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研究生: 郭鈞閔
Kuo, Chun-Min
論文名稱: 擔保契約訂定條件與銀行往來關係之探討-以台灣廠商為例
The Impact of Bank-Firm’s Relationships on the Collateral-Based Lending for Taiwanese Firms
指導教授: 蔡群立
Tsai, Chun-Li
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2011
畢業學年度: 99
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 110
中文關鍵詞: 擔保契約條件信號發射假說銀行往來關係內生性流動性保險
外文關鍵詞: Collateral-based lending, Signal mechanism, Relationships, Liquidity Insurance
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  • 本研究旨在探討擔保契約條件以及銀行往來關係對擔保機率的影響,首先,研究在台灣信用市場中,借貸雙方資訊不對稱的情況下,借款企業以擔保作為信號發射是否能提高放款銀行對企業的評價;第二,重新定義3種銀行往來關係,並觀察對擔保機率的影響;最後,在次貸危機爆發後,探討首位融資銀行是否具有提供流動性保險的功能。
    主要結果顯示企業風險指標對於擔保機率成正向關係,並不支持信號發射假說;另外,我們也發現企業與銀行往來關係越密切,其擔保機率會越高,探討其可能原因為:1.往來關係強度越強,則借貸雙方承做大額放款機會增加,因此增加企業違約機率,故放款銀行會要求借款企業提高擔保機率;2.當企業與銀行往來關係密切時,銀行會更容易判斷企業真實風險,因此,在面對真實風險較高的企業,會在承做放款契約時,增加其擔保機率。除此之外,本研究進一步討論放款額度與擔保機率內生性的問題,實證結果顯示,考慮放款額度與擔保會同時發生的情形,3種銀行往來關係並不是決定擔保的主要因素。
    最後,探討台灣地區首位融資銀行是否提供流動性保險功能,結果指出相對於非首位融資銀行,首位融資銀行面對借款企業因總體環境惡化造成財務危機時,會顯著降低擔保以幫助企業度過難關,但此流動性保險效果可能受到政府介入、公營行庫及集團銀行等因素的影響。

    Our study is to focus on the impact of bank-firm’s relationships on the collateral-based lending for Taiwanese firms. First of all, under the environment in Taiwan credit market with the information asymmetric between banks and firms, we examine if the Signaling Mechanism exists or not? In short, we want to know if the borrowing-firms can arise its value by providing collateral. Moreover, we redefine 3 bank-firms relationships and discuss the influences between the probability of providing collateral and the bank-firm’s relationships. Finally, after Subprime Mortgage Crisis, we are interest in that if house-bank will ask for less collateral to help enterprises get enough funds so that the Liquidity Insurance Hypothesis is being supported.
    First, the main finding is that borrowing-firms’ credit risk is positive to the probability of providing collateral. This rejects the Signaling Mechanism Hypothesis. Furthermore, we find that closer relationships between firms and banks will increase the incidence of collateralization. Then, we propose the possible reasons as following. Firstly, a strengthener relationship between enterprises and banks increases the opportunity of signing large loan amount contracts. When large loan amount contracts are signed, the firm’s credit risk will increase such that the banks will ask enterprises to get higher probability of providing collateral to ensure the loan safety. Secondly, banks will know the enterprise’s truly potential credit risk while the bank-firm’s relationship is getting closer. That is, when banks face those firms with higher potential credit risks, in order to ensure loan safety, firms are always asked to provide more collateral to get financing funds. Besides, we consider the simultaneous problem between collateralization and loan amount, and we find that 3 bank-firm’s relationships are uncorrelated with collateral probability.
    Last, we judge the problem of liquidity insurance function of house-bank. We find that when macroeconomics becomes worse, the house-bank decreases the probability of collateralization to help enterprise get enough operating funds. But these findings may result from the activities of government; group-banks and publicly banks.

    第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與目的 1 第二節 研究架構與流程 6 第二章 文獻回顧 8 第一節 信號發射假說 8 第二節 銀行往來關係 12 第三節 流動性保險假說 15 第三章 研究方法 18 第一節 理論模型 18 第二節 資料來源與樣本選取 29 第三節 變數定義與預期關係 29 第四節 實證模型與假說 36 第四章 實證結果與分析 40 第一節 敘述性統計結果 40 第二節 信號發射假說實證結果 44 第三節 銀行往來關係實證結果 50 第四節 流動性保險假說實證結果 52 第五章 結論 54 參考文獻 57 表目錄 表4-1 提供擔保品的分佈情況 41 表4-2 採用聯貸放款的分佈情況 41 表4-3 企業風險指標的分佈情況 42 表4-4 前後期契約分佈情況 42 表4-5 首位融資銀行分佈情況 43 表4-6 以非虛擬變數表示的變數敘述性統計結果 43 表4-7 信用發射假說實證結果 63 表4-8 前後期契約與擔保機率(r1)實證結果 65 表4-9 過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總借款額度比例(r2)實證結果 71 表4-10 過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總借款次數(r3)實證結果 77 表4-11 考慮內生性之實證結果 83 表4-12 流動性保險假說之實證結果 85 表4-13 信號發射假說邊際效果-整體樣本 87 表4-14 信號發射假說邊際效果-企業資產>3,303,014 88 表4-15 信號發射假說邊際效果-企業資產<3,303,014 89 表4-16前後期契約與擔保機率(r1)邊際效果-固定產業 90 表4-17前後期契約與擔保機率(r1)邊際效果-固定銀行 92 表4-18前後期契約與擔保機率(r1)邊際效果-整體樣本 95 表4-19過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總借款(r2)邊際效果-固定產業 96 表4-20過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總借款(r2)邊際效果-固定銀行 98 表4-21過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總借款(r2)邊際效果-整體樣本 101 表4-22過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總次數(r3)邊際效果-固定產業 102 表4-23過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總次數(r3)邊際效果-固定銀行 104 表4-24過去兩年銀行放款佔企業總次數(r3)邊際效果-整體樣本 107 表4-25 流動性保險假說之邊際效果-整體樣本 108 表4-26 流動性保險假說之邊際效果-信貸危機後 109 表4-27 流動性保險假說之邊際效果-信貸危機前 110 圖目錄 圖1-1 研究架構與流程 7 圖2-1 勞動市場的信號發射模式(Spence 1973) 9

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