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研究生: 鐘婉晴
Zhong, Wan-Qing
論文名稱: 應用混合選擇模型探討共享電動汽車服務之偏好
Applying the hybrid choice model to explore the preference for electric car sharing service in Taiwan.
指導教授: 陳勁甫
Chen, Ching-Fu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 交通管理科學系
Department of Transportation and Communication Management Science
論文出版年: 2024
畢業學年度: 112
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 153
中文關鍵詞: 共享電動汽車服務通勤觀光混合選擇模式整合選擇與潛在變數模式(ICLV)潛在類別整合選擇與潛在變數模式(LC-ICLV)
外文關鍵詞: E-car sharing, Commuting, Tourism, Hybrid choice model, Integrated choice and latent variable model, Latent class integrated choice and latent variable model
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  • 許多國家之共享汽車營運商逐漸將燃油車替換為電動汽車,台灣尚未提供共享電動汽車服務,但政府正致力於推動電動汽車,共享電動汽車勢必成為未來趨勢,目前在共享運具的相關研究中,對於共享電動汽車之研究較缺乏,且很少研究專注於探討單一服務之屬性水準如何影響選擇因素。本研究調查了405位受訪者,調查受訪者針對通勤與觀光目的之共享電動汽車方案的選擇偏好,採用混合選擇模式進行分析,其中包含整合選擇與潛在變數模式(ICLV),來探討屬性水準如何影響民眾的選擇偏好,並納入個人的潛在心理因素探討如何影響民眾之選擇。此外,本研究建立潛在類別整合選擇與潛在變數模式(LC-ICLV),透過將整體受訪者區分成不同潛在群體,以了解不同性質的群體之屬性偏好及潛在心理因素之影響,並分別探討了通勤與觀光目的之差異,提供相關業者進行服務水準訂定之參考。
    研究結果顯示,在通勤情境時,民眾更注重於總價格、步行取車時間與還車便利性,且偏好選擇小型掀背車,當價格越高、步行取車時間越長則會降低民眾之選擇意願,可歸還至所有合法停車格較受通勤者的喜愛,對於共享電動汽車的態度與可靠無憂的體驗評價越高則越有可能選擇方案。將受訪者區分為兩群,分別為行程準確重視者(67.2%)與服務便利重視者(32.8%),服務便利重視者更注重於省時與還車便利性,且此族群對於價格較敏感。針對觀光情境,民眾更重視導航功能,可能因為觀光客通常不熟悉當地路況,考慮到行李或同行人數,觀光客更不偏好選擇迷你車。在觀光情境中,受訪者可區分為兩群,分別為旅遊舒適重視者(22.5%)與一般旅遊者(77.5%),旅遊舒適重視者對於價格並不在意,他們更注重於還車便利性高與車型較大的服務。根據模型適配指標ρ^2,加入潛在心理因素之ICLV模式優於MNL模式,而經過分群之LC-ICLV模式更能夠有效地解釋不同特性之民眾對於共享電動汽車的選擇行為。

    This study investigated users’ preferences for electric car sharing services for tourism purposes using a sample of 405 respondents collected in Taiwan. A hybrid choice model is employed, including the Integrated Choice and Latent Variable (ICLV) model, to explore how attribute levels and latent psychological variables influence users’ preferences for e-car sharing services. Additionally, a. Latent Class Integrated Choice and Latent Variable (LC-ICLV) model segmented respondents into different classes to understand how attribute levels and psychological influences preferences.
    The results show that for commuting, people prioritize total prcie, access time, and return location, they prefer small hatchbacks. Higher prices and longer access times decrease the likelihood of using e-car sharing services. Returning vehicles at all legal parking spaces increase use preference. Positive attitudes toward e-car sharing and high Reliable and Anxiety-Free experience increase the likelihood of choosing the service. Respondents were divided into two classes: general commuters (67.2%) and convenience prioritization (32.8%). Convenience prioritization class prioritize time savings and return convenience and are more price sensitive.
    For tourism trips scenario, people value GPS function due to unfamiliarity with local roads and considerations like luggage or companions, preferring larger vehicles. Respondents were divided into Comfort-prioritizing (22.5%) and general tourists (77.5%), with comfort- rioritizing tourists focusing more on vehicle size and return convenience over price. The ICLV model with latent psychological factors outperforms the MNL model, and the segmented LC-ICLV model effectively explains diverse choice behaviors for shared electric vehicles.

    第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景 1 1.2 研究動機 4 1.3 研究目的 7 1.4 研究對象與範圍 7 1.5 研究流程 8 第二章 文獻回顧 9 2.1 國內外共享汽車發展回顧與現況 9 2.1.1 國外共享電動汽車系統案例 9 2.1.2 國內共享汽車系統案例 14 2.2 個體選擇模式 18 2.2.1 個體選擇模型 18 2.2.2 多項羅吉特模式(MNL) 19 2.3 混合選擇模式 21 2.3.1 整合選擇與潛在變數模式(ICLV) 22 2.3.2 潛在類別選擇模式(LCCM) 26 2.3.3 潛在類別整合選擇與潛在變數模式(LC-ICLV) 27 2.4 共享運具相關文獻回顧 28 2.4.1 通勤與觀光情境之相關研究 28 2.4.2 共享電動汽車之採用相關研究 31 2.4.3 共享運具選擇行為之研究 37 2.4.4 共享運具應用混合選擇模式之文獻 43 2.5 影響決策行為之潛在心理因素 48 第三章 研究方法 50 3.1 研究架構 50 3.2 資料分析方法 51 3.2.1 潛在變數模式 51 3.2.2 選擇模式 52 3.2.3 ICLV模式 53 3.2.4 LC-ICLV模式 54 3.2.5 願付價格(Willingness To Pay, WTP) 55 3.3 潛在構面變數定義 55 3.4 選擇實驗 59 3.4.1 屬性水準值設計 59 3.4.2 實驗設計 62 3.4.3 正式問卷設計 65 第四章 研究結果與分析 66 4.1 預先問卷調查之分析結果 66 4.2 正式問卷調查結果 68 4.2.1 人口統計特性 68 4.2.2 運具使用特性 70 4.2.3 方案填答概況 72 4.2.4 潛在心理因素特性 72 4.2.5 確認性因素分析(Confirmatory Factor Analysis, CFA) 75 4.3 模式變數設定 78 4.4 模式估計結果 82 4.4.1 多項羅吉特模式 (MNL) 82 4.4.2 整合潛在變數與選擇模式(ICLV) 83 4.4.3 整合潛在類別與潛在變數選擇模式(LC-ICLV) (通勤) 88 4.4.4 整合潛在類別與潛在變數選擇模式(LC-ICLV) (觀光) 96 4.4.5 願付價格(Willingness to pay, WTP)估計結果 103 4.4.6 彈性效果與情境分析 106 第五章 結論與建議 111 5.1 研究結論 111 5.2 管理意涵 117 5.3 研究限制與未來建議 119 參考文獻 122 附錄一 預先調查問卷 130 附錄二 正式問卷設計 132 附錄三 使用個人因素潛在變數分群之ICLV結果 (通勤) 140 附錄四 使用個人因素潛在變數分群之ICLV結果 (觀光) 141

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