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研究生: 蘇筠
SU, YUN
論文名稱: 考慮銀行特有與總體因子下市場利率變動對銀行獲利能力的影響
The Impact of Market Interest Rates on Bank Performance Under Considering Bank-specific and Macroeconomic Factors
指導教授: 林軒竹
Lin, Hsuan-Chu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2015
畢業學年度: 103
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 42
中文關鍵詞: 市場利率銀行獲利能力資產負債管理
外文關鍵詞: Market interest rate, Asset liability management, Bank performance, Borrow short lend long
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  • 本研究主旨在考慮個體及總體因子之下,探討市場利率變動對美國銀行業獲利能力的影響,近而提供銀行業資產負債管理決策的參考。本研究主要透過三個層面探討市場利率變動的效果,分別是收入面(gross operating income)、成本面(total operating expenses)、淨收益面(net current operating earnings)。本文以北美所有銀行為樣本,樣本期間為2003-2014年,共2,681筆資料,研究模型主要參考Flannery (1981)的部分調整模型(partial adjustment model),實證結果發現面對市場利率變動對於成本面的衝擊較收入面強烈,且美國銀行業近年來傾向借短貸長政策,意味著面臨較高的流動性風險,所幸美國整體銀行業對於資產負債調整速度快,且資產負債的平均到期日較為一致,應可以有效避免流動性風險,此外,當市場利率下降時,美國銀行業不論長期或短期情況下都會有較佳的表現。透過本篇研究,希望可以提供銀行業在面對市場利率變動時資產負債管理決策的參考。

    This paper examines the relation between market interest rates and banks’ profitability by using America banking samples and tests whether the banks’ strategies are different from the past. I investigate the impact of different market yield rates on banks’ performances via three aspects including revenue, cost, and net income. The evidences show that market interest rate do have more impacts on the costs aspect than on the income aspect. Furthermore, the result also indicates that America banks have a tendency to “borrow short lend long”, which would put themselves into a high liquidity risk. However, this risk can be weakened by asset liability management. Finally, the finding shows that America banks have better profitability either in the short run or long run when market interest rate goes down.

    CONTENTS 摘要 i ABSTRACT ii 誌謝 iii 1. INTRODUCTION 1 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1 Key variable 5 2.2 Bank-specific determinants 6 2.3 Macroeconomic determinants 8 3. DATA AND METHODOLOGY 10 3.1 Data selection 10 3.2 Methodology 11 4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 17 4.1 The impact of market interest rate on America banking profit 19 4.2 Interest sensitivity of America banking 21 5. CONCLUSION 25 TABLES AND FIGURES 27 REFERENCE 39

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