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研究生：	龍彥平 Rodriguez, Alfredo Enrique De La Guardia
論文名稱：	The Effects of Electricity Sources on the Cost of Electricity in Panama The Effects of Electricity Sources on the Cost of Electricity in Panama
指導教授：	潘浙南 Pan, Jeh-Nan
學位類別：	碩士 Master
系所名稱：	管理學院 - 國際經營管理研究所碩士班 Institute of International Management (IIMBA--Master)
論文出版年：	2011
畢業學年度：	99
語文別：	英文
論文頁數：	59
外文關鍵詞：	electricity source, thermal power, hydroelectric power, electricity imports, tratado marco del mercado electrico de america central, panama, panama canal, marginal cost
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The purpose of this research is to identify which electricity production sources have a significant effect on the marginal cost of electricity in Panama. Panama, like most Central American countries, bases its electricity production on hydroelectric power, thermoelectric power, and electricity purchases. Only secondary data provided by official entities was used in order to assure that the numbers used for the research were consistent. The results of the research suggest that it is necessary to switch to less oil-dependent electricity production alternatives in order to achieve lower electricity production cost for the Panamanian market.

ABSTRACT	II
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS	III
TABLE OF CONTENTS	V
LIST OF TABLES	VIII
LIST OF FIGURES	IX
CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION	1
1.1	The Electric Market in Panama.	1
1.2	Electricity Production in Panama.	6
1.3	The Central American Electric Market.	8
1.4	Electricity Demand in Panama.	9
1.5 Research Objectives.	12
CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW	14
2.1 The Deregulation of Electric Markets and its Impact on the Cost of Electricity.	14
2.2 Electricity Demand Coverage.	15
2.3 The Effect of Oil prices on the Cost of Producing Electricity.	16
2.4 Additional Characteristics of the Electricity Supply.	19
CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY	22
3.1 Data Collection.	22
3.2 Research Framework.	23
3.3 Hypotheses Testing.	24
3.4 Variables.	27
3.4.1 Independent Variables.	27
3.4.2 Dependent Variables.	28
CHAPTER FOUR DATA ANALYSIS AND RESEARCH RESULTS	29
4.1 Data Analysis Procedure.	29
4.1.1 Descriptive Statistics.	29
4.1.2 Deseasonalization.	29
4.1.3 Regression Analysis.	30
4.2 Descriptive Statistics.	30
4.3 Deseasonalization and Regression Analysis.	31
4.4 Implications of the Findings.	38
CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND SUGESTIONS	43
5.1 Research Conclusions and Discussions.	43
5.2 Research Contributions.	45
5.3 Limitations and Future Research Opportunities.	48
REFERENCES	50
APPENDICES	52
Appendix 1:  Marginal Cost vs. Production Alternatives. Deseasonalized by 2-month seasons. Only significant Factors.	52
Appendix 2:  Marginal Cost vs. Production Alternatives. Deseasonalized by 2-month Seasons.	53
Appendix 3:  Marginal Cost vs. Production Alternatives. Deseasonalized by 1-month Seasons.	54
Appendix 4:  Marginal Cost vs. Production Alternatives. Deseasonalized by 1-month Seasons, Only Significant Factors.	55
Appendix 4:  Status of Renewable Technology, Characteristics and Costs	56
Appendix 5:  Marginal Cost vs. Deseasonalized Demand. Deseasonalized by 1-month Seasons.	57
Appendix 6:  Developing Countries with Policies to Motivate Green Energy.	59


                                    

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