| 研究生: |
蔡妮娜 Tsai, Ni-Na |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台灣地區地方政府社會福利支出與經濟成長之研究 Research of Local Government Expenditure on Social Welfare and Economic Growth in Taiwan |
| 指導教授: |
陳彥仲
Chen, Yen-Jong 許永河 Hsu, Yuan-Ho |
| 學位類別: |
博士 Doctor |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學院 - 政治經濟研究所 Graduate Institute of Political Economy |
| 論文出版年: | 2011 |
| 畢業學年度: | 99 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 162 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 地方政府 、社會福利支出 、經濟成長 、均等化 、社會福利集中度 、差異原則 、追蹤資料 、一般化動差法 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | local government social welfare expenditure, economic growth, equality, concentration quotient of social welfare resources, difference principle, panel data, generalized method of moments |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:129 下載:1 |
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社會福利支出如何運用於調節區域之間的經濟差距,是政府在達致政策公平目標時的重要課題。臺灣的社會福利自1990年代後期已受到高度重視,各級政府的社會福利支出比重逐步上升,然而在社會福利增長的過程中,是否達致政策的公平目標,必須加以驗證。本論文之研究目的即藉由分析縣市地方政府社會福利支出在經濟中的角色,分別根據投入均等、產出均等、以及Rawls (1971) 與 Roemer (1998) 之公平論述,依據研究需求採用追蹤資料模型與一般化動差法(Generalized method of moments,GMM),著重於臺灣地區之社會福利資源在縣市政府之間的配置關係與對經濟成長的影響,分章進行實證研究。
第一個研究主題從「投入均等」之角度,分析臺灣地區二十三縣市地方政府社會福利支出相對集中度之影響因素。將社會福利支出分別依據人口份額與都市計畫區土地面積份額計算出社會福利集中商數,分析人口結構、產業、財政等總體經濟變數對於社會福利分配集中度的作用,結果顯示人口、經濟產業與財政組成,皆是影響地方政府社會福利分配均等程度的因素,且各縣市政府的財政組成對於社會福利資源配置的均等化發揮了調整的效果。
第二個研究主題區分了縣市的貧富階層,運用Rawls (1971) 與Roemer (1998) 的公平理論,分析應得原則與使最不利階層獲最大利益之差異原則是否成立。研究結果顯示對社會福利高度需求、財政能力佳,是能夠獲致較多社會福利資源之因素,所得最低階層之五縣市所獲得之人均社會福利支出顯著較低,則能推論出政府之財富水準仍是決定福利資源多寡之重要因素。且研究發現決定富有與貧窮地區社會福利的變數差異甚大,顯示出貧富地區之環境因素與所享有社會福利利益之差別;而應得原則及差異原則之論證,則未能在臺灣地區縣市政府中的福利支出水準中獲得證實。
除了針對地方政府社會福利支出的配置與決定因素進行研究外,最後一個研究主題運用內生成長理論,從「產出均等」觀點探討地方政府的社會福利支出,對於經濟成長與人均收入差距的影響。結果顯示社會福利支出有減低未來經濟成長及擴大人均所得差距之作用,且雖然社會福利支出透過失業率促進地方的經濟成長,但與勞動參與率交互作用後卻降低了經濟成長,表現出可能存在著公共支出的排擠效果甚或道德危險問題。
Welfare expenditure is an important policy tool if the government wants to pursue social equity, and the expenditure by local governments in particular reveals the needs of residents, fiscal capacity and fiscal efforts in such areas. The distribution pattern of social welfare expenditure in local areas and its effect on the economy are examined in this thesis. Therefore, based on the theory of fiscal equality and the thought of political economic philosophy, this research explores three facets of local government expenditure on social welfare. The theories of input, output equality, and the argument of Rawls (1971) and Roemer (1998) are investigated using empirical models in individual chapters. The panel data model and generalized method of moments (GMM) are adopted in the empirical studies.
The thesis first investigates the distribution equality of local government social welfare expenditure between the 23 cities and counties. A location quotient is employed as an index to assess the concentration quotient of social welfare resources. As the total social welfare expenditures are equalized by the population share and the squared measure of the share of urban areas individually, the results show a distinct welfare sharing inequality between local governments. The empirical results also show that the population structure and the economic conditions of the local area are the important determinants for the distribution of the social welfare spending. Moreover, the fiscal composition is the important element with regard to balancing the social welfare distribution between local governments.
Further, the thesis tests the theory of justice of Rawls (1971) and the equity of opportunity of Roemer (1998), and thus divides the cities and counties into the rich or poor categories ones according to the disposable income per capita. The results show that a high demand for social welfare and with greater fiscal ability are the determinants for citizens receiving a higher level of average social welfare. Rawls (1971) and Roemer (1998) argue that the difference principle (or called maximin principle) is the best measure of equity. However, the empirical results show that the poorest group of cities and counties has significantly less social welfare spending per capita. This implies the equity argument of Rawls (1971) and Roemer (1998) is not valid in the case of Taiwan.
Finally, endogenous growth theory is used to investigate the effects of the local government social welfare expenditures on economic growth. The results show that social welfare expenditure decreases future economic growth and increases the income gap between cities. When the social welfare expenditure interacts with the unemployment rate, it drives the future economic growth and expands the income gap. However, its interaction with the labor participation rate decreases both future economic growth and the income gap. This shows the possibility of crowding out effects and moral hazard arise in relation to such public spending.
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校內:2021-06-01公開