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研究生: 梅瑛宏
Mei, Ying-Hong
論文名稱: 氣候風險是否影響支持TCFD銀行對貸款利率的定價?
Does Climate Risk Affect the Pricing of Loan Rates by the TCFD-Supporting Banks?
指導教授: 顏盟峯
Yen, Meng-Feng
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融研究所
Graduate Institute of Finance
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 41
中文關鍵詞: TCFD氣候風險貸款利差環境績效
外文關鍵詞: TCFD, Climate risk, Loan spread, Environmental performance
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  • 由於氣候變遷加劇以及市場對於氣候風險意識的提高,2017年發佈的TCFD氣候相關揭露逐漸受到全球金融機構的支持,但是過去對氣候風險與貸款利差間的研究相對匱乏。因此本文志在研究企業向銀行進行貸款時,企業的氣候風險對於貸款利差的影響,發現當企業的氣候風險較高時貸款利差也會較高。由於氣候災害事件對於銀行的潛在風險,本文也研究了貸款銀行的氣候風險對於貸款利差的影響,發現貸款銀行的氣候風險較高時所提供的貸款利差也會較高。
    由於營業地區的氣候風險屬於外部的不可控制的因素,我們試圖找到企業本身能努力的方向以改善氣候風險對貸款利差造成的影響,最終發現企業的環境績效表現越佳則能降低氣候風險對貸款利差的負面影響。
    本文以MSCI ACWI世界指數成分股公司以及支持TCFD的商業銀行間的貸款作為研究對象,研究期間從2015至2020年,企業環境績效資料使用Refinitiv ASSET4 (datastream) 資料庫,國家/地區氣候風險資料使用Germanwatch編製的Global Climate Index ;美國地區的氣候風險資料使用Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) 發佈的National Risk Index與National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 發佈的U.S. Climate Extremes Index。

    This study investigates the impact of climate risk on loan spreads and the role of environmental performance in mitigating these effects. With increasing support for TCFD, this research addresses the relative lack of studies on the climate risk-loan spread relationship. Findings reveal a positive association between corporate climate risk and loan spreads, indicating that banks consider climate risk when pricing loans. Additionally, banks exposed to higher climate risk charge higher spreads due to potential climate-related risks.

    The study explores actionable strategies for firms to mitigate climate risk's impact on loan spreads, emphasizing the importance of better environmental performance. It examines firms listed in MSCI ACWI World Index and loans from TCFD-supporting banks from 2015 to 2020. National/regional climate risk data is sourced from the Global Climate Index, while U.S. data uses NRI and U.S. CEI published by FEMA and NOAA.

    This research sheds light on the connection between climate risk and loan spreads, offering insights for banks and firms to manage climate-related risks. It highlights the significance of TCFD and encourages climate-resilient policies for financial institutions and policymakers.

    摘要 I 目錄 II 表目錄 VIII 圖目錄 IX 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究動機 1 1.2 研究發現與貢獻 2 1.3 研究範圍 3 第二章 文獻探討 4 2.1 TCFD介紹與氣候變遷 4 2.2 ESG表現與債務資金成本 6 2.3氣候曝險與債務資金成本 7 2.4自然災害對銀行與風險認知的影響 9 第三章 研究方法 11 3.1 研究架構 11 3.2 資料收集與處理 12 3.2.1資料搜集 12 3.2.2資料處理 12 3.3 變數定義與控制變數衡量方法 13 3.3.1氣候風險指標 13 3.3.2貸款、銀行、企業與總體經濟變數 16 3.4 模型設計 17 3.4.1借款企業營業地區氣候風險與環境績效 18 3.4.2貸款銀行營業地區氣候風險與貸款企業環境績效 19 第四章 實證統計結果 20 4.1敘述統計結果 20 4.2企業國家氣候風險與貸款利差關係 21 4.3銀行營業地區家氣候風險與貸款利差關係 22 第五章 結論 23 5.1研究結論 23 5.2研究限制 24 附錄A 變數定義與資料來源 35 附錄B美國9大標準區域表 37 參考文獻 38 表目錄 表1 敘述統計表 26 表2 相關係數矩陣 27 表3 樣本產業數量 29 表4樣本地區分布 30 表5貸款企業國家氣候風險與貸款利差關係 31 表6貸款銀行國家氣候風險與貸款利差關係 33   圖目錄 圖二 1 TCFD氣候相關風險與機會辨別流程圖 6 圖三 1研究架構 11 圖三 2 資料處理流程 13

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