| 研究生: |
王尊輿 Wang, Tsun-Yu |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
用於監控不良率之幾何 Kullback-Leibler 資訊管制圖 A geometric Kullback-Leibler information control chart for the proportion monitoring |
| 指導教授: |
張裕清
Chang, Yu-Ching |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 工業與資訊管理學系 Department of Industrial and Information Management |
| 論文出版年: | 2021 |
| 畢業學年度: | 109 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 71 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | Kullback-Leibler information 、幾何分配 、伯努力分配 、監控不良率 、管制圖 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Kullback-Leibler information, geometric, Bernoulli, proportion, control chart |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:112 下載:0 |
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管制圖常被運用在不同領域中監控機率,在製造業中,會期望製造出不良品的機率越低越好;而在醫療業中,會期望醫療糾紛或罕見疾病發生的機率越低越好,常用來監控機率的管制圖有p管制圖、累積合格品數管制圖等,而適合監控機率的分配分別有伯努力分配、二項分配、幾何分配。本研究以Kullback and Leibler (1951)所提出的Kullback-Leibler information (KLI) 應用幾何分配來建構管制圖(稱作幾何KLI),與過往提出的管制圖(如修華特管制圖、累積和管制圖、指數加權移動平均管制圖與一般化概似比管制圖)不同的特點在於,幾何KLI管制圖不需要設置管制圖設計參數並且能夠偵測不同範圍的變異,因此對於現場人員的操作更易於上手。本研究提出的幾何KLI管制圖將用於監控不良率並跟Huang et al. (2013)作比較,當監控不良率上升時,幾何KLI針對較大範圍偏移的偵測優於累積和管制圖、指數加權移動平均管制圖與一般化概似比管制圖,且整體績效為最佳,並且擁有不需要設定管制圖設計參數之優勢。在監控不良率下降時,幾何KLI的績效會比幾何累積和管制圖來的好,但兩者績效皆不如伯努力累積和管制圖。在同時監控不良率的上升或下降時,幾何KLI將監控不良率上升與監控不良率下降兩個管制圖結合時,績效會優於伯努力累積和管制圖,且整體績效為最佳。本研究單獨比較幾何KLI與伯努力KLI的績效,在監控不良率上升時,幾何KLI的整體績效為最佳;在監控不良率下降時,伯努力KLI的整體績效為最佳;而在同時監控不良率的上升或下降時,幾何KLI將監控不良率上升與監控不良率下降兩個管制圖結合的整體績效為最佳。最後,本研究以實例示範如何操作幾何KLI。
As a usual technique of quality control, control charts are considered as means of monitoring a process when all items are classified into one of two categories. The proposed control chart based on Kullback-Leibler information (KLI) and a geometric distribution is used for monitoring the nonconforming proportion p of the manufacturing processes in phase II. The chart features a parameter-free setting and rapid detection. The proposed control chart, known as the geometric KLI, has been compared with CUSUM, EWMA, and GLR by Monte Carlo simulation under various shifts when special causes exist in the manufacturing process for detecting an upward shift in p, a downward shift in p, or both. The results turn out that the geometric KLI has an outstanding performance in detecting upward and double-sided shifts. In addition to comparison with different control charts, the geometric KLI will be further discussed with a Bernoulli distributed-based chart through the same measuring method. In the end, a practical application of the geometric KLI in monitoring the adverse rate in orthopedic surgeries will be demonstrated.
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