簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 葉維綱
Yeh, Wei-Kang
論文名稱: 經理人過度自信對回應競爭對手速度的影響
The effect of managerial overconfidence on the response speed to attacks
指導教授: 張紹基
Chang, Shao-Chi
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 國際企業研究所
Institute of International Business
論文出版年: 2012
畢業學年度: 100
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 27
中文關鍵詞: 過度自信回應速度降價公司治理
外文關鍵詞: Overconfidence, Response Speed, Price Cut, Corporate Governance
相關次數: 點閱:82下載:1
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 動態競爭的議題中,回應動機扮演了公司在決策是否採取反擊動作的重要因素。在過去的研究多半只考慮了公司層級的影響因素,對於個人層面的探討相對較少。然而,人格特質研究在行為財務學之中所扮演的角色也日漸趨增,例如:經理人過度自信的判斷。
    本文將探討經理人過度自信對於回應競爭對手速度的影響,以及加入公司治理的調節變數之下,經理人過度自信會對於回應競爭對手速度有何影響。而本文以寡占市場中的降價行為(如:航空、石油、汽車…等產業)做為實證的探討,因為寡占市場的動態競爭相對於自由競爭市場明顯。
    在學術貢獻上,本研究將針對Boyd and Bresser兩位學者於2008年所提出經理人過度自信對於回應競爭對手速度的原因,提供實證探討研究。因此,本篇研究的主軸將是探討在經理人過度自信的影響之下,回應競爭對手的速度會有何影響。

    Motivation for firms to consider whether or not respond to rivals is a crucial issue in dynamic competition. Previous studies emphasize more on the effects between firm-specific elements than the individual-related factors. However, personal characteristics such like the CEO overconfidence in judgment play more important roles in field of behavioral finance.
    In this study, we focus on the relation between CEO overconfidence and response speed within competitive dynamics perspective. Yet, we also provide the interaction term between overconfidence and corporate governance to examine the effect on response speed. This study adopt price cut events which occur in oligopoly industry as like airlines, petroleum, automobile and etc to test the hypotheses. The major reason for collecting events among oligopoly industry is the obvious competitive pattern.
    Contribution of this study is providing the empirical evidence on testifying the relation between overconfidence and response speed that proposed by Boyd and Bresser (2008) who only listed the potential reasons to explain both of the too fast and too slow response speed but no tests. Hence, we clarify how CEO overconfidence influences on response speed.

    Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Literature Review and Hypothesis Development 4 2.1 Response Speed 4 2.1.1. Motivations to Respond 4 2.1.2. Factors Influence on Response Speed 5 2.2 CEO Overconfidence 6 2.2.1. Causes of CEO Overconfidence 6 2.2.2. Investing Behavior of Overconfident CEO 6 2.3. Corporate Governance and CEO Overconfidence 8 Chapter 3 Data and Methodological Approach 9 3.1. Data 9 3.2. Variables 12 3.2.1. Dependent Variable 12 3.2.2. Independent and Moderating Variables 12 3.2.3. Control Variables 13 3.3. Summary Statistics 14 3.4. Regression Models 16 Chapter 4 Results and Discussions 17 4.1. Response speed and CEO overconfidence 17 4.2. Difference of Overconfident and Non-overconfident CEOs 18 4.3. Effects on Response Speed 20 Chapter 5 Conclusion 22 5.1. Conclusion 22 5.2. Limitation 22 5.3 Further Research 23 References 24 Appendix 27 Table 3.1 Event Distribution by Years 10 Table 3.2 Distribution of Industry Category 11 Table 3.3 Summary Statistics for Variables 15 Table 4.1 Mean Difference T-test for Variables 19 Table 4.2 Cross-Sectional Regression Analyses 21 Figure 4.1 Distribution of CEO overconfidence and response speed 17

    Alicke, M., Klotz, M. L., Breitenbecher, D. L., Yurak, T. J., & Vredenburg, D. S. (1995). Personal contact, individuation, and the better-than-average effect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 68(5), 804-825.
    Bertrand, M., & Schoar, A. (2003). Managing with Style: The Effect of Managers on Firm Policies. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4), 1169-1208.
    Boyd, J. L., & Bresser, R. F. (2008). Performance Implications of Delayed Competitive Responses: Evidence from the U.S. Retail Industry. Strategic Management Journal, 29(10), 1077-1096.
    Camerer, C., & Lovallo, D. (1999). Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach. The American Economic Review, 89(1), 306-318.
    Campbell, T. C., Gallmeyer, M., Johnson, S. A., Rutherford, J., & Stanley, B. W. (2011). CEO optimism and forced turnover. Journal of Financial Economics 101(3), 695–712.
    Chen, M. J., & Hambrick, D. C. (1995). Speed, Stealth, and Selective Attack: How Small Firms Differ from Large Firms in Competitive Behavior. The Academy of Management Journal 38(2), 453-482.
    Chen, M. J., & MacMillan, I. C. (1992). Nonresponse and Delayed Response to Competitive Moves: The Roles of Competitor Dependence and Action Irreversibility. The Academy of Management Journal 35(3), 539-570.
    Chen, M. J., Smith, K. G., & Grimm, C. M. (1992). Action Characteristics as Predictors of Competitive Responses. Management Science, 38(3), 439-455.
    Deaves, R., Lüders, E., & Schröder, M. (2010). The dynamics of overconfidence: Evidence from stock market forecasters. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 75(3), 402-412.
    Fama, E. F., & Jensen, M. C. (1983). Agency Problems and Residual Claims. Journal of Law and Economics 26(2), 327-349.
    Goel, A. M., & Thakor, A. V. (2008). Overconfidence, CEO Selection, and Corporate Governance. The Journal of Finance, 63(6), 2737-2784.
    Gompers, P., Ishii, J., & Metrick, A. (2003). Corporate Governance and Equity Prices. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 118(1), 107-155.
    Hambrick, D. C., & Mason, P. A. (1984). Upper Echelons: The Organization as a Reflection of Its Top Managers. The Academy of Management Review, 9(2), 193-206.
    Hart, P., & Mellons, J. (1970). Management youth and company growth: A correlation? Management Decision, 4(2), 50-53.
    Hayward, L. A., & Hambrick, D. C. (1997). Explaining the Premiums Paid for Large Acquisitions: Evidence of CEO Hubris. Administrative Science Quarterly 42(1), 103-127.
    Joskow, P. L. (1975). Firm Decision-making Processes and Oligopoly Theory. The American Economic Review, 65(2), 270-279.
    Kalra, A., Rajiv, S., & Srinivasan, K. (1998). Response to Competitive Entry: A Rationale for Delayed Defensive Reaction. Marketing Science, 17(4), 380-405.
    Kumar, K. R., & Sudharshan, D. (1988). Defensive Marketing Strategies: An Equilibrium Analysis Based on Decoupled Response Function Models. Management Science, 34(7), 805-815.
    Langer, E. J. (1975). The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 32(2), 311-328.
    Larrick, R. P., Burson, K. A., & Soll, J. B. (2007). Social comparison and confidence: When thinking you're better than average predicts overconfidence (and when it does not). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 102(1), 76–94.
    Makadok, R. (1998). Can first-mover and early-mover advantages be sustained in an industry with low barriers to entry/imitation? Strategic Management Journal, 19(7), 683–696.
    Malmendier, U., & Tate, G. (2005). CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment. The Journal of Finance, 60(6), 2661-2700.
    Malmendier, U., & Tate, G. (2008). Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction. Journal of Financial Economics, 89(1), 20–43.
    March, J. G., & Shapira, Z. (1987). Managerial Perspectives on Risk and Risk Taking. Management Science, 33(11), 1404-1418.
    Masulis, R. W., Wang, C., & Xie, F. (2007). Corporate Governance and Acquirer Returns. The Journal of Finance, 62(4), 1851-1889.
    Miller, D. T., & Ross, M. (1975). Self-serving biases in the attribution of causality: Fact or fiction? Psychological Bulletin, 82(2), 213-225.
    Roll, R. (1986). The Hubris Hypothesis of Corporate Takeovers. The Journal of Business 59(2), 197-216.
    Urbany, J. E., & Dickson, P. R. (1991). Consumer Normal Price Estimation: Market Versus Personal Standards. Journal of Consumer Research 18(1), 45-51.
    Weinstein, N. D. (1980). Unrealistic optimism about future life events. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39(5), 806-820.

    無法下載圖示 校內:2017-06-27公開
    校外:不公開
    電子論文尚未授權公開,紙本請查館藏目錄
    QR CODE