簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

回結果列表
研究生： 萬德
Dorismond, Winder
論文名稱： 營建工程決策分析與風險管理方法研究
Decision Analysis and Risk Management Techniques in Construction Projects
指導教授： 李宇欣
Lee, Yu-sin
學位類別： 碩士
Master
系所名稱： 工學院 - 土木工程學系
Department of Civil Engineering
論文出版年： 2009
畢業學年度： 97
語文別： 英文
論文頁數： 134
外文關鍵詞： construction project, degree of usage, potential risk, decision analysis, risk management
相關次數： 點閱：79  下載：2 
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報

    • In the construction industry, many projects fail to meet the objectives of budgeted cost, schedule, scope and desired quality. This failure is disastrous to all the parties involved. To avoid such catastrophes, decision analysis and risk management techniques should be applied systematically during the entire process. Therefore, risk management is fundamental to the success of any construction project. The aim of this study is to evaluate the importance of the common risks identified in the industry, investigate the degree of usage of the techniques and their effectiveness in the construction industry. Through past studies carried out in the industry for the benchmarking construction markets, these are investigated by the score or impact level assigned to risks or techniques. The main motivation of this study is find out the most suitable way of managing construction risks.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I ABSTRACT III TABLE OF CONTENTS IV LIST OF TABLES VII LIST OF FIGURES VIII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background and Problem Formulation 1 1.2 Purpose 2 1.3 Scope and Limitations 2 1.4 Thesis Structure 3 1.5 Methodology 4 1.6 Target Markets 5 CHAPTER TWO DECISION ANALYSIS AND RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES 9 2.1 Decision Analysis 9 2.1.1 The State of the Art 9 2.1.2 Decisions Analysis Process 10 2.1.3 Detailed Decision Analysis Process for Construction Projects in the Early Stages 11 2.1.3 The Tools and Techniques Used in the Process 14 2.2 Project Risks Management 28 2.2.1 Risk identification and classification 30 2.2.3 Risk Analysis 31 2.2.4 Risk Assessment or Evaluation Techniques 32 2.2.5 Risk response 33 2.2.4 Risk monitoring and Controlling 37 2.3 Summary 39 CHAPTER THREE RESULTS 41 3.1 Results and discussion about Chinese Companies 41 3.1.1 Perceptions on importance of risks 41 3.1.2 Correlation among the participants on importance of Risks 43 3.1.3 Application of risk management techniques (See Table 4.3) 44 3.1.4 Correlation among the participants on Application of risk management techniques 47 3.2 Results about UK Companies 48 3.2.1 Conditions under Which Risk Management is Performed 49 3.2.2 Potential risks 50 3.2.2 Application of risk management processes and techniques: 52 CHAPTER FOUR DISCUSSION 58 4.1 Potential Risks: 58 4.2 Risk management techniques: 63 CHAPTER FIVE SUMMARY, FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS 73 5-1 Summary 73 5-2 Findings 74 5-3 Concluding Remarks 77 5-4 Future Works 79 REFERENCES 80 GLOSSARY OF TERMS 85 APPENDICES 97 Appendix A Checklist of common risks and opportunities in construction projects 97 Appendix B Risk Checklist for construction projects (Classification) 107 Appendix C Sources of Risks Affecting the Project Schedule Typically 113 Appendix D Risk Identification Checklists for Highway Engineering 117 Appendix E Examples of Past Projects 128

    Ahmad K. (1996). Risk Management in BOT Project Financing. Thesis at MIT.
    Ahmet, O., & Onder, O.(2004). Risk analysis in fxed-price design–build construction projects. Building and Environment 39 (2004) 229 – 237.
    Akintola S. A., Malcolm J. M.(1997)Risk Analysis and Management in Construction. International Journal of Project Management Vol.15, No.1, pp.31-38.
    Carr, V. and Tah,J.H.M .(2001). A Fuzzy Approach to Construction Project Risk Assessment and Analysis: Construction Project Risk Management System. Advances in Software Engineering. 32(2001) 847-857
    Chicken, J.C.(1994). Managing Risks and Decisions in Major Projects. London SE18HN, UK: Chapmen & Hall
    Chris, H.(2003). Project Management for Construction: Fundamental Concepts for Owners, Engineers, Architects and Builders. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University. http://pmbook.ce.cmu.edu/
    CMETG (Steve, D., cochair, North Carolina DOT; Gerry,Y., cochair, FHWA;Stuart,A., Texas Transportation Institute). (2007). “Risk Assessment and Allocation for Highway Construction Management”. USA: Construction Management Expert Task Group (CMETG). http://international.fhwa.dot.gov/riskassess/risk_hcm06_01.cfm
    Covello,V.T.(1987). Decision Analysis and Risk Management Decision Making: Issues and Methods. Decision Analysis, Vol.7, N. 2, 1987 80
    Devore, J.L. (2004). Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Science, 7th Edition, Duxbury Press, New York.
    Flanagan, R., and Norman, G. 1993. Risk management and construction,
    Blackwell Scientific, Oxford, U.K.
    Flyvbjerb, B., Bruzelius, N., and Wermer. R. (2003). Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition. http://books.google.com/books?vid=ISBN0521009464&id=RAV5P- 50UjEC&printsec=frontcover&dq=megaprojects+and+Risk:+An+Anatomy+of+ Ambition#PPA34,M1
    Frederick, E. G., N.E. Joyce. (2003). Construction Project Management. 2nd ed. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, Columbus, Ohio: Prentice Hall.
    FTA(Federal Transit Administration).(2007). Construction Project Management Handbook. U.S. Department of Transportation
    Havard Business Essentials, Alan, J. R. (Advisor). (2006) Decision Making in 5 Steps to Better Results. USA: Havard Business School Press
    Jamal F. Al-Bahar. “Systematic Risk Management Approach for Construction Projects.” Vol. 116, No. 3, September, 1990.
    Jnos, F. (2006). Introduction to Decision Making Methods. Laboratory of Operations Research and Decision Systems, Computer and Automation Institute, Hungarian Academy of Sciences
    Jimmie W.H. 2008. Construction Planning and Scheduling. . Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall.
    81
    John, D. F.(2007). Project Financing: Asset-Based Financial Engineering, Second Edition Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
    Seydel, J. (1990). Bids Considering Multiple Criteria. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 116, No. 4, December.
    Kathy, S.(2007). Information Technology Project Management. Boston, Massachussetts: Thompson Course Technology
    Kangari, R.(1995) Risk Management Perceptions and Trends in U.S. Construction. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 121, No.4, December 1995.
    Lev, V., M. Trumper (2008). Project Decisions: The Art and Science. USA: Management Concepts.
    Lucy, C.M., & Babcock, D. L. (2007). Managing Engineering and Technology. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall.
    Mohamed M., Ahmed El-D. and Moheeb El-S. (2008). Assessing Construction Engineering-Related Delays: Egyptian Perspective. Journal of Professional Issues in Engineering Education and Practice, Vol. 134, No. 3, July 1, 2008.
    Mohamed, M.Z and Bilal, M.A. (1999). Decision Analysis for Housing-Project Development. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, Vol. 125, No.2, June, 1999.
    Nagraj, B., B.Render, R. M. Stair, Jr.(2007). Managerial Decision Modeling With Spreadsheets. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall
    Nigel, J. S.,T. Merna, P. Jobling. (2006). Managing risk in construction projects. UK: Backwell Publishing.
    82
    Nystedt, F., Rantatalo, T. &Micheelsen, C. (2001). Quantifying the safety level in the Dnaish Building Fire Regulations.
    Patrick, T.I.L. (1999). A sectorial Review of Risks Associated with Major Infrastructure Projects. International Journal of Project Management,Vol.17, No.2, pp.77-87. Elsevier Science
    Peter, F. (2005). Construction Project Management: An integrated approach. London and New York: Talor& Francis.
    Ping Ho, S. and Liang, Y. L.(2004). Analytical Model for Analyzing Construction Claims and Opportunistic Bidding. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, VOL.130, No.1.
    Project Management Institute (PMI), PMBOK Guide, 2000.
    Richard de Neuville. (1990) Applied System Analysis: Engineering Planning and Technology Management. New York, USA: McGraw-Hill, Inc;
    http://ardent.mit.edu/real_options/ASA_Text/asa_Text_index.html
    Robert, T. C., T. Reilly, (2001). Making Hard Decisions with Decision Tools. USA: Duxbury, Thomson Learning.
    Rory B. (2003). Project Management: Planning and Control Techniques. USA: John Wiley& Sons Inc.
    Shen, L.Y., Wu, G.W.C., and Ng, S.K. C.(2001) Risk Assessment for Construction Joint Ventures in China. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol.127, No.1
    83
    Scott, B., David, P., Simon, S.( 1999). Survey of Risk Management in Major U.K. Companies. Journal of Professional Issues in Engineering Education and Practice, Vol.125, No.3.
    Steward, R.A., Clinton, A.S.(2006). “Six sigma as a strategy for improvement on construction projects: a case study”. Construction Management and Economics, 24:4, 339-348
    Syed, M.A., & Salman, A.(2004). Risk Management in the Florida Construction Industry. Second LACCEL International Latin American and Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology (LACCEI 2004) “Challenges and Opportunities for Engineering Education, Research and Development” 2-4 June 2004, Miami, Florida, USA
    Wenzhe T., Maoshan, Q., Colin, F.D.,&David, M.Y. & Youmei, L.(2007).“Risk Management in the Chinese Construction Industry”. 10.1061/(ASCE)0733- 9364(2007)133:12(944)
    William, G.S., &Wicks, E.M., & Luxhoj, J.T.(2006). Engineering Economy. New Jersey: Pearson Education, Prentice Hall.

    下載圖示 校內：2010-07-27公開
    校外：2011-07-27公開
    QR CODE