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研究生: 戴于順
Tai, Yu-Shune
論文名稱: 台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資及經營績效之研究
The Research of Investment in China and Operating Performance of Taiwan Steel Industry
指導教授: 康信鴻
Kang, Hsin-Hong
方世杰
Fang, S. C.
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 企業管理學系
Department of Business Administration
論文出版年: 2007
畢業學年度: 95
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 111
中文關鍵詞: 投資規模經營績效迴歸模型大陸投資鋼鐵產業
外文關鍵詞: Regression model, Operating performance, Steel industry, Investment in China, Investment size
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  • 本研究之研究目的主要探討議題為(1)影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資的原因及其影響投資規模的變數有那些?(2)影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資之經營績效之變數有那些?而各重要變數之影響程度及其關係如何?
    本研究以台灣鋼鐵產業匯出大陸投資金額代表赴大陸之投資規模,而分別以台灣鋼鐵業的稅後淨利與鋼鐵股價指數兩指標代表台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資之經營績效。研究期間為自1999年第一季至2007年第一季,共33筆季資料,而在本研究中之解釋變數包括國際景氣、匯率、國民所得、籌資能力、勞工成本、母公司規模、海外投資經驗、鋼鐵原物料價格及政策因素等變數,以建立三個多元迴歸模型並透過E-Views軟體來探討各變數間的關係及重要性。
    本研究實證結果顯示影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資之投資規模的影響因素為只有母公司規模對大陸投資規模是具有顯著正相關的影響。而以台灣鋼鐵業之稅後淨利代表經營績效時,影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸之經營績效的影響因素為台灣股市加權指數與母公司規模對經營績效皆有顯著正相關的影響,而美國道瓊工業指數卻是對經營績效呈現顯著負相關的影響;至於以鋼鐵股價指數代表經營績效時,影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸之經營績效的影響因素為台灣股市加權指數與鋼鐵原物料價格指數對經營績效均顯示有顯著正相關的影響。

    The purpose of the study is to explore the following issues: (1)What are the variables that affect investment by Taiwanese steel industry firms in China?, (2)What are the variables that affect the operating performance of the steel industry in Taiwan?, and (3) What is the significance and relationship between each variable?
    Using quarterly data from 1Q.1999 to 1Q.2007, three regression models were established and run with E-Views. In this study, the investment amount in China represents Taiwan Steel industry investment in China. Operating performance is represented by net income and TWSE steel industry sub-index performance. Other explanatory variables include global economic conditions, the exchange rate, GDP, ability to raise capital, labor costs, size, overseas investment experience, steel material price index and government policies. We use three regression models to explore the relationship and significance between explained and explanatory variables.
    According to the empirical results, Taiwan steel industry investment in China was positively and significantly affected by size. When net income represents operating performance, the operating performance of Taiwan steel industry was positively and significantly affected by TAIEX performance and size, but negatively affected by American Dow Jones Industrial Average performance. Likewise, if using the TWSE steel industry sub-index to represent Taiwan steel industry operating performance, performance was positively and significantly affected by TAIEX performance and steel material price indexes.

    中文摘要 英文摘要 第壹章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景及動機 1 第二節 研究目的 3 第三節 研究範圍及限制 4 第四節 研究架構及流程 5 第貳章 文獻回顧與探討 7 第一節 經營績效相關文獻 7 第二節 鋼鐵產業之相關文獻 16 第三節 文獻檢討 19 第四節 本文努力之研究方向 21 第參章 鋼鐵產業探討 23 第一節 鋼鐵產業介紹與特性 23 第二節 世界與大陸鋼鐵產業供需分析 31 第三節 台灣鋼鐵產業供需概況分析 39 第肆章 研究方法與資料來源 47 第一節 研究方法 47 第二節 變數定義與資料來源 53 第三節 實證模型 64 第伍章 實證研究 67 第一節 影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資 規模之迴歸模型實證結果 67 第二節 影響台灣鋼鐵產業經營績效之 迴歸模型實證結果 76 第陸章 結論與建議 96 第一節 研究結論 97 第二節 研究建議 104 參考文獻

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