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研究生: 陳郁樺
Chen, Yu-Hua
論文名稱: 現金流、外部股權與研發支出:以台灣市場為例
Cash Flow, External Equity, and R&D Expenditures: Evidence from Taiwan’s Industry
指導教授: 黃炳勳
Huang, Ping-Hsun
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 46
中文關鍵詞: 研發支出內部現金流外部股權融資限制融資順位理論
外文關鍵詞: R&D expenditures, Internal cash flow, External equity, Financial constraints, Pecking Order Theory
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  • 本研究旨在探討 2014 年至 2024 年間,台灣全體上市櫃公司內部現金流與外部股權融資對研發支出的驅動效果,並進一步針對高科技產業進行子樣本的深入比較。儘管過往以美國市場為主的經典文獻主張,年輕公司的創新高度依賴外部股權市場的狂熱,但此外部股權驅動創新機制是否適用於台灣市場仍有待商榷。本研究運用動態追蹤資料 GMM 模型對台灣整體市場進行實證檢驗,結果發現與美國經驗截然不同的現象,全體上市櫃公司的外部股權對研發支出均呈現顯著的負向影響,且此一負向關聯在年輕的高科技公司中表現得最為強烈。相反地,內部現金流才是支持台灣企業創新的關鍵動能。此發現為融資順位理論提供了實證支持,極高的逆向選擇成本雖迫使企業避免發行新股,但顯著為負的關聯性進一步揭示了排擠效應,顯示外部股權主要被指定用於實體擴廠或償還債務,進而在當期排擠了長期的研發資源。反映出台灣作為散戶主導且資訊不對稱較嚴重的市場,極高的逆向選擇成本迫使企業避免發行新股。
    此外,台灣的年輕科技公司展現出高度的研發平滑化(Smoothing)特性,很可能透過集團企業注資或政府補助等獨特生態系來吸收融資衝擊,使其創新動能得以獨立於公開市場波動之外。本研究為台美資本市場結構與企業整體研發決策間的異質性,提供了最穩健的計量證據。

    This study investigates the driving effects of internal cash flow and external equity financing on research and development (R&D) expenditures across the entire Taiwan stock market from 2014 to 2024, with an additional in-depth analysis focusing on the high-tech industry. While classic U.S. literature posits that the R&D boom of young firms is heavily fueled by external equity markets, it remains unclear whether this equity-driven innovation mechanism applies to the Taiwan market. Utilizing a dynamic panel GMM model on the full sample of Taiwanese listed companies, this study identifies significant life-cycle and industrial heterogeneity. The empirical results starkly contrast with the U.S. experience: external equity exhibits a highly robust negative impact on R&D expenditures for the overall market, a phenomenon that is particularly pronounced in young high-tech firms. Instead, internal cash flow is the primary driver of innovation. These findings provide support for the Pecking Order Theory ,while prohibitive adverse selection costs force firms to avoid external equity, the significant negative relationship further captures a crowding-out effect, indicating that public equity is primarily earmarked for physical capacity expansion or debt repayment, thereby crowding out long-term R&D resources. Reflecting that in a retail-dominated market with severe information asymmetry, the exorbitant adverse selection costs of issuing new shares force firms to avoid external equity. Furthermore, Taiwanese young tech firms exhibit a high degree of R&D smoothing, likely supported by a unique ecosystem of affiliated business groups and government subsidies, allowing their innovation to remain independent of public capital market volatility. This study provides crucial econometric evidence for the structural differences in capital markets and corporate R&D decisions between Taiwan and the U.S.

    1. Introduction 6 2. Literature Review 9 2.1 Information Asymmetry and the Pecking Order Theory 9 2.2 The Academic Debate on Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity 9 2.3 The Evolving Role of External Equity in Driving Innovation 11 2.4 Comparison Between Young and Mature Firms 12 3. Research Method 13 3.1 Sample 13 3.2 Empirical Specification and Variable Definitions 13 3.3 Empirical Methods and Robustness 15 3.3.1 Dynamic Panel GMM 15 3.3.2 Robustness Checks 15 4. Empirical Result 18 4.1 Descriptive Statistics and Correlation Analysis 18 4.2 Dynamic Panel GMM Regression Results 21 4.2.1 Regression Analysis of the Full Sample of Listed Companies 21 4.2.2 Regression Analysis of the High-Tech Firm Sample 23 4.3 Summary of Empirical Results 25 4.4 Robustness Checks 26 4.4.1 Introducing Tobin’s Q to Control for the Profit Signaling Effect 26 4.4.2 Adjusting the Lag Periods of Instrument Sets 30 4.4.3 Modifying the Classification Thresholds for Firm Age 33 4.5 Chapter Summary 38 5. Conclusion 39 5.1 Summary of Empirical Results 39 5.2 Academic and Practical Contributions 40 5.3 Policy and Managerial Implications 41 5.4 Research Limitations and Future Directions 42 References 43

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