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研究生: 王嘉敏
Wang, Chia-Min
論文名稱: 產業知識與分析師預測精確性
Industry knowledge and analysts’ forecast accuracy
指導教授: 陳政芳
Chen, Jeng-Fang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2015
畢業學年度: 103
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 26
中文關鍵詞: 分析師知識預測精確性
外文關鍵詞: Analyst knowledge, forecast accuracy
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  • 本研究分析以兩種層級來探討分析師產業知識預測精確性的影響。第一種是分析師層級的產業知識。第二種券商層級的產業知識。實證結果指出,在分析師層級的產業知識,並未發現與分析師預測精確性有關連性。在券商層級的產業知識,則與分析師盈餘預測準確度成顯著正向關係。整體而言,本研究發現券商層級產業知識越高可幫助分析師獲得產業知識,進而提高分析師盈餘預測的精確性。

    We analyze the effects of an analyst’s industry expertise, as measured at analyst and broker levels, on forecast accuracy. We find that analyst’s industry expertise at analyst-level has no relation with forecast accuracy. We also find that an analyst’s industry expertise at broker-level is helpful for the analyst to issue superior earnings forecasts. Overall, our results suggest that broker-level industry expertise can help analysts to obtain complementary information, and thus has a positive effect on forecast accuracy.

    Contents I. Introduction 1 II. Prior Literature and Hypotheses Development 4 III. Sample Selection 7 3.1 Sample and Data 7 3.2 Inter-industry Relatedness 7 IV. Research Design and Descriptive Statistics 9 4.1 Research Design 9 4.2 Descriptive Statistics 13 4.3 Correlation Matrix 14 V. Empirical Results 18 5.1 Multivariate Analysis 18 5.2 Robustness Test 19 VI. Conclusions 23 References 24

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