| 研究生: |
吳昇鴻 Wu, Sheng-Hung |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
公司於流動比率偏低或每股淨值偏低時現金流量資訊有用性探究 A Study on the Interpretation of Cash Flow for Companies with lower Current Ratio or Equity Per Share |
| 指導教授: |
林玲芬
Lin, Ling-Fen |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 會計學系 Department of Accountancy |
| 論文出版年: | 2007 |
| 畢業學年度: | 95 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 72 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 每股淨值 、流動比率 、現金流量表 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | current ratio, equity per share, cash flow statement |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:70 下載:4 |
| 分享至: |
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就財務會計的學術發展,自Ohlson(1995)的模型假說後,把資產負債表及損益表數字和股價作了強而有力的連結。因此國外學者如Trueman et al.(2001)等及國內如吳鈞麟(2003)等,皆直接引用Ohlson model或是間接採用Ohlson model的假設精神進行了一連串股價和財務報表數字的探討。而本研究是要借由Ohlson model的精神,採用Barth(1998)所提出的模型,並採取Trueman et al.(2001)對模型進一步拆解的概念,來進行實證檢測。
本研究探討現金流量於評估企業股票價值時所佔的地位,透過和正常公司樣本比較,進一步來對公司流動比率低於0.8或每股淨值不足10元的公司樣本作探討。並以帳面價值、稅後淨利及營業現金流量對股價的解釋力,透過模型,來對本研究四個假說進行檢證。經由實證結果,本研究結論如下:
一、正常企業當年度稅後淨利對其股價的解釋力高於當年度營業現金流量對股價解釋力。
二、企業於流動比率偏低或每股淨值偏低時,當年度營業現金流量對股價解釋力高於稅後淨利。
三、正常企業當年度稅後淨利其損益表組成項目比現金流量表組成項目對股價有較高的增額解釋力。
四、企業於流動比率偏低或每股淨值偏低時,當年度稅後淨利其現金流量表組成項目比損益表組成項目對股價有較高增額解釋力。
After Ohlson’s model establishment in the Financial accounting field, the relationship between financial statements figures and stock price has deemed to be strongly relevant.
Many researchers, international or domestic, such as Dr. Trueman et al.(2001) or Dr. Jun Lin Wu (2003) all apply directly or indirectly the theory of Ohlson’s model into their study of the relationship between financial figures and stock price.
The report is to make the validation based on the spirit of Dr Ohlson’s model, and applied Dr. Barth’s model by adapted the concept from Dr Trueman et al’s further deposed on the model.
This report is the study on the interpretation strength of cash flow on stock price by comparing the normal companies and companies with current ratio lower than 0.8 or equity per share lower than $10.
By the relative impact from book value, net income after tax and operation cash flow to stock price, the study is to validate the four assumptions through the five set-up models.
The conclusions of the study are listed below after the verification:
1.For the interpretation on stock rice for normal company, net income after tax in current year is possessed higher impact than operation cash flow.
2.For companies with lower current ration or equity per share, the cash flow represents more powerful interpretation on stock price than current year net income.
3.For normal companies, the items of net income in income statement have stronger interpretation than those in cash flow on the increment of stock price.
4.For companies with lower current ration and equity per share, the items of net income in cash flow possess higher interpretation on the increment of stock price than items in income statement.
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