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研究生: 羅易文
Lo, Yi-Wen
論文名稱: COVID-19 大流行對肺癌病患的影響:來自台灣某醫學中心健康資料的回顧性分析
The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on lung cancer patients: A retrospective analysis of the health data from a medical center in Taiwan
指導教授: 陳詩政
Chen, Shin-Cheng
余建泓
Yu, Chien-hung
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 醫學院 - 生物化學暨分子生物學研究所
Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
論文出版年: 2025
畢業學年度: 113
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 70
中文關鍵詞: 新冠肺炎非小細胞癌回溯性世代研究機器學習肺癌
外文關鍵詞: COVID-19, Lung cancer, Machine learning, NSCLC, Retrospective cohort study
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  • 背景
    COVID-19 疫情對全 病人於 COVID-19 疫情期間之長期影響與治療變化研究仍有限,特別是在疫情爆發時間相對較晚的背景下。
    方法
    本研究為單中心回溯性世代研究,使用台灣中部某醫院 2017 至 2022 年真實世界資料,共納入 997 名 NSCLC 病人,其中 122 人曾確診 COVID-19。感染辨識透過 ICD-10-CM 診斷碼、抗病毒藥物、實驗室結果及出院紀錄關鍵字進行。以 COVID-19 為結果變項,利用 Boruta 與 LASSO 篩選混雜因子,並採用逆機率加權(IPW)進行調整。主要結果為整體存活,透過 Kaplan–Meier 與 Cox 模型評估;另以 TTNT 作為疾病進展替代指標,並進行競爭風險分析,同時比較疫情前後醫療模式與治療延遲。
    結果
    經 IPW 調整後,COVID-19 與非 COVID-19 組一年整體存活率無顯著差異(log-rank P = 0.91),時間相依 Cox 模型亦未顯示死亡風險增加(HR 0.97;95% CI 0.44–2.15;P = 0.947)。第四期接受標靶治療者中,COVID-19 組有較早更換治療之趨勢但未達顯著。整體醫療模式與治療等待時間維持穩定;疫情後門診頻率下降但未影響存活,居家醫療則增加。多數病人於疫情爆發前已完成疫苗接種。
    結論
    在台灣情境下,COVID-19 感染未對 NSCLC 病人之存活或治療連續性造成顯著影響,可能與公共衛生政策、延後爆發時程及醫療體系韌性有關。未來仍需長期追蹤與多中心研究加以驗證。

    Background:
    The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected healthcare systems and vulnerable populations, including cancer patients. Lung cancer, particularly non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality in Taiwan. However, few studies have investigated the long-term impact of COVID-19 on lung cancer patients, especially in regions like Taiwan, where the outbreak occurred relatively late.
    Methods:
    This single-center retrospective cohort study utilized real-world data from the hospital in central Taiwan, covering the years 2017 to 2022. A total of 997 NSCLC patients were analyzed, of whom 122 had confirmed COVID-19. COVID-19 infection was identified through ICD-10-CM five-character diagnostic codes, antiviral drug administration, laboratory test results, and keyword searches in discharge records.
    First, COVID-19 infection served as the outcome, and machine learning methods, including Boruta and LASSO regression, were applied to identify potential confounding factors. These factors were then weighted using inverse probability weighting to minimize bias. Subsequently, death was used as the primary outcome, and survival analysis was conducted to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on lung cancer patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for the selected confounders, were employed to assess overall survival.
    In addition, time to next treatment (TTNT) was assessed as a proxy for cancer progression using Kaplan–Meier and competing risks analysis. Changes in medical practice and treatment delays were also examined across pandemic time periods.
    Results:
    After IPW, no significant difference was found in one-year overall survival between the COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups [median OS not reached in either group; log-rank P = 0.91]. Time-dependent Cox regression similarly showed no significant increase in mortality risk associated with COVID-19 [HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.44-2.15, P = 0.947]. Among stage IV patients receiving targeted therapy, the COVID-19 group exhibited a non-significant trend toward earlier treatment change [median OS not reached in either group; P = 0.39], which may be explained by higher early mortality. Medical practice, including treatment combinations and waiting time for therapy, remained stable before and after the pandemic emerged. While outpatient visit frequency declined after the outbreak, no negative impact on survival was observed. Homecare visits increased, possibly reflecting adaptive measures to protect high-risk patients. Limited vaccination data indicated that most patients were vaccinated before the Taiwan outbreak.
    Conclusion:
    Despite concerns regarding the vulnerability of lung cancer patients to COVID-19, this study found no significant adverse impact of COVID-19 exposure on survival or treatment continuity among NSCLC patients in Taiwan. The findings suggest that Taiwan’s proactive public health strategies, delayed outbreak timing, and a resilient healthcare system helped mitigate the pandemic’s effects. Continued follow-up is needed to assess long-term outcomes.

    中文摘要 2 Abstract 3 致謝 5 Contents 6 List of Tablets 8 List of Figures 9 List of Appendices 10 List of Abbreviations 11 Chapter 1 Introduction 13 Section 1.1 Background 13 Section 1.2 Study objectives 14 Chapter 2 Literature Review 15 Section 2.1 Epidemiology of lung cancer 15 Section 2.2 general treatment of lung cancer 16 Section 2.3 Epidemiology of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) 17 Section 2.4 Impact on community and medical care during the COVID-19 pandemic 17 Section 2.5 The immediate impact of COVID-19 on cancer patients 18 Section 2.6 Machine learning in medical practice 18 Chapter 3 Materials and Methods 20 Section 3.1 Data source 20 Section 3.2 Study cohort 22 Section 3.3 Research variables 23 Section 3.4 Exposure - COVID-19 diagnosed 23 Section 3.5 Outcome measurement 24 Section 3.6 Feature selection 24 Section 3.7 Medical practice interaction 25 Section 3.8 Statistical analysis 26 Chapter 4 Results 28 Section 4.1 clinical characteristics of the study cohort 28 Section 4.2 COVID-19 identification in lung cancer patients 28 Section 4.3 Feature Selection for IPW in lung cancer patients 28 Section 4.4 Survival outcome of lung cancer patients 29 Section 4.5 Time To Next Treatment (TTNT) 30 Section 4.6 Medical practice alteration 30 Section 4.7 vaccination 31 Chapter 5 Discussion 32 Section 5.1 Generalizability of this study 32 Section 5.2 COVID-19 prevalence in three types of cancer patients 32 Section 5.3 Relationship between COVID-19 and lung cancer 32 Chapter 6 Conclusion 34 Section 6.1 Summary 34 6.2 Future direction 34 Reference 35 Figure 40 Tables 58 Appendices 68

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