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研究生: 莊曜瑄
Chuang, Yao-Hsuan
論文名稱: 車輛碰撞型態預測及評估:考慮空間與時間深度學習方法之應用
Prediction and Assessment of Vehicle Collision Types: Applications of Spatial and Temporal Deep Learning Algorithms
指導教授: 胡大瀛
Hu, Ta-Yin
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 117
中文關鍵詞: 車輛碰撞型態預測 、自駕車 、先進駕駛輔助系統 、卷積神經網路 、門控循環單元 、物件偵測
外文關鍵詞: Vehicle collision type prediction, autonomous vehicles, Advanced Driver Assistance Systems, Convolutional Neural Network, Gated Recurrent Unit, object detection
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  • 根據內政部警政署統計台灣於2020年發生485,260件交通事故,造成龐大的傷害及的社會成本損失。隨著各項智慧交通技術的實施,許多研究開發了先進駕駛輔助系統來提升交通安全,其透過藉由感測器(如攝影機、超音波、雷達和光達等)收集大量的即時交通資訊。然而,超音波、雷達及光達等主動式感測器價格昂貴,且在道路擁擠時可能會引發干擾的問題。深度學習方法已被廣泛作為分類和檢測的方法,研究人員提出了許多與自駕車相關的深度預測模型,如碰撞風險預測模型。多數碰撞預測研究以二元分類將結果分為有碰撞及無碰撞,卻無進一步研究碰撞型態。因此本研究使用相對便宜且廣泛被使用的前向鏡頭行車紀錄器做為收集資料的感測器,提出了基於視覺的碰撞型態預測模型,其中碰撞影像從Youtube多媒體收集。該模型由兩個部分組成:使用YOLOv4和DeepSORT進行物件檢測和追蹤,以及基於卷積神經網路 (CNN) 和門控循環單元 (GRU) 的碰撞型態分類。其中CNN用於擷取影像中每幀的空間特徵。GRU用於訓練動態特徵和空間特徵以擷取時間序列特徵。最後,探討了每個碰撞類型中各碰撞類型的機率。
    本研究目的為提供更多有關車輛碰撞的即時訊息。期望未來可以作為ADAS中警示或煞車系統的一部份,為駕駛員或車輛提供更精確的即時安全警示,以便實施應對措施,防止交通事故及最大程度地減少事故成本。

    According to the statistics from the National Police Agency, Ministry of the Interior, 485,260 traffic accidents occurred in Taiwan in 2020, resulting in major injuries and huge social cost losses. With the advance in intelligent transportation technologies, Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) is developed to enhance traffic safety, extensive real-time traffic data became available through sensors like ultrasound, radar, and LiDAR. However, those active sensors are expensive and may cause interference problems. On the other hand, deep learning methods have been widely used for classification and detection. Researchers have proposed many deep prediction models for autonomous vehicles or ADAS such as collision risk prediction models. Most of those studies use binary classification to classify the results into collision and non-collision, but do not further study the collision type. Therefore, this research uses a relatively inexpensive and widely used front-facing dashboard camera as a sensor to collect data and proposes a vision-based collision type prediction model. Vehicle collision videos from the dashboard camera were collected from YouTube. The model consists of two parts: object detection and tracking with YOLOv4 and DeepSORT methods, and collision type classification based on Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), where CNN is used to extract spatial features of the video frames, and GRU is used to train with dynamic features and spatial features to extract the temporal features. Finally, the probability of collision types in each collision type is explored.
    The purpose of the study is to provide more real-time information about vehicle collisions. It can be used in warning systems or actuating systems as a part of the ADAS in the future, to provide drivers with accurate real-time alerts and automatic vehicle controls, so that drivers or vehicles can make timely reactions to prevent traffic accidents or minimize the cost of accidents.

    ABSTRACT I 摘要 III TABLE OF CONTENTS IV LIST OF TABLES VII LIST OF FIGURES IX CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Research Background and Motivation 1 1.2 Research Objectives 4 1.3 Research Flow Chart 5 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 8 2.1 Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) 8 2.1.1 The Development of Autonomous Vehicles 9 2.1.2 Advanced Driver Assistance System (ADAS) 12 2.2 The Deep Learning Approaches for Traffic Conditions Prediction 18 2.2.1 Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) 20 2.2.2 Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) 22 2.3 Object Detection and Tracking Using Camera 23 2.3.1 Object detection 24 2.3.2 Object tracking 27 2.4 Collision Types of Traffic Accidents 30 2.5 Summary 32 CHAPTER 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 34 3.1 Research Framework 34 3.2 Collision type definition 37 3.3 Object Detection and Tracking 38 3.3.1 You Only Look Once version 4 (YOLOv4) 39 3.3.2 Deep SORT 41 3.4 Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) 42 3.5 Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) 47 3.6 The Architecture of the Prediction Model 49 3.7 Evaluation Criteria of Models 52 3.7.1 K-fold cross-validation 52 3.7.2 Confusion matrix 53 3.7.3 Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve and Area Under the Curve (AUC) 55 CHAPTER 4 EXPERIMENT SETUP 58 4.1 Hyperparameter Tuning 58 4.2 Data Collection 60 4.2.1 Video Data Preprocessing 65 4.2.2 Dynamic Feature Data 65 4.3 Model Building 71 4.3.1 CNN_img 73 4.3.2 LSTM_d 74 4.3.3 GRU_d 76 4.3.4 CNN-GRU_img 77 4.3.5 CNN-LSTM_img_d 78 4.3.6 CNN-GRU_img_d 79 CHAPTER 5 EXPERIMENT RESULTS 81 5.1 Classification results of the models based on dataset A 81 5.1.1 Model A1 (CNN_img) 81 5.1.2 Model A2 (LSTM_d) 83 5.1.3 Model A3 (GRU_d) 85 5.1.4 Model A4 (CNN-GRU_img) 87 5.1.5 Model A5 (CNN-LSTM_img_d) 89 5.1.6 Model A6 (CNN-GRU_img_d) 91 5.1.7 Probability of collision type in each timestep 94 5.2 Classification results of the models based on dataset B 98 5.2.1 Model B1 (4 class) 99 5.2.2 Model B2 (4 class) 100 5.2.3 Model B3 (4 class) 101 5.2.4 Model B4 (3 class) 102 5.2.5 Model B5 (2 class) 103 5.3 Summary 105 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS 107 6.1 Conclusions 107 6.2 Suggestions 108 REFERENCE 110

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