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研究生: 葉興松
Yeh, Hsin-Sung
論文名稱: 從全球綠能趨勢探討臺灣地熱電廠投資佈局-以A能源服務公司為例
Exploring Investment and Strategic Deployment of Geothermal Power Plants in Taiwan from the Global Green Energy Trend: A Case Study of Energy Services Company A
指導教授: 林軒竹
Lin, Hsuan-Chu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 高階管理碩士在職專班(EMBA)
Executive Master of Business Administration (EMBA)
論文出版年: 2024
畢業學年度: 112
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 57
中文關鍵詞: 臺灣地熱能源再生能源投資決策財務模型
外文關鍵詞: Taiwan geothermal energy, Renewable energy, Investment decision-making, Financial model
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  • 面對全球氣候變遷的挑戰,各國正積極尋求可持續的能源解決方案以達成淨零碳排放的目標。臺灣,作為一個能源需求日益增加的國家,正尋求多元化再生能源解決方案,其中地熱能源因其可再生的特性而成為一個重要選項。本研究以A能源服務公司為例,深入探討臺灣地熱能源的開發潛力、投資策略與佈局。透過文獻回顧、政策分析與財務模型的應用,本文評估了地熱能源在臺灣的可行性、面臨的挑戰以及未來發展方向。結果顯示,雖然臺灣擁有豐富的地熱資源,但其開發受限於技術、政策等多方面的挑戰,致使地熱能源開發的初期成本高,並伴隨著較高的投資風險。本研究建議,隨著臺灣地熱能的逐步開發,未來能取得更多地熱能電廠發電數據後,配合統計方法的分析,以期在財務模型上的經濟可行性更加準確,以利配合政府政策支持與財務激勵,包括補貼、稅收減免和風險共擔機制,提高地熱能源開發的效率與可行性。

    In the face of the escalating challenge of global climate change, nations around the world are increasingly prioritizing the pursuit of sustainable energy solutions as a means to achieve net-zero carbon emissions. Taiwan, in particular, is confronting the dual pressures of escalating energy demands and the imperative to reduce carbon emissions. As a result, the country is actively exploring a range of diversified renewable energy sources to ensure a more sustainable and secure energy future. Among these, geothermal energy stands out as a critical option due to its renewable and stable nature, which can potentially contribute significantly to Taiwan's energy mix.This study focuses on Energy Service Company A as a case study to delve into the development potential, investment strategies, and strategic layout of geothermal energy within Taiwan. Through a comprehensive approach that includes literature review, policy analysis, and the application of advanced financial models, this paper aims to assess the feasibility, challenges, and future development trajectory of geothermal energy in the Taiwanese context. The analysis also seeks to contribute to the broader discourse on renewable energy adoption in regions with similar geographic and economic conditions.Geothermal energy, as a form of renewable energy derived from the Earth's natural heat, offers several advantages, including its ability to provide a consistent and reliable power supply, unlike other renewable sources such as solar and wind, which are dependent on weather conditions. Taiwan, being situated in a geologically active region, possesses considerable geothermal resources, particularly in areas like Yilan and Hualien. Despite this potential, the development of geothermal energy in Taiwan has been relatively slow, primarily due to a combination of technical, economic, and policy-related challenges.One of the main obstacles identified in the development of geothermal energy in Taiwan is the high initial capital cost associated with exploration and drilling. Unlike other renewable energy sources, geothermal energy requires substantial upfront investment in identifying viable geothermal reservoirs, followed by the development of infrastructure to harness this energy. The inherent risks in exploration, such as the uncertainty in discovering a sufficient geothermal resource and the technical challenges in drilling, further exacerbate the financial risks for potential investors.Moreover, the regulatory and policy framework in Taiwan has historically been less supportive of geothermal energy development compared to other renewable energy sources like solar and wind. The lack of targeted subsidies, tax incentives, and risk-sharing mechanisms has deterred private investment in this sector. However, recent shifts in government policy suggest a growing recognition of the strategic importance of geothermal energy. The government's commitment to diversifying its energy portfolio and reducing its reliance on imported fossil fuels has led to increased interest in enhancing the policy environment to support geothermal development.This study's financial modeling approach evaluates the economic feasibility of geothermal projects under various scenarios, considering factors such as potential government subsidies, tax exemptions, and other financial incentives. The results indicate that while geothermal energy projects in Taiwan currently face high investment risks, particularly due to the significant upfront costs and long payback periods, these risks can be mitigated through well-designed government policies. For instance, the introduction of feed-in tariffs specific to geothermal energy, along with financial instruments that share exploration risks between the public and private sectors, could significantly enhance the attractiveness of geothermal investments.Furthermore, this study highlights the importance of long-term data collection from existing geothermal plants to improve the accuracy and reliability of financial models. As more geothermal power generation data becomes available, statistical methods can be applied to refine these models, thereby providing a more precise estimation of project viability. The integration of such data-driven insights into financial planning could lead to more informed investment decisions, ultimately enhancing the economic feasibility of geothermal projects.Looking ahead, the future development of geothermal energy in Taiwan will likely hinge on several key factors. First, continued government support in the form of favorable policies and financial incentives will be crucial in reducing investment risks and attracting private sector participation. Second, advancements in drilling and exploration technologies could lower the initial capital costs, making geothermal energy more competitive with other renewable energy sources. Third, the establishment of public-private partnerships could facilitate the sharing of risks and rewards, thereby encouraging more investment in the sector.In conclusion, while Taiwan's geothermal energy potential is considerable, its development is currently constrained by a range of technical and policy-related challenges. However, with targeted government intervention and the strategic application of financial models, these challenges can be addressed, paving the way for the more widespread adoption of geothermal energy. As Taiwan continues to seek sustainable energy solutions to meet its growing energy demands, geothermal energy, with its unique advantages, could play a pivotal role in the nation's transition to a low-carbon energy future. The findings of this study underscore the importance of continued research and policy development to unlock the full potential of geothermal energy in Taiwan, thereby contributing to the global efforts to combat climate change.

    摘要 I ABSTRACT II 致謝 V 目錄 VI 表目錄 VIII 圖目錄 IX 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景 1 第二節 研究動機 1 第三節 研究目的 2 第二章 文獻探討 3 第一節 全球綠能趨勢下的再生能源電力部門 3 第二節 地熱能源在全球能源轉型中的角色 8 第三節 地熱電廠投資決策與財務分析 12 第三章 臺灣地熱能源發展綜覽 17 第一節 臺灣地熱能源發展現況 17 第二節 臺灣地熱能源法規、市場與財務激勵 19 第三節 臺灣地熱能源專案挑戰與未來展望 24 第四章 個案公司分析 25 第一節 公司簡介 25 第二節 地熱能電廠投資評估 25 第三節 地熱能電廠專案背景暨財務參數說明 29 第四節 CREST Model效益評估 31 第五節 地熱電廠投資風險評估 35 第五章 結論與建議 37 第一節 台灣地熱電廠投資小結 37 第二節 未來研究方向 37 參考文獻 38

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