鍵詞: Earnout, Contracts, Earnout announcement, Mergers, Probit analysis.
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  • This paper examines the relationship of the contractual terms in an earnout agreement, specifically earnout size, length of earnout period, and inter-industry acquisition, to the actual postmerger earnout payment. The researcher hypothesized that larger earnout size, shorter earnout period, and same-industry takeover would most likely lead to a full or positive earnout payment. A sample of 4,790 mergers and acquisitions with earnout provisions were examined. Descriptive analysis, Cluster analysis, Correlation analysis, and Probit analysis were employed to test the aforementioned premises. Results suggested that earnout size and earnout period are significantly related to the actual payment of an earnout. This study, being one of the pioneering studies of postmerger analysis of earnouts, could be an anchor point for future earnout researches. Thus, this paper presents a significant contribution to the limited earnout literature, to the increasing mergers and acquisitions studies, and to the vast literature of finance.

    This paper examines the relationship of the contractual terms in an earnout agreement, specifically earnout size, length of earnout period, and inter-industry acquisition, to the actual postmerger earnout payment. The researcher hypothesized that larger earnout size, shorter earnout period, and same-industry takeover would most likely lead to a full or positive earnout payment. A sample of 4,790 mergers and acquisitions with earnout provisions were examined. Descriptive analysis, Cluster analysis, Correlation analysis, and Probit analysis were employed to test the aforementioned premises. Results suggested that earnout size and earnout period are significantly related to the actual payment of an earnout. This study, being one of the pioneering studies of postmerger analysis of earnouts, could be an anchor point for future earnout researches. Thus, this paper presents a significant contribution to the limited earnout literature, to the increasing mergers and acquisitions studies, and to the vast literature of finance.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I ABSTRACT II TABLE OF CONTENTS III LIST OF TABLES V LIST OF FIGURES VI CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Motivation. 2 1.2 Objectives and Contributions. 3 1.3 Research Protocol. 5 1.4 Structure of the Study. 6 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 7 2.1 Mergers and Acquisitions. 7 2.2 Earnouts in Merger Transactions. 11 2.2.1 The Gillette-Toni Merger in 1948. 13 2.2.2 A Chronology of Empirical Studies on Earnout. 14 2.2.3 Benefits and Limitations of Earnouts. 19 2.2.4 Users of Earnout Contracts. 23 2.2.5 Heterogeneity of an Earnout. 24 2.2.6 Market Perception on Postmerger Period. 25 2.3 Hypotheses Development. 26 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 29 3.1 Research Model. 29 3.2 Data Collection. 31 3.2 Variables Definition. 32 3.2.1 Independent Variables. 32 3.2.2 Dependent Variables. 32 3.2.3 Control Variables. 33 3.3 Data Analysis Methodology. 34 3.3.1 Descriptive Analysis. 34 3.3.2 Cluster Analysis. 34 3.3.3 Correlation Analysis. 35 3.3.4 Multiple Regression Analysis. 35 CHAPTER FOUR RESEARCH RESULTS 37 4.1 Descriptive Analysis. 37 4.2 Cluster Analysis. 46 4.3 Pearson’s Correlation Analysis. 49 4.4 Probit Multiple Regression Analysis. 50 CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS 53 REFERENCES 57 APPENDIX 61 Appendix 1: Sample of Earnout Contract- American Bar Association (2004) 61 Appendix 2: Ordinary Least-Squares (OLS) Multiple Regression Results 66

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