| 研究生: |
林侑萱 Lin, Yu-Hsuan |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
應用地理人工智慧於細懸浮微粒低暴露路徑規劃之研究:以臺中市為例 PM2.5 Low-Exposure Route Optimization Using a Geo-AI-Based Approach: A Case Study of Taichung City |
| 指導教授: |
吳治達
Wu, Chih-Da |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
工學院 - 測量及空間資訊學系 Department of Geomatics |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 116 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 細懸浮微粒 、微型感測器 、地理人工智慧 、空間推估 、低暴露路徑 、暴露評估 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | PM2.5, Microsensor calibration, Geo-AI, Spatial estimation, Low-exposure route optimization |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:5 下載:0 |
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細懸浮微粒(PM2.5)濃度分布會隨時間與地點改變,使不同通行路徑產生不同之累積污染暴露。微型感測器(以下簡稱微感器)可補充中央測站之空間觀測密度,惟其量測結果仍需經適當校正。本研究以中部空品區資料建置微感器校正模型與PM2.5空間推估模型,據此產製臺中市50 m空間解析度之PM2.5圖資,再將不同時間之濃度分布轉換為道路路段暴露成本,以行人移動情境進行低暴露路徑規劃與分析。另利用2023年全年逐日資料,比較暴露減少日數、路徑距離、時段、季節及區域之減量差異,並建置PM2.5圖資自動化產製流程。
微感器校正模型採用隨機森林迴歸(Random Forest Regressor, RFR),測試集R2為0.87,RMSE及MAE分別為3.55及1.73 μg/m3。PM2.5空間推估整合校正後微感器與氣象、植生、土地利用、污染源、交通路網及時間變數,比較五種機器學習模型後,選定輕量梯度提升機(Light Gradient Boosting Machine, LightGBM)之迴歸模型(LGBMR)為最終模型。其測試集R2為0.83,RMSE及MAE分別為4.31及2.10 μg/m3,外部驗證R2為0.65。SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations)分析結果中,校正後微感器PM2.5濃度為模型中重要性最高之變數。
低暴露路徑規劃分析使用10,000組起訖點樣本,於2023年362個有效分析日8時與17時之PM2.5推估結果,相較於最短路徑,低暴露路徑平均距離增加18.2 m,平均繞行比例為0.61%,平均PM2.5濃度由14.77降至14.59 μg/m3。各組平均全年累積暴露減少量為156,145 μg/m3·s,平均全年暴露減少率為0.62%,平均暴露減少日數為162日。暴露減少量與減少率均隨路徑距離增加,8時與17時之平均效益相近,6月至8月之減量較少;區域比較則以城區最高、海線次之,屯區及山線較低。最佳減量案例全年累積暴露減少量達3,670,780 μg/m3·s,減少率為12.57%;特定時段僅增加40 m,平均PM2.5濃度由21.83降至14.32 μg/m3,暴露減少率為33.65%。
PM2.5長期與短期暴露與呼吸系統、心血管疾病及死亡風險相關,因此降低行人日常移動過程中之累積PM2.5暴露,可作為個人健康防護策略之一。本研究以全年逐日資料評估低暴露路徑之累積減量效益,並透過最佳減量案例說明,在特定污染分布與路網條件下,小幅改道亦可能產生明顯減量。其效益受起訖點位置、PM2.5時空分布及路網可替代性影響。當鄰近存在距離相近且濃度偏低之替代道路時,小幅改道即可降低累積暴露。
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations vary over time and across nearby streets, creating route-dependent differences in cumulative exposure. This study developed an integrated framework combining microsensor calibration, Geo-AI-based PM2.5 spatial estimation, and low-exposure route optimization. Data from the Central Taiwan Air Quality Region were used to calibrate microsensors with a Random Forest Regressor (RFR) and to compare five machine learning models for spatial estimation. The selected Light Gradient Boosting Machine Regressor (LGBMR) generated time-specific 50-m-resolution PM2.5 maps for Taichung City. Predicted PM2.5 concentrations were assigned to road segments and used to calculate segment-level exposure costs. Route performance was evaluated at 8:00 and 17:00 on 362 valid days in 2023 using 10,000 stratified origin-destination (OD) pairs. The RFR achieved a test R2 of 0.87, while the LGBMR achieved a test R2 of 0.83 and an external-validation R2 of 0.65. Across all pairs, low-exposure routes added an average of 18.2 m, corresponding to a 0.61% detour, while reducing mean route concentration from 14.77 to 14.59 μg/m3. The mean annual cumulative exposure reduction was 156,145 μg/m3·s, with an exposure reduction rate of 0.62%. In the best-reduction case, annual cumulative exposure decreased by 3,670,780 μg/m3·s, corresponding to a 12.57% reduction. The benefits varied with route length, season, subregion, spatiotemporal patterns of PM2.5, and the availability of nearby alternative routes.
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