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研究生: 虞平輝
Yu, Ping-Hui
論文名稱: 台灣上市股票價值性分析
Analysis of the Fundamental Value of Taiwan Listed Stocks
指導教授: 顏盟峯
Yen, Meng-Feng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2013
畢業學年度: 101
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 35
中文關鍵詞: 價值型投資法四因子模型多因子評等評等持續性
外文關鍵詞: Value investing, four-factor model, multi-factor valuation and persistent
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  • 以往的研究在探討價值型投資法(value investing)時,多以單一因子判定股票是否為價值型,並以一個時點對股票評等後,以長期的買入持有策略(buy and hold strategy)衡量績效。本研究則使用多因子(淨值市價比B/P、盈餘市價比E/P及現金股利市價比D/P)評量價值型股票的方法,對台灣上市公司(不含金融產業)進行價值型評等,並定期(每季)重新評等、調整投資組合的股票,累積各期間的績效,探討多因子價值型評量方法的績效。我們以相關分析和列聯表分析的方法測試多因子評等持續性和穩定性,以Carhart(1997)四因子模型計算價值型投資組合的alpha。我們發現在台灣市場,無論是每季、半年、年的評等都具有持續性,評等的高價值型股票,其現金股利殖利率和股價績效皆優於市場和低價值型股票。

    Previous studies have investigated the method of value-investing by using at least one single-factor to determine the value of stock. After evaluating the stock at a point of time, they have used buy-and-hold strategy to measure the performance. In this study, we have used multi-factor valuation (such as net market value by B/P ratio, the surplus market value by E/P ratio, and cash dividends market value by D/P ratio) to determine the value of stock. The data used are company listed in Taiwan Stock Exchange (exclude financial industry) for the multi-factor valuation, based on regular basis (quarterly) reassessment, adjusted portfolio shares, accumulated period for performance to investigate the multi-factor valuation for each assessment. We have used correlation and contingency analysis method to test the multi-factor ratings continuity and stability. Based on four-factor model used to calculate the value portfolio alpha in Carhart (1997), we have found for the market in Taiwan, either quarterly, six months, yearly assessment, they are all persistent, and its performance are superior in market and growth stocks.

    第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景 1 第二節 研究動機與目的 3 第二章 文獻探討 5 第一節 價值型溢酬 5 第二節 價值型因子 6 一、 淨值市價比 6 二、 現金股利殖利率 7 三、 盈餘市價比 9 第三節 MSCI價值型評量方法 11 第四節 Fama & French三因子模型 12 第五節 Carhart 四因子模型 12 第三章 研究方法 14 第一節 研究期間及選擇條件 14 第二節 資料來源 14 第三節 研究方法 15 一、 相關性分析 15 二、 列聯表分析 15 三、績效衡量模型 16 第四章 實證結果與分析 19 第一節 資料描述 19 第二節 現金股利殖利率T檢定 20 第三節 MSIC價值評等之持續性 24 第四節 四因子模型績效分析 27 第五章 結論與建議 31 第一節 主要發現 31 第二節 研究限制 32 第三節 研究建議 32 參考文獻 33

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    中文文獻:
    吳璟昇(1996),「價值型與成長型股票投資績效之研究-以台灣股票市場為例」, 國立政治大學財務管理學系碩士論文
    陳巧玲(2004),「價值型投資風格於台灣股票市場之研究」,國立政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文
    楊慶豪(2007),「台灣股票市場投資策略分析之研究-價值投資與成長投資之比較」,國立中山大學財務管理學系研究所碩士論文
    張雅媛 (2006),「台灣發放現金股利趨勢與產業結構變遷之關聯」,國立政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文

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