| 研究生: |
薛展青 Hsueh, Chan-Ching |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
求解模糊迴歸之參數估計 |
| 指導教授: |
陳梁軒
Chen, Liang-Hsuan |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系 Department of Industrial and Information Management |
| 論文出版年: | 2004 |
| 畢業學年度: | 92 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 62 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 模糊排序法 、數學規劃法 、模糊迴歸分析 、α 截集 、最小平方法 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | fuzzy regression, least square estimation, fuzzy ranking, mathematical programming |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:87 下載:4 |
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過去傳統迴歸分析確實成功的詮釋了傳統現象的因果關係。然而,由於社會現象的漸趨繁雜,有些資料具有模糊現象,使得傳統的分析方法難以適用。而自Tanaka 等人將傳統迴歸分析拓展至模糊環境後,便有越來越多的學者紛紛投入於模式的建立與分析,但多數文獻的共同特色是所求解出的迴歸係數為模糊數值,使得進行反應變數的估計時,估計值的展度隨著解釋變數數值的增加而擴大,因而降低了模式的估計準確度。
本研究提出兩種求解模式來建構模糊迴歸模式,第一種求解模式的觀念乃基於 截集的概念直接對觀察值求取出上下限值,利用最小平方估計法建立模糊迴歸模式。而第二種求解模式則是利用數學規劃法建構出模糊迴歸模式,其觀念為利用Chen與Lu之模糊排序評估準則尋求最佳配適的迴歸係數建立模糊迴歸模式。與過去文獻不同的是,本研究所提之兩種求解模式所求解出的迴歸係數均為明確數值,除了避免先前文獻的共同缺失之外,並使得整體模式之估計誤差降低,使決策者之決策品質可以大幅的提升。
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