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研究生: 郤劭群
Shi, Shau-Chung
論文名稱: 應用整體擴展技術結合類神經網路預測積層陶瓷電容器粉末先行之介電常數
指導教授: 利德江
Li, De-jiang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系碩士在職專班
Department of Industrial and Information Management (on the job class)
論文出版年: 2005
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 77
中文關鍵詞: 類神經網路系統、積層陶瓷電容、整體擴展技術、虛擬樣本
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  •   在科技快速變遷的時代,產品的生命週期逐漸縮短,產品從研發試作至量產上市的時間愈縮愈短,如何由產品先行試作至快速量產,是企業的核心競爭力之一。

      由於類神經網路系統(Neural Network)具有高效率的學習模式,特別是對於非線性模型之建立或時間數列預測模式的建構,都顯得非常的有效。因此,本研究將以積層陶瓷電容(Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitor, MLCC)為研究對象,應用類神經網路系統在產品量產初期,以供應商所提供的出貨報告資料和製程相關歷史資料,快速求出穩健的製程參數,以縮短產品試作至量產的時間,降低生產成本。

      然而,對於類神經網路系統而言,其學習模式的建立,完全仰賴於訓練資料所提供的資訊,唯有充足的訓練資料,才能建立起一個精準的類神經網路系統,但實際上常因原始的資料筆數不足,使得模式的預測不穩定。

      本研究乃針對在收集到的資料比數不多之情況下,應用整體擴展技術(Mega Trend Diffusion),產生虛擬樣本(Artificial Samples),增加資料筆數,以求得更加準確之預測模式,本研究顯示此模式可在產品量產初期,快速預估其製程重要參數,提供管理決策之參考。

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    論 文 目 錄 摘 要 iii 誌 謝 iv 論 文 目 錄 v 表 目 錄 viii 圖 目 錄 ix 第1章 緒論 1 1.1 研究動機 1 1.2 研究目的 2 1.3 研究範圍假設與限制 3 1.4 研究方法與架構 5 1.5 論文架構 7 第2章 文獻探討 8 2.1積層陶瓷電容器簡介 8 2.1.1 積層陶瓷電容器製造流程 10 2.1.2 積層陶瓷電容器的分類 12 2.1.3 積層陶瓷電容器介電常數之計算 13 2.2 模糊理論 15 2.2.1 模糊集合及歸屬函數 16 2.2.2 模糊集合運算 18 2.2.3 模糊推論系統 19 2.3 類神經網路 21 2.3.1 基本觀念 21 2.3.2 類神經網路之種類 22 2.3.3 類神經網路之能力 23 2.4 倒傳遞類神經網路 24 2.4.1 網路架構 25 2.4.2 倒傳遞類神經網路之演算法 26 2.4.3倒傳遞類神經網路網路之運算過程(以動量梯度法為例) 28 2.4.4 倒傳遞類神經網路網路之誤差函數 29 2.4.5 倒傳遞類神經網路網路之學習效率 30 2.5 模糊類神經網路 30 2.6 小樣本學習 32 2.6.1虛擬樣本(Virtual Samples) 32 2.6.2 整體模糊化(Mega-Fuzzification) 33 2.6.3資訊擴展(Information Diffusion) 36 2.6.4貝氏網路(Bayesian Networks) 37 2.7小結 39 第3章 研究方法 40 3.1 系統的架構 40 3.1.1 因子選定 40 3.1.2 因子說明 41 3.2 資料擴散結合類神經網路預測系統之建構 43 3.2.1整體體擴展技術 44 3.2.2 歸屬函數之制定 49 3.2.3 建構適當類神經網路 50 3.3 研究流程 51 3.4 研究步驟 52 3.5 小結 52 第4章 實證研究 53 4.1 資料收集 53 4.2 觀念架構 54 4.3 資料型態 55 4.4 訓練及測試模式之建立 56 4.5 虛擬樣本之建立 57 4.6 倒傳遞類神經網路( )之建立與訓練測試 59 4.7 網路測試結果 59 4.8 小結 63 第5章 結論與建議 64 5.1 結論 64 5.2 建議 66 參 考 文 獻 67 附錄一 原始資料 71 附錄二 EIA(Electronic Industries Alliance) 72 附錄三 供應商之出貨報告 73 附錄四 積層陶瓷電容器編碼原則及尺寸規格 74 附錄五Pythia 類神經軟體操作介面 75 附錄六 網路模式測試結果 77

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