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研究生: 吳紫榕
Wu, Tzu-jung
論文名稱: 以多屬性決策分析評估氣候與環境因子對農地光電設置合宜性與發電潛力之研究-以臺南市為例
Evaluating the Appropriateness and Energy Potential of Agrivoltaic Development using Multi-Attribute Decision-Making with Climatic and Environmental Factors: A Case Study of Tainan City, Taiwan
指導教授: 余騰鐸
Yu, Teng-To
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 資源工程學系
Department of Resources Engineering
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 111
中文關鍵詞: 農地光電設置合宜性評估地理資訊系統多準則決策分析休耕農地
外文關鍵詞: Agrivoltaics, Spatial Appropriateness Assessment, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis (MADM), Fallow Farmland
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近年來因應氣候變遷與能源轉型需求,各國積極發展再生能源。臺灣在淨零碳排政策推動下擴大再生能源發展,其中太陽光電因技術成熟且建置彈性高,成為重要能源選項。隨著政策推動,「農地種電」模式逐漸出現,然實際推動過程亦衍生多項土地利用與農業發展問題,使農地光電設置區位之合宜性評估成為重要研究課題。
地理資訊系統常結合多準則決策分析方法,整合環境與空間因子進行資源潛勢與場址合宜性評估。本研究以臺南市為研究區域,整合農地重要性、地表水體、坡度、年降雨量及太陽日射量等因子,進行標準化分級與加權整合,建立農地光電設置之合宜性分布圖,並以108–112年農地光電案場資料進行空間比對驗證。此外,為貼近實際開發情境,進一步納入長期休耕農地進行發電潛力推估,以評估低利用強度土地之光電發展潛力,並透過經濟指標分析其經濟可行性,與傳統農業收益進行比較。
研究結果顯示,農地光電設置合宜性呈現西高東低之空間趨勢。西側平原因坡度低、日射量高且水體影響較小,多屬高合宜區;東側丘陵山區則因坡度較陡、降雨量高及日射量較低,整體合宜性偏低。與實際案場位置比對顯示多數案場集中於中高合宜區,與評估結果相似。在發電潛力方面,長期休耕農地於未設開發門檻下之潛在發電量約為74.4億度電/年,約占全市用電需求22.5%,顯示其具備再生能源供給潛力。在經濟分析方面,多數專案投資回收期約為20年,部分案場因土地成本偏高而延長回收期;傳統農業利潤雖低但具備穩定收益,兩者在收益時間結構上呈現明顯差異。
綜合而言,農地光電設置區位受氣候環境條件、土地利用型態與經濟結構之綜合影響,納入休耕農地情境分析,可有效辨識具潛力之設置區位,並作為未來農地光電規劃與土地利用管理之重要參考。

In response to climate change and the global energy transition, renewable energy development has been widely promoted in recent years. In Taiwan, solar photovoltaic (PV) systems have become a key energy option owing to their technological maturity and flexible deployment. With policy support, agrivoltaics has emerged as an approach integrating agricultural land use with renewable energy generation, though it also raises concerns regarding land-use conflicts and agricultural sustainability, making spatial-appropriateness assessments essential. This study applies Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and multi-attribute decision analysis (MADM) to evaluate the spatial appropriateness of agrivoltaic installations in Tainan City, Taiwan. Key factors—including farmland importance, surface water proximity, slope, annual rainfall, and solar radiation—were standardized and integrated to generate a appropriateness map. Existing agrivoltaic projects (2019–2023) were spatially validated. Long-term fallow farmland was further incorporated to estimate potential power generation, and economic indicators were applied to assess financial feasibility and compared the returns with traditional agriculture.
Results show higher appropriateness in the western plains and lower appropriateness in the eastern hilly regions. Most existing projects are located in medium-to-high appropriateness zones, this is consistent with the evaluation results. Long-term fallow farmland could theoretically generate approximately 7.44 billion kWh per year, accounting for about 22.5% of Tainan’s electricity demand. Economic analysis indicates that most projects require around 20 years for payback, with longer periods associated with higher costs. In contrast, traditional Agriculture provides stable but lower annual returns. Overall, agrivoltaic appropriateness is shaped by environmental conditions, land-use characteristics and economic factors. Incorporating fallow farmland scenarios helps identify high-potential areas and supports future agrivoltaic planning and land-use management.

中文摘要 II ABSTRACT III 致謝 IX 目錄 X 表目錄 XII 圖目錄 XIII 第一章 前言 1 1.1研究背景 1 1.2研究動機與目的 10 1.3研究流程與架構 11 第二章 文獻回顧 13 2.1地理資訊系統與多準則決策分析方法 13 2.2再生能源潛勢評估之相關研究 14 2.3農地光電發展與相關議題 16 2.3.1國際農地光電議題 16 2.3.2我國農地光電議題 19 2.3.3農地光電對農業與環境之影響 19 第三章 研究區域與研究方法 22 3.1研究區域概述 22 3.2研究方法 25 3.2.1簡單加權法(Simple Additive Weighting,SAW) 26 3.2.2空間內插法-克利金法(Kriging) 29 3.3研究資料 30 3.3.1農地分布範圍 32 3.3.2農地重要性 34 3.3.3地表水體 37 3.3.4坡度 41 3.3.5降雨量 44 3.3.6太陽日射量 49 第四章 結果與討論 53 4.1 多屬性決策分析 53 4.2評分尺度與評估方法之討論 55 4.3地資料驗證 57 4.4休耕農地發電潛力推估 61 4.5農地光電經濟效益評估 72 4.5.1投資回收年限(PP) 74 4.5.2淨現值(NPV) 80 4.5.3內部報酬率(IRR) 80 4.6傳統農業經濟效益評估 84 第五章 結論與建議 85 5.1結論 85 5.2 建議 88 參考文獻 89 附錄A 108年度至112年度新增太陽光電系統案場資料及分析資料 94

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