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研究生: 陳俊佑
Chen, Chun-Yu
論文名稱: 學校教室中 PM2.5 濃度預測模式技術開發
Developing a Modelling Approach for Predicting PM2.5 Concentrations in Classrooms for School Children
指導教授: 蔡朋枝
Tsai, Perng-Jy
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 醫學院 - 環境醫學研究所
Department of Environmental and Occupational Health
論文出版年: 2025
畢業學年度: 113
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 141
中文關鍵詞: PM2.5 暴露濃度產生率非通風移除率完全混合盒模式教室
外文關鍵詞: PM2.5 exposure concentration, Generation rate, Non-ventilation removal rate, Well-mixed room model, Classroom
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  • 鑒於環境 PM2.5濃度的變化以及教室內活動的多樣性,傳統監測方法在評估學童長期室內 PM2.5暴露時常因所需樣本數龐大而難以實施。雖然完全混合室(well-mixed room, WMR)模式提供了一項可行的替代方案,但其應用仰賴對室內 PM2.5產生率(G)與非通風移除率(K)的精確量化。本研究提出一種可同時估算G與K的數值迭代方法,並將其應用於 WMR 模型以預測教室內 PM2.5濃度,進一步結合學生的時間-活動模式,透過蒙地卡羅模擬法估算其長期 PM2.5 暴露分布。
    本研究於台灣典型小學教室中進行,其中一間教室設有兩部新風機(FAUs),另一間使用空氣清淨機(AP)。於室內外同步監測PM2.5及CO2濃度用以推估G及K,並評估模式準確性。結果顯示,使用新風機之教室在講課期間與午休期間的幾何平均數(GM(GSD))分別為 10.7(2.1)與 19.2(1.2)µg/min。使用空氣清淨機之教室在講課期間與午休期間的幾何平均數(GM(GSD))分別為 8.7(3.1)與 23.2(1.7)µg/min。G的峰值與高強度活動(如使用粉筆、清潔與走動)有關。K則皆趨近於零,推測與細懸浮微粒粒徑小以及 FAU及AP提供的高換氣率有關。模型預測值與實測值之間無顯著差異,證實所提出方法的準確性與可靠性。在FAUs正常運作的情境下,學生的長期 PM2.5暴露分布呈現對數常態分布,其 GM(GSD)為 8.5(1.4)µg/m3,95 百分位為 15.1 µg/m3,略高於世界衛生組織(WHO)建議的每日PM2.5暴露限值(15 µg/m3)。在AP正常運作的情境下,學生的長期 PM2.5暴露其 GM(GSD)為 5.0(1.3)µg/m3,95 百分位為 8.4 µg/m3,低於WHO建議之每日PM2.5暴露限值。為避免暴露於過高的CO2濃度,模擬分析使用AP且加強通風下,若要使學生的 95 百分位暴露值維持在 WHO 指引以下,AP所需流率需增加到9 m3/min。
    本研究所提出的方法為估算學童室內PM2.5暴露提供了一項實用且具通用性的技術基礎,並有助於強化環境衛生領域對PM2.5暴露健康影響之評估與相應控制策略的制定。

    Given the fluctuations in ambient PM2.5 concentrations and the variability of classroom activities, traditional monitoring approaches are often impractical for assessing long-term indoor PM2.5 exposures among schoolchildren due to the substantial sample size required. Although the well-mixed room (WMR) model offers a promising alternative, its application relies on accurate quantification of the indoor PM2.5 generation rate (G) and non-ventilation removal rate (K). This study presents a technique to simultaneously estimate both G and K using a combination of numerical and iterative methods and applies the results to the WMR model for predicting PM2.5 concentrations inside classrooms. Students' time-activity patterns were further integrated to estimate long-term PM2.5 exposure distributions using Monte Carlo simulations.
    The study was conducted in two typical elementary school classrooms in Taiwan—one equipped with two fresh air units (FAUs), and the other with an air purifier (AP). PM2.5 and CO2 concentrations were simultaneously measured inside and outside the classrooms to estimate G and K and evaluate model accuracy. In the FAU-equipped classroom, the geometric means (GM (GSD)) of G were 10.7 (2.1) µg/min and 19.2 (1.2) µg/min during lecture sessions and noon rest periods, respectively. In the AP-equipped classroom, the GM (GSD) of G were 8.7 (3.1) and 23.2 (1.7) µg/min for the respective periods. Higher G values were associated with intensive activities such as chalk usage, cleaning, and student movement.
    The K was consistently zero (K = 0) in both classrooms, likely due to the small particle size of PM2.5 and the high air exchange rates provided by both FAUs and the AP. No significant differences were found between the measured and model-predicted PM2.5 concentrations, confirming the accuracy and reliability of the proposed approach.
    With FAUs in operation, students’ long-term PM2.5 exposure distribution followed a log-normal distribution, with a GM (GSD) of 8.5 (1.4) µg/m3 and a 95th percentile of 15.1 µg/m3—slightly exceeding the WHO daily guideline of 15 µg/m3. Sensitivity analysis highlighted that outdoor PM2.5 concentrations had the greatest influence on students’ exposure. Scenario-based simulation further showed that to maintain students' 95th percentile exposure below the WHO guideline, the GM of outdoor PM2.5 during school hours must not exceed 15.9 µg/m3.
    Under AP operation, the GM (GSD) of student exposure was 5.0 (1.3) µg/m3, and the 95th percentile was 8.4 µg/m3, remaining well below the WHO guideline. Simulation analysis also showed that to maintain students’ 95th percentile exposure below the WHO limit while avoiding excessive CO2 accumulation, the AP would need to be supplemented with a ventilation rate of at least 9 m3/min.
    In conclusion, the proposed method offers a practical and generalizable approach for estimating indoor PM2.5 exposures among schoolchildren. The techniques developed in this study will contribute to the field of environmental health science by enabling more effective assessment of health impacts associated with PM2.5 exposures

    摘要 I ABSTRACT II 致謝 IV CONTENTS V LIST OF FIGURES VIII LIST OF TABLES X 1. INTRODUCTION 1 1.1. BACKGROUND 1 1.2. OBJECTIVES 4 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1. INDOOR AIR QUALITY (IAQ) AND PM2.5 5 2.1.1. Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) 5 2.1.2. Health impacts of PM2.5 on children 6 2.1.3. PM2.5 exposure limits and IAQ guidelines for schools 7 2.2. SOURCES AND BEHAVIOR OF INDOOR PM2.5 IN CLASSROOMS 8 2.2.1. Indoor and outdoor PM2.5 contributions 8 2.2.2. Classroom-specific PM2.5 generation sources 9 2.2.3. Infiltration and penetration of outdoor particles 10 2.3. TECHNIQUES FOR PM2.5 EXPOSURE ASSESSMENT 12 2.3.1. Air quality monitoring station (AQMS) 12 2.3.2. Land-used regression (LUR) 13 2.3.3. Satellite remote sensing 14 2.3.4. Environment and personal sampling methods 15 2.3.5. Real-time monitoring technologies 16 2.4. MODELLING APPROACHES FOR PREDICTING INDOOR CLASSROOM PM2.5 17 2.4.1. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models 17 2.4.2. Regression and machine learning approaches 18 2.4.3. Numerical model 20 2.4.4. Indoor PM2.5 Generation Rate (G) and non-ventilation Removal Rate (K) 22 3. MATERIALS AND METHODS 25 3.1. STUDY FRAMEWORK 25 3.2. THE SELECTED CLASSROOMS 27 3.2.1. Classroom with fresh air units 27 3.2.2. Classroom with air purifier 29 3.3. MONITORING PM2.5 AND CO2 CONCENTRATIONS 31 3.4. PM2.5 PREDICTIVE MODEL UNDER DIFFERENT CONTROL MEASURES 32 3.4.1. PM2.5 exposure predicting model for fresh air unit (FAU) 32 3.4.2. PM2.5 exposure predicting model for air purifier (AP) 36 3.5. THE TECHNIQUE FOR QUANTIFYING G AND K 41 3.6. ASSESSING LONG-TERM PM2.5 EXPOSURES FOR SCHOOL CHILDREN 42 3.6.1. Long-term outdoor PM2.5 exposure concentration database 42 3.6.2. Exposure assessment for lecture session 43 3.6.3. Exposure assessment for breaks and outdoor course sessions 44 3.6.4. Exposure assessment for noon rest 44 3.6.5. Long-term PM2.5 exposure concentration during school hours 45 4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 46 4.1. MEASURED CONCENTRATIONS OF THE CLASSROOM USING FRESH AIR UNIT 46 4.1.1. Measured Indoor and outdoor PM2.5 concentrations 46 4.1.2. Uniformity of PM2.5 inside the selected classroom using fresh air unit 48 4.1.3. The use of FAUs on reducing PM2.5 and CO2 concentrations in the selected classroom 50 4.2. MEASURED CONCENTRATIONS OF THE CLASSROOM USING AIR PURIFIER 52 4.2.1. Measured indoor and outdoor PM2.5 concentrations 52 4.2.2. Uniformity of PM2.5 inside the selected classroom using air purifier 54 4.2.3. The use of air purifier on reducing PM2.5 concentrations and CO2 in the selected classroom 55 4.3. ESTIMATED G AND K FOR THE SELECTED CLASSROOM 57 4.3.1. Estimated G and K for the FAU-equipped Classroom 57 4.3.2. Estimated G and K for the AP-equipped classroom 61 4.3.3. Discussions of obtained G and K 63 4.4. THE FEASIBILITY OF USING THE MODELLING APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING CLASSROOM PM2.5 CONCENTRATIONS 65 4.4.1. Evaluation of the model accuracy for the FAU-equipped classroom 65 4.4.2. Evaluation of the model accuracy for the AP-equipped classroom 66 4.5. COMPARE AQMS AND MEASURED OUTDOOR PM2.5 CONCENTRATION 68 4.6. PARAMETERS USED IN MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS 70 4.7. LONG-TERM PM2.5 EXPOSURE ASSESSMENTS FOR SCHOOL CHILDREN IN THE FAU-EQUIPPED CLASSROOM 73 4.7.1. Long-term PM2.5 exposure concentrations for different scenarios 73 4.7.2. Long-term PM2.5 exposure concentrations with and without the use of fresh air units 76 4.7.3. Sensitivity analysis 78 4.7.4. Long-term PM2.5 exposure concentrations in different seasons 81 4.7.5. Ambient PM2.5 concentration limit during school hours 84 4.8. LONG-TERM PM2.5 EXPOSURE ASSESSMENTS FOR SCHOOL CHILDREN IN THE AP-EQUIPPED CLASSROOM 85 4.8.1. Long-term PM2.5 exposure concentrations for different scenarios 85 4.8.2. long-term PM2.5 exposure concentrations with and without the use of air purifier 87 4.8.3. Required flow rate of air purifier under enhanced ventilation scenarios 89 4.9. EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROL MEASURES AND THE DIMINISHING EFFICIENCY OF HIGH FLOWRATE 90 5. CONCLUSIONS 93 5.1. CONCLUSIONS 93 5.2. LIMITATIONS 95 5.3. FUTURE RESEARCH DIRECTIONS 96 6. REFERENCES 97 7. APPENDIX 105

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