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研究生: 張心柔
Chang, Hsin-Jou
論文名稱: 邁向機器學習驅動之具解釋力多層級 HVAC 能源基準化架構:以亞熱帶辦公建築為例
Toward a Machine Learning-Driven Explanatory Multi-Level HVAC Energy Benchmarking Framework: A Case Study of Subtropical Office Buildings
指導教授: 潘振宇
Pan, Chen-Yu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 規劃與設計學院 - 建築學系
Department of Architecture
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 92
中文關鍵詞: HVAC 能源基準化多層級能源績效指標效率金字塔機器學習EnergyPlus 模擬亞熱帶辦公建築
外文關鍵詞: HVAC Energy Benchmarking, Multi-level Energy Performance Indicators (EPIs), Efficiency Pyramid, Machine Learning, EnergyPlus Simulation, Subtropical Office Buildings
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  • 暖通空調(Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning, HVAC)系統為亞熱帶辦公建築之主要能源消耗來源。然而,現行建築能效評估多以整體最終用能指標為核心,難以區分需求端負荷與效率端系統之性能差異。為回應此一缺口,本研究提出一套具解釋力之多層級 HVAC 能源基準化架構,基於效率金字塔概念,建立涵蓋整體層級、系統層級、效率端系統層級與效率端子系統層級之能源績效指標(EPIs),並透過需求端與效率端的分離評估,提升為可操作的基準化方法論。
    為落實此架構之實務應用,本研究針對不具備複雜模擬技能的專業、半專業工程技術及對台灣 BERS 評估系統熟悉之人員,開發一套基於網頁瀏覽器之建築能效快速評估平台。為建立分級基準,本研究以台灣亞熱帶氣候條件下之中大型辦公建築為對象,透過蒙地卡羅抽樣與 EnergyPlus 建立 600 棟目標建築與 600 棟對應基準建築的樣本資料庫。結果顯示 CatBoost、線性迴歸與 LightGBM 預測表現優異(R2 > 0.7);平台驗證證實,整體及系統層級準確度穩定於 75% 至 110% 之間,誤差維持在±30% 之內,顯見模型能精準捕捉參數波動對各物理層級能效之實質影響。
    在基準化判讀機制上,本研究採行「標準化比值(Standardization Ratio, R)」作為核心邏輯,定義 R 為擬議建築指標與法規基準建築指標之比值(R = EPIProposed / EPIBaseline)。透過百分位分級法,將 R 值映射至四個分級門檻,劃分為 Excellent、Good、Fair 與 Needs Improvement 四個等級。
    台北案例驗證顯示,製冷子系統為該建物主要能效瓶頸(Reff,GC = 0.74,評等為 Needs Improvement)。優化效率端之變頻與控制(情境 A)可將整體績效比躍升至 1.52(Excellent),成效顯著優於僅改善外殼隔熱(情境 B);結合兩者(情境 A+B)可使耗電強度降至 66 kWh/m²·year,性能比值推升至 1.64。
    多層級基準化可有效區分需求端改善與效率端改善對整體能源績效的貢獻來源,並支援改善策略之優先順序判定。整體而言,本研究所提出之多層級 HVAC 能源基準化架構可將傳統排名式評估提升為具診斷性與可解釋性的分析工具,對於性能導向能效制度與節能改善決策具有實質應用價值。

    Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems are the primary energy consumers in subtropical office buildings. However, current evaluations often focus on aggregate end-use indicators, failing to distinguish between demand-side load and efficiency-side performance. To address this gap, this study proposes an explanatory multi-level HVAC energy benchmarking framework based on the "Efficiency Pyramid" concept, establishing an operational methodology through separate load and efficiency assessments.
    To implement this framework, a web-based rapid building energy assessment platform was developed for professional and semi-professional engineering technicians, as well as personnel familiar with Taiwan's BERS evaluation system, who lack complex simulation skills. To establish the benchmarking references, this study focused on mid-to-large office buildings under subtropical climate conditions in Taiwan, constructing a sample database consisting of 600 target buildings and 600 corresponding baseline buildings via Monte Carlo sampling and EnergyPlus. The results indicated that the CatBoost, Linear Regression, and LightGBM models exhibited excellent predictive performance (R2 > 0.7$). Platform validation confirmed that the global and system-level accuracies stabilized between 75% and 110%, with errors remaining within ±30%, demonstrating the capability of the models to precisely capture the practical impacts of parameter fluctuations on energy efficiency across various physical levels.
    The benchmarking mechanism adopts a "Standardization Ratio (R)" as its core logic, defined as the ratio of the proposed building's indicator to the regulated baseline (R = EPIProposed / EPIBaseline). Through a percentile grading method, R values are mapped onto four performance thresholds: Excellent, Good, Fair, and Needs Improvement.
    Validation of a case in Taipei identified the cooling subsystem as the primary efficiency bottleneck (Reff,GC = 0.74, rated as "Needs Improvement"). Optimizing the efficiency side through inverter and control upgrades (Scenario A) improved the overall performance ratio to 1.52 (Excellent), significantly outperforming envelope insulation improvements alone (Scenario B). Combining both (Scenario A+B) reduced the energy intensity to 66 kWh/m²·year and pushed the performance ratio to 1.64.
    Multi-level benchmarking effectively distinguishes the contributions of demand-side and efficiency-side improvements and supports the prioritization of energy-saving strategies. Overall, the proposed framework elevates traditional ranking-based assessments into a diagnostic and explanatory tool, offering substantial practical value for performance-oriented energy policies and energy-saving decision-making.

    摘要 1 目錄 7 表目錄 8 圖目錄 9 第1章 緒論 12 1.1 研究背景 12 1.2 研究目的及文獻 14 1.3 研究架構及流程 17 第2章 研究方法 20 2.1 多層級能源績效指標之架構 20 2.2 百分位分級方法 22 2.3 機器學習預測方法 23 2.4 資料庫生成 28 第3章 結果與討論 34 3.1 模擬資料庫特徵與統計分析 34 3.2 多層級能源績效指標 (EPIs) 分布特性 37 3.3 機器學習模型訓練與驗證 41 3.4 能源績效影響因子與特徵重要性 56 3.5 能源績效標準化比值分析 65 3.6 性能分級門檻與分級結果 69 第4章 方法應用 71 4.1 建築能效快速評估平台開發 71 4.2 建築能效快速評估平台應用與印證 76 4.3 討論 82 第5章 結論與建議 84 5.1 研究結論 84 5.2 研究限制 86 5.3 未來發展方向 87 參考文獻 88

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