| 研究生: |
戴于順 Tai, Yu-Shune |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資及經營績效之研究 The Research of Investment in China and Operating Performance of Taiwan Steel Industry |
| 指導教授: |
康信鴻
Kang, Hsin-Hong 方世杰 Fang, S. C. |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 企業管理學系 Department of Business Administration |
| 論文出版年: | 2007 |
| 畢業學年度: | 95 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 111 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 投資規模 、經營績效 、迴歸模型 、大陸投資 、鋼鐵產業 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Regression model, Operating performance, Steel industry, Investment in China, Investment size |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:105 下載:0 |
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本研究之研究目的主要探討議題為(1)影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資的原因及其影響投資規模的變數有那些?(2)影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資之經營績效之變數有那些?而各重要變數之影響程度及其關係如何?
本研究以台灣鋼鐵產業匯出大陸投資金額代表赴大陸之投資規模,而分別以台灣鋼鐵業的稅後淨利與鋼鐵股價指數兩指標代表台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資之經營績效。研究期間為自1999年第一季至2007年第一季,共33筆季資料,而在本研究中之解釋變數包括國際景氣、匯率、國民所得、籌資能力、勞工成本、母公司規模、海外投資經驗、鋼鐵原物料價格及政策因素等變數,以建立三個多元迴歸模型並透過E-Views軟體來探討各變數間的關係及重要性。
本研究實證結果顯示影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸投資之投資規模的影響因素為只有母公司規模對大陸投資規模是具有顯著正相關的影響。而以台灣鋼鐵業之稅後淨利代表經營績效時,影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸之經營績效的影響因素為台灣股市加權指數與母公司規模對經營績效皆有顯著正相關的影響,而美國道瓊工業指數卻是對經營績效呈現顯著負相關的影響;至於以鋼鐵股價指數代表經營績效時,影響台灣鋼鐵產業赴大陸之經營績效的影響因素為台灣股市加權指數與鋼鐵原物料價格指數對經營績效均顯示有顯著正相關的影響。
The purpose of the study is to explore the following issues: (1)What are the variables that affect investment by Taiwanese steel industry firms in China?, (2)What are the variables that affect the operating performance of the steel industry in Taiwan?, and (3) What is the significance and relationship between each variable?
Using quarterly data from 1Q.1999 to 1Q.2007, three regression models were established and run with E-Views. In this study, the investment amount in China represents Taiwan Steel industry investment in China. Operating performance is represented by net income and TWSE steel industry sub-index performance. Other explanatory variables include global economic conditions, the exchange rate, GDP, ability to raise capital, labor costs, size, overseas investment experience, steel material price index and government policies. We use three regression models to explore the relationship and significance between explained and explanatory variables.
According to the empirical results, Taiwan steel industry investment in China was positively and significantly affected by size. When net income represents operating performance, the operating performance of Taiwan steel industry was positively and significantly affected by TAIEX performance and size, but negatively affected by American Dow Jones Industrial Average performance. Likewise, if using the TWSE steel industry sub-index to represent Taiwan steel industry operating performance, performance was positively and significantly affected by TAIEX performance and steel material price indexes.
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