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研究生: 吳金蓮
Wu, Chin-Lien
論文名稱: 各種方向的股價波動主要係由何種交易所推動?--依交易額與市場交易頻率分析
What kind of trades drive stock price in different categories of price volatility?--Analysis with trade size and market thickness
指導教授: 陳俊男
Chen, Chun-Nan
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2005
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 79
中文關鍵詞: 價格與數量關係公開訊息假說隱藏性交易假說市場微結構
外文關鍵詞: public information hypothesis, price and volume, stealth-trading hypothesis, market microstructure
相關次數: 點閱:102下載:9
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  •   股票報酬率與交易量的關係,不僅僅說明了股票市場的動態結構以及效率性,同時說明內部訊息對於整體市場的影響。而討論股價波動究是由何種交易型態所推動的相關文獻中,提出了理論上的證據,即中額交易、交易頻繁市場可能包含內部訊息交易,因此推動股價變動,但尚未有學者將股價的波動情形區分為向上、向下、無方向,本篇論文與之前文獻最大不同之處,即是先將股價波動區分為上述三種類型,再分析該波動主要係由何種交易所推動。

      本研究參考Barclay and Warner(1993)驗證之隱藏性交易假說之方法,並比較分析美國S&P100樣本公司之累積股價波動比例與累積交易次數比例。實證結果發現,在股價波動屬於有方向性的樣本(向上方向性樣本與向下方向性樣本)中,股價波動主要都是由中額交易搭配交易頻繁市場所推動,與過去相關文獻相符合。本篇論文研究樣本並不侷限於股價報酬高於市場報酬的公司(隱含有內部交易存在),因此結論更具一般性。

     The relationship between stock return and volume not only shows the dynamic structure of the stock market, but also illustrates the influence of inside information on the market. Related to what kinds of trades drive stock price, literature has already provided theoretical evidence that medium-size trades and thick-market period may contain inside trading and may in turn move the price. However, little literature talks about the impact of types of trades on different directional volatility, so we first classify price volatility into upward, downward and unidirectional categories and try to find out what kind of trades drive stock price in different categories of price volatility.

     We follow the method of Barclay and Warner (1993) and compare the proportion of cumulative price change with the proportion of the cumulative trades. Consistent with previous studies, our results reveal that medium-size coupled with thick-market trades display the most disproportionately largest percentage of cumulative price changes relative to their percentage of all trades both in the upward trend of volatility and in the downward trend of volatility. Since we use S&P100 companies, our findings are more generalized and can be applied to all the listed firms on NYSE.

    目錄 第一章 導論 第一節 研究背景與動機…………………………………………01 第二節 研究目的…………………………………………………03 第三節 研究限制…………………………………………………04 第四節 研究架構…………………………………………………05 第二章 文獻探討 第一節 內部交易與交易量的關聯性……………………………07 第二節 內部交易與交易額的關聯性……………………………09 第三節 價格波動與交易量、交易次數的關聯性………………10 第四節 Bollinger Bands ………………………………………… 11 第三章 研究方法 第一節 研究樣本與研究期間……………………………………12 第二節 假說建立…………………………………………………14 第三節 變數定義…………………………………………………16 第四節 研究模型設定……………………………………………19 第四章 實證結果分析 第一節 前言………………………………………………………24 第二節 多頭市場實證結果………………………………………25 第三節 空頭市場實證結果………………………………………40 第四節 敏感性分析………………………………………………55 第五章 結論………………………………………………………64 參考文獻 …………………………………………………………67 附錄 ………………………………………………………………70

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