| 研究生: |
顧芝菁 Ku, Chin-Ching |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
美國健保改革新聞之發布對生技醫療產業股價之影響 The Stock Price Reaction of Biotechnology and Medical Industries to the Health Care Reform’s News Release in the United States |
| 指導教授: |
黃華瑋
Huang, Hua-Wei |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 會計學系 Department of Accountancy |
| 論文出版年: | 2013 |
| 畢業學年度: | 101 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 56 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 事件研究法 、累積異常報酬 、健保改革 、生技醫療產業 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | event study, cumulative abnormal return(CAR), health care reform, biotechnology and medical industries |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:105 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
近年來,美國健保改革爭議不斷,龐大的預算支出及持續成長的醫療費用都成為外界討論之議題。過去探討健保改革的文獻,多以降低藥價的政策或針對某些藥廠為主,較少針對整體產業所受之影響去作探討。本研究探討在健保改革新聞釋出後美國生技醫療產業的市場反應,並針對健保改革中的降低藥價政策及生技學名藥的開放作探討,觀察其和研發費用、無形資產的關聯。本研究以2009年到2011年共三年的資料,總計1,885家生技醫療公司,共46,962筆觀測值做為樣本進行研究。
如同預期,該健保改革相關新聞釋出後,生技醫療產業呈現正向反應的累積異常報酬,顯示該健保改革有利於生技醫療產業。此外,健保改革法案最終目的為降低藥價,在藥價控管之下,我們發現研發費用投入的比率與累積異常報酬呈現顯著負相關。意味著投入較少研發費用的公司在健保改革新聞釋出時股價反而表現亮眼;然而,無形資產比率亦如預期在健保改革相關新聞釋出後和股價反應呈現正相關。
The argument about health care reform is continuously in the recent year, the medical expenditure which is still in growth and the huge budget spending are the issues discussed by outsiders. Past studies which discussed the health care reform always focus on particular policy such as lower drug prices or some pharmaceutical firms. It discussed few of effect on the whole industry. In this paper, we study the market reaction of the biotechnology and medical industries after the health care reform’s news release. It also uses the policies of drug price and generic drug to observe the association with R&D expense and intangible assets. In this paper, we use three years sample data from 2009 to 2011, total of 1,885 biotechnology and medical firms and 46,962 observations as our sample.
As expected, the biotechnology and medical industries are facing positive CAR after the health care reform’s news release which is implies that the both industries are benefit from the reform bill. In addition, the final target of the reform bill is lower drug price, we finds that the R&D investment ratio has negative relationship with CAR. It means that the less R&D expenses the better stock price when the reform’s news release; however, the ratio of intangible assets is also positive associated with the stock price after the news release.
Andrew P. Wilper, Steffie Woolhandler, Karen E. Lasser, Danny McCormick, David H. Bor and David U. Himmelstein(2009),“Health Insurance and Mortality in US Adults,” American Journal of Public Health, Vol 99, No. 12
Arthur B. LaFrance (2007), “Healthcare Reform in the United States: The Role of the States”, 6 Seattle Journal for Social Justice 199.
Amit Nigam and William Ocasio(2010), “Event Attention, Environmental Sensemaking Change in Institutional Logics: An Inductive Analysis of the Effects of Public Attention to Clinton’s Health Care Reform Initiative”, Organization Science, Vol. 21, No. 4, pp. 823–841.
Chen and Church (1996), “Going concern opinions and the market's reaction to bankruptcy Filings”, The Accounting Review, 71, 1; ABI/INFORM Global pg. 117-128.
Chan, L. K. C., J. Lakonishok; and T. Sougiannis(2001),“The Stock Market Valuation of Research and Development Expenditures”, Journal of Finance, 2431–2456.
Card, David, Carlos Dobkin, and Nicole Maestas (2008),“The Impact of Nearly Universal Insurance Coverage on Health Care Utilization: Evidence from Medicare”, American Economic Review, 98(5): 2242-2258.
David U. Himmelstein, Elizabeth Warren, Deborah Thorne, and Steffie Woolhandler(2005),“Illness and Injury as Contributors to Bankruptcy”, The American Journal of Medicine.
Dolley, J. C.(1933),“Common-stock split-ups—motives and effects”, Harvard Business Review 12, 70–81.
Den Hartog, Chris and Nathan W. Monroe (2008), “The Value of Majority Status: The Effect of Jeffords’s Switch on Asset Prices of Republican and Democratic Firms”, Legislative Studies Quarterly, Vol. 33(1), 63-84.
David Carey, Bradley Herring and Patrick Lenain(2009), “Health Care Reform in the United State”, OECD Economics Department, Working Papers No. 665.
Ellison, S. F., and C. Wolfram (2001), “Pharmaceutical Prices and Political Activity”, Working Paper, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Ellison, Sara F., Wallace P. Mullin (2001), “Gradual Incorporation of Information: Pharmaceutical Stocks and the Evolution of President Clintons Health Care Reform”, Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 44 (2), 89-129.
Edward G. Grossman, Craig A. Sterkx, Elonda C. Blount, Emily M. Volberding(2010),“The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act”, OFFICE OF THE LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL.
Fama, Eugene F., Lawrence Fisher, Michael C. Jensen and Richard Roll (1969), “The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information”, International Economic Review, Vol. 10(1), 1 – 21.
Finkelstein, A (2004),“Static and Dynamic Effects of Health Policy: Evidence from the Vaccine Industry”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 119, No. 2 , 527–564.
Finkelstein, Amy (2007),“The Aggregate Effects of Health Insurance: Evidence from the Introduction of Medicare”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(1–37).
Ferri, Michael G(2008),“The Response of US Equity Values to the 2004 Presidential Election”, Journal of Applied Finance, Vol. 18(1), 29-37.
Ivy Xiying Zhang(2007),“Economic consequences of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 44 (2007) 74–115.
Jake Nord '11(2011),“An Analysis on Investment into Research and Development and Its Influence on Profitability in the Medical Device Sector of the Economy”, The Park Place Economist, Volume 19 | Issue 1 Article 12
J L Read and K B Lee, Jr (1994),“Health care innovation: progress report and focus on biotechnology”, Health Affairs, 13, no.3:215-225
Jayachandran, Seema(2006),“The Jeffords Effect”, The Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 49(2), October 2006, 397-425.
Joseph Golec, Shantaram Hegde, and John A. Vernon (2010), “Pharmaceutical R&D Spending and Threats of Price Regulation”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Knight, Brian (2006),“Are policy platforms capitalized into equity prices? Evidence from the Bush/Gore 2000 Presidential Election”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 90 (4), 751-773.
Kawaura, Akihiko and Sumner J. La Croix (1995), “Japans Shift From Process to Product Patents in the Pharmaceutical Industry: An Event Study of the Impact on Japanese Firms”, Economic Inquiry. Vol . 33 (1), 88-103
Kathleen Sebelius(2011),“How Health Care Reform Helps Your Community”, Howard University School of Divinity Spring Convocation.
Laxmaiah Manchikanti, David Caraway, Allan T. Parr, Bert Fellows, and Joshua A. Hirsch(2011),“Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010: Reforming the Health Care Reform for the New Decade”, Pain Physician; 14:E35-E67 • ISSN 2150-1149
Lichtenberg, Frank R. (2004),“Public policy and innovation in the U.S. pharmaceutical industry”, In Public policy and the Economics of Entrepreneurship, eds. Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Harvey S.Rosen, MIT Press, Boston.
Nolan H. Miller and Mohamad Al-Ississ(2010),“What Does Health Reform Mean for the Health-care Industry? Evidence from the Massachusetts Special Senate Election”, NBER Working Paper No. 16193
McWilliams, Michael, Alan Zaslavsky, Ellen Meara, and John Ayanian (2003),“Impact of Medicare Coverage on Basic Clinical Services for Previously Uninsured Adults”, Journal of the American Medical Association, 290(6): 757-764.
OECD(2012),“OECD Health Data 2012 - Frequently Requested Data”
Peter A. Muennig and Sherry A. Glied(2010),“What Changes In Survival Rates Tell Us About US Health Care”, Health Affairs, 29, no.11:2105-2113.
Souginannis, T(1994), “The accounting based valuation of corporate R&D”, Accounting review,44-68.
Samuel H. Preston and Jessica Y. Ho (2009),“Low Life Expectancy in the United States: Is the Health Care System at Fault?”, NBER Working Paper No. 15213.
TEENA L. LERNER, “Health Care Reform: Impact on R&D and Innovation in the Biotechnology Industry”, Lehman Brothers 3 World Financial Center New York. New York 10285-1400, pg128-131
The Kaiser Family Foundation (2009), “National Health Insurance — A Brief History of Reform Efforts In The U.S.”, The Kaiser Family Foundation.
The Associated Press (2010), “A historical look at health care legislation”, The Associated.
U.S. Census Bureau (2006), “Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States”, U.S. Census Bureau.
Vernon, J. A (2002/2003),“Drug Research and Price Controls. Regulation Winter”, 22–25.
Vernon, J. A (2003),“Simulating the Impact of Price Regulation on R&D Innovation”, Pharmaceutical Development and Regulation, 55–65.
Vernon, J. A (2005), “Examining the link between price regulation and pharmaceutical R&D investment”, Health Econ. 14: 1–16.
World Trade Organization(2012),“World Trade Report 2012- Trade and public policies: A closer look at non-tariff measures in the 21st century”.
校內:2023-06-04公開