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研究生: 陳永坤
Chen, Yung-Kun
論文名稱: 台灣環境永續發展評估指標之建立與應用研究
The Establishment of Assessment Indicators of Environmentally Sustainable Development and Its Application in Taiwan
指導教授: 陳家榮
Chen, Chia-Yon
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 工學院 - 資源工程學系
Department of Resources Engineering
論文出版年: 2008
畢業學年度: 96
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 177
中文關鍵詞: 生態足跡物質流環境永續發展
外文關鍵詞: Environmentally Sustainable Development, Ecological Footprint, Material Flow
相關次數: 點閱:112下載:14
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  • 一個國家的經濟活動所產生的環境壓力與其具有的環境承載能力,決定該國社會與經濟發展的永續狀況。因此,評量環境壓力和承載力是制定永續發展目標和政策的必要條件之一。本研究之目的可歸納如下:(1)根據物質流及生態足跡方法與相關指標,檢視台灣目前之環境現況;(2)整合物質流及生態足跡模型,建構台灣地區環境永續發展評估指標體系;(3)以台灣地區爲研究對象,探討其環境永續發展評估指標項目和衡量標準,並進行環境永續發展評估指標衡量操作之實證研究;(4)根據實證結果與分析,對臺灣地區的永續發展作出整體性的評價,並提出對策和建議。
    本研究在第一、二章綜述永續發展目前之研究狀況,簡介OECD、IISD、IUCN等國際組織所建構之指標系統,並對永續發展衡量方法依據不同標準進行分類。本研究選取物質流和生態足跡兩種側重生態經濟體系的衡量方法作為切入點,並整合上述二種方法對台灣的環境永續發展做出估算。
    第三章首先分別對物質流及生態足跡從模型的研究現狀和具體應用做深入的闡述,並針對模型的適用範圍作適當的調整使之能應用於環境永續發展之衡量;其次,利用物質流與生態足跡方法與相關指標,建構環境永續發展評估指標體系,作爲推動邁向永續發展及監測永續發展進程趨勢狀態的系統化量測工具。
    第四章利用台灣地區1998〜2005年政府公布相關統計資料庫,計算本國物質流及生態足跡等指標;並針對新建構之環境永續發展評估指標體系進行實證分析,如環境負荷、環境壓強、足跡強度和生態超載等指標,對台灣的環境壓力與環境效率進行實證研究,再進一步架構出台灣地區環境永續發展趨勢評估之階層架構,並根據結果提出政策建議。
    研究結果顯示:(1)台灣的經濟活動十分依賴進口物質的投入,其中又以化石燃料占最大比例;此外,台灣地區的經濟發展(GDP)與資源需求(DMI)呈現高度相關性,溫室氣體排放量增加趨勢幾乎與經濟成長同步。因此,進口能源與經濟發展的關連性,以及物質投入與溫室氣體排放間之關係,都是可進一步討論的議題。此外,儘管經濟發展與資源需求有上述的「耦合」成長關係,傳統污染物的排放量卻出現與經濟成長「脫鉤」的現象,其中更以固體廢棄物最為明顯。未來在環境污染防治技術之發展上,台灣地區應更加努力著重溫室氣體之排放減量。(2)臺灣人均生態足跡的成長主要呈現在對能源用地和牧草地需求的增加,反映消費結構的改變和產業結構的變化。其次,萬元GDP生態足跡持續下降,顯示台灣的資源利用效率在穩定提高。(3)台灣生態超載指數為2.887,顯示臺灣的生態系統處於超載狀態。環境效率以及生態效率在研究期均有較顯著的下降,說明本國環境壓力總量仍處於成長階段。因此,台灣若不及時採取適當的措施,將會由目前的弱永續發展狀態逐步走向背離永續發展的惡性循環中。
    藉由上述各項指標評量的結果,顯示經濟活動的成長,使污染物質總量持續增加,對國土的開發利用及再生資源的需求日增。但目前污染濃度的管制策略,環境的自淨能力均無法負荷污染排放量,無法確保環境品質。為有利於永續發展,相關政策建議如下:(1)促使產業效能的提升;(2)防治技術的進步;(3)「總量管制」觀念的落實;(4)國土的合理規劃及開發行為的總量管制,可以降低對生態的破壞及對資源的超限利用,並有利於邁向永續發展。

    The environmental pressure created by a nation’s economic activities and the environmental carrying capacity of the nation determine the sustainability of the nation’s social and economic development. Measuring the environmental pressure and carrying capacity of a nation is, therefore, a necessary prerequisite for setting development goals and devising policy instruments toward a sustainable future for that nation. The goals of this study are as follows: (1) base on the indicators of material flow and ecological footprint to assess the Taiwan’s environmental status; (2) integrate the material flow and ecological footprint to construct Taiwan’s environmental sustainability assessment indicators; (3) explore the environmental sustainability indicators and standardized assessment in Taiwan, and proceed the empirical research; (4) accord to the result on empirical research to conduct the strategy and suggestion of the overall evaluation of sustainable development for Taiwan.
    Chapter one and two identify the research topic and research procedures, the most popular sustainable development assessment models or indicators were introduced by OECD, IISD and IUCN. This research also tried to calculate the Taiwan’s environmental sustainability development by using ecological economics system assessment model, the material flow model and ecological footprint model.
    Chapter three explain the performance evaluation, function and application of the material flow method and ecological footprint model then adjust the models to apply regional sustainability development assessment. The study also has utilized the material flow, ecological footprint and other related indicators to promote a systemic measurement as a probing tool for sustainable development.
    Chapter four utilizes the statistics database during 1998~2005 in Taiwan to calculate the indicators of material flow, ecological footprint and other related to establish the indicator system of sustainable development. Environmental load, environmental pressure intensity, ecological footprint intensity index and ecological overshoot index are used to abstract the representative factors in order to estimate the indicators of environmental sustainable development, as well as to make policy recommendations.
    The research indicates following results: (1) The direct material input of Taiwan shows constant instability and depends on heavy import activity. The annual increase of considerable greenhouse gas emission leads to a comparative growth of the domestic process output. (2) The growth on per capita ecological demand footprint in Taiwan reflects that changing consumption and industry construct since the demand on the energy land and agricultural land. In addition, the occupation of ecological footprints per ten thousand dollar may express the utilization benefit of economic development to land resource. More occupation of ecological footprints per ten thousand dollar means lower utilization benefit of its resources. (3) The ecological overshoot index is 2.887 that show the Taiwan’s ecological system is in overloading situation. Therefore, if proper measures are not adopted in time, the current weak sustainability will lead into the vicious circle which departs from sustainable development.

    中文摘要.................................................II 英文摘要.................................................IV 誌謝.....................................................VI 目錄....................................................VII 圖目次...................................................IX 表目次....................................................X 第一章 緒論..............................................1 第一節 研究背景......................................1 第二節 研究動機與目的................................3 第三節 研究範圍與限制................................6 第四節 研究內容與流程............................... 7 第二章 文獻回顧..........................................10 第一節 永續發展理念之演進與意涵.....................11 第二節 永續發展評估指標系統之發展與應用.............24 第三節 永續發展指標選取原則與方式........................66 第四節 本章小結.....................................74 第三章 環境永續發展評估指標體系之建構....................77 第一節 物質流模型與指標體系.........................77 第二節 生態足跡模型與指標體系......................102 第三節 建構環境永續發展評估指標體系................119 第四節 本章小結....................................127 第四章 台灣環境永續發展評估指標體系之實證分析...........129 第一節 物質流指標之計算分析........................129 第二節 生態足跡指標之計算分析......................136 第三節 環境永續發展評估指標體系之實證分析..........142 第五章 結論與建議.......................................149 第一節 研究結論....................................149 第二節 後續研究之展望建議..........................153 第三節 研究貢獻....................................155 參考文獻................................................156

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