簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 歐怡汝
Ou, Yi-Ju
論文名稱: 彩券銷售與股票崩盤之關聯
The Relationship between Lottery and Stock Price Crash
指導教授: 周庭楷
Chou, Ting-Kai
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計學系
Department of Accountancy
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 38
中文關鍵詞: 賭博文化風險偏好董事會監管機制股票崩盤風險
外文關鍵詞: gambling culture, risk preference, board of directors' regulatory mechanisms, stock price crash risk
相關次數: 點閱:102下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本文研究賭博文化與股票崩盤之關聯性,先前文獻指出賭博文化反映一地區之風險偏好,該風氣將影響管理階層特質及其決策,倘若管理階層越偏好風險,則越不願嚴格遵守行為準則、保守之會計政策,故從事高風險投資並積壓壞消息,最終導致股票崩盤風險。惟以另一脈觀點論之,管理階層具偏好風險之特質,則董事會將強化監管機制,故企業之股票崩盤風險隨之下降。本研究採用西元1995年至2019年美國各州彩券銷售資料衡量賭博文化,實證結果顯示一地區賭博文化與企業之股票崩盤風險並未有顯著關係,表示賭博文化提升股票崩盤之觀點,與賭博文化使董事會加強監管機制,進而降低股票崩盤之觀點可能同時存在,並產生抵銷效果,此外,賭博文化與股票崩盤風險於大規模企業中具負顯著關係,意即相較於小規模企業,大規模企業可能有較完善之監管制度,進而降低股票崩盤,另外將樣本依管理階層任期長短、法人持股數分別區分為「長任期與短任期」、「高法人持股與低法人持股」,以衡量管理階層權力及外部監管機制之影響,實證結果顯示無論管理階層權力、外部監管機制強弱,一地區之賭博文化與企業之股票崩盤風險間均無顯著關係。

    This paper examines the relationship between gambling culture and the risk of stock price crashes. Gambling culture reflects the risk preferences of a region, which in turn influence the characteristics and decision-making of executives. They exhibit a higher preference for risk, ultimately leading to the risk of stock price crashes. However, an alternative viewpoint suggests that risk-seeking executives raise concerns among the board of directors, thereby strengthening oversight and reducing the risk of stock price crashes. In this study, we measure gambling culture using lottery sales data from various states in the United States from 1995 to 2019. The empirical results indicate that there is no significant relationship between gambling culture and the risk of stock price crashes. This finding suggests that both perspectives may coexist and offset each other. Furthermore, gambling culture exhibits a negative and significant relationship with the risk of stock price crashes in large-scale enterprises, implying that larger companies may have more strict regulatory systems in place to mitigate stock price crashes. Additionally, we divide the sample based on the tenure of executives and corporate institutional ownership percentage as proxies for the influence of executive power and external regulatory mechanisms. The empirical results indicate no significant relationship between gambling culture and the risk of stock price crashes, regardless of the strength of executive power or external regulatory mechanisms.

    摘要 I 目錄 VII 表目錄 VIII 第一章 緒論 1 第二章 文獻回顧 3 第一節 環境文化風氣與管理階層特質 3 第二節 因應管理階層特質之監管措施 4 第三節 企業股票崩盤風險之影響因素 5 第四節 假說建立-彩券銷售數與股票崩盤風險 7 第三章 研究方法 9 第一節 研究樣本選取與資料來源 9 第二節 股票崩盤風險之衡量 9 第三節 彩券銷售之衡量 11 第四節 實證迴歸模型 11 第四章 研究結果分析 14 第一節 敘述性統計分析 14 第二節 相關性分析 16 第三節 迴歸結果分析 18 第四節 穩健性分析 19 第五節 額外分析 25 第五章 結論與研究限制 32 參考文獻 34

    Adler, N. J., & Gundersen, A. (2001). International Dimensions of Organizational Behavior. South-Western Cincinnati, OH.
    Akerlof, G. A. (1980). A Theory of Social Custom, of Which Unemployment May Be One Consequence. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 94(4), 749-775.
    Allen, M. P. (1981). Managerial Power and Tenure in the Large Corporation. Social Forces, 60(2), 482-494.
    An, Z., Chen, C., Naiker, V., & Wang, J. (2020). Does Media Coverage Deter Firms from Withholding Bad News? Evidence from Stock Price Crash Risk. Journal of Corporate Finance, 64, 101664.
    Andreou, P. C., Antoniou, C., Horton, J., & Louca, C. (2016). Corporate Governance and Firm‐Specific Stock Price Crashes. European Financial Management, 22(5), 916-956.
    Andreou, P. C., Louca, C., & Petrou, A. P. (2017). Ceo Age and Stock Price Crash Risk. Review of Finance, 21(3), 1287-1325.
    Ashbaugh‐Skaife, H., Collins, D. W., Kinney Jr, W. R., & LaFond, R. (2009). The Effect of Sox Internal Control Deficiencies on Firm Risk and Cost of Equity. Journal of Accounting Research, 47(1), 1-43.
    Beaulieu, P. R. (2001). The Effects of Judgments of New Clients' Integrity Upon Risk Judgments, Audit Evidence, and Fees. Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory, 20(2), 85-99.
    Benmelech, E., Kandel, E., & Veronesi, P. (2010). Stock-Based Compensation and Ceo (Dis) Incentives. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125(4), 1769-1820.
    Berg, J. E., Dickhaut, J. W., & Rietz, T. A. (2003). Preference Reversals and Induced Risk Preferences: Evidence for Noisy Maximization. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 27(2), 139-170.
    Berg, J. E., Rietz, T. A., & Dickhaut, J. W. (2008). On the Performance of the Lottery Procedure for Controlling Risk Preferences. Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, 1, 1087-1097.
    Bertrand, M., & Schoar, A. (2003). Managing with Style: The Effect of Managers on Firm Policies. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4), 1169-1208.
    Boivie, S., Graffin, S. D., & Gentry, R. J. (2016). Understanding the Direction, Magnitude, and Joint Effects of Reputation When Multiple Actors’ Reputations Collide. Academy of Management Journal, 59(1), 188-206.
    Brochet, F., Miller, G. S., Naranjo, P., & Yu, G. (2019). Managers' Cultural Background and Disclosure Attributes. The Accounting Review, 94(3), 57-86.
    Callen, J. L., & Fang, X. (2013). Institutional Investor Stability and Crash Risk: Monitoring Versus Short-Termism? Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(8), 3047-3063.
    Callen, J. L., & Fang, X. (2015). Religion and Stock Price Crash Risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 50(1-2), 169-195.
    Callen, J. L., & Fang, X. (2020). Local Gambling Norms and Audit Pricing. Journal of Business Ethics, 164, 151-173.
    Cecchetti, I., Allegrini, V., & Monteduro, F. (2018). The Role of Boards of Directors in Transparency and Integrity in State-Owned Enterprises. In Hybridity in the Governance and Delivery of Public Services (Vol. 7, pp. 53-87). Emerald Publishing Limited.
    Chae, S.-J., Nakano, M., & Fujitani, R. (2020). Financial Reporting Opacity, Audit Quality and Crash Risk: Evidence from Japan. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(1), 9-17.
    Chang, X., Chen, Y., & Zolotoy, L. (2017). Stock Liquidity and Stock Price Crash Risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 52(4), 1605-1637.
    Chen, J., Hong, H., & Stein, J. C. (2001). Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past Returns, and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 61(3), 345-381.
    Chen, Y., Podolski, E. J., Rhee, S. G., & Veeraraghavan, M. (2014). Local Gambling Preferences and Corporate Innovative Success. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 49(1), 77-106.
    Chen, Y., Fan, Q., Yang, X., & Zolotoy, L. (2021). Ceo Early-Life Disaster Experience and Stock Price Crash Risk. Journal of Corporate Finance, 68, 101928.
    Chiang, H. T., & He, L. J. (2010). Board Supervision Capability and Information Transparency. Corporate Governance: An International Review, 18(1), 18-31.
    Christensen, D. M., Jones, K. L., & Kenchington, D. G. (2018). Gambling Attitudes and Financial Misreporting. Contemporary Accounting Research, 35(3), 1229-1261.
    DeFond, M. L., Hung, M., Li, S., & Li, Y. (2015). Does Mandatory Ifrs Adoption Affect Crash Risk? The Accounting Review, 90(1), 265-299.
    Desai, M. A., & Dharmapala, D. (2006). Corporate Tax Avoidance and High-Powered Incentives. Journal of Financial Economics, 79(1), 145-179.
    Dikolli, S. S., Keusch, T., Mayew, W. J., & Steffen, T. D. (2020). Ceo Behavioral Integrity, Auditor Responses, and Firm Outcomes. The Accounting Review, 95(2), 61-88.
    Dobrzynski, J. (1993). Relationship Investing. Business Week, 3309(15), 68-75.
    Dou, Y., Hope, O. K., Thomas, W. B., & Zou, Y. (2018). Blockholder Exit Threats and Financial Reporting Quality. Contemporary Accounting Research, 35(2), 1004-1028.
    Faff, R., Mulino, D., & Chai, D. (2008). On the Linkage between Financial Risk Tolerance and Risk Aversion. Journal of Financial Research, 31(1), 1-23.
    Fama, E. F., & Jensen, M. C. (1983). Separation of Ownership and Control. The Journal of Law and Economics, 26(2), 301-325.
    Festinger, L. (1962). A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance (Vol. 2). Stanford University Press.
    Fu, X., & Zhang, Z. (2019). Cfo Cultural Background and Stock Price Crash Risk. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 62, 74-93.
    Hambrick, D. C., & Mason, P. A. (1984). Upper Echelons: The Organization as a Reflection of Its Top Managers. Academy of Management Review, 9(2), 193-206.
    Haynes, K. T., & Hillman, A. (2010). The Effect of Board Capital and Ceo Power on Strategic Change. Strategic Management Journal, 31(11), 1145-1163.
    Hemingway, C. A., & Maclagan, P. W. (2004). Managers' Personal Values as Drivers of Corporate Social Responsibility. Journal of Business Ethics, 50(1), 33-44.
    Hilary, G., & Hui, K. W. (2009). Does Religion Matter in Corporate Decision Making in America? Journal of Financial Economics, 93(3), 455-473.
    Hong, H., & Stein, J. C. (2003). Differences of Opinion, Short-Sales Constraints, and Market Crashes. The Review of Financial Studies, 16(2), 487-525.
    Hutton, A. P., Marcus, A. J., & Tehranian, H. (2009). Opaque Financial Reports, R2, and Crash Risk. Journal of Financial Economics, 94(1), 67-86.
    Jha, A., & Chen, Y. (2015). Audit Fees and Social Capital. The Accounting Review, 90(2), 611-639.
    Ji, Q., Quan, X., Yin, H., & Yuan, Q. (2021). Gambling Preferences and Stock Price Crash Risk: Evidence from China. Journal of Banking & Finance, 128, 106158.
    Jin, L., & Myers, S. C. (2006). R2 around the World: New Theory and New Tests. Journal of Financial Economics, 79(2), 257-292.
    Kanagaretnam, K., Lim, C. Y., & Lobo, G. J. (2014). Influence of National Culture on Accounting Conservatism and Risk-Taking in the Banking Industry. The Accounting Review, 89(3), 1115-1149.
    Khajavi, S., & Zare, A. (2016). The Effect of Audit Quality on Stock Crash Risk in Tehran Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(1), 20-25.
    Kim, J.-B., Li, Y., & Zhang, L. (2011a). Cfos Versus Ceos: Equity Incentives and Crashes. Journal of Financial Economics, 101(3), 713-730.
    Kim, J.-B., Li, Y., & Zhang, L. (2011b). Corporate Tax Avoidance and Stock Price Crash Risk: Firm-Level Analysis. Journal of Financial Economics, 100(3), 639-662.
    Kim, J. B., Wang, Z., & Zhang, L. (2016). Ceo Overconfidence and Stock Price Crash Risk. Contemporary Accounting Research, 33(4), 1720-1749.
    Kim, J. B., & Zhang, L. (2016). Accounting Conservatism and Stock Price Crash Risk: Firm‐Level Evidence. Contemporary Accounting Research, 33(1), 412-441.
    Kim, Y., Park, M. S., & Wier, B. (2012). Is Earnings Quality Associated with Corporate Social Responsibility? The Accounting Review, 87(3), 761-796.
    Klein, A. (1998). Firm Performance and Board Committee Structure. The Journal of Law and Economics, 41(1), 275-304.
    Kumar, A., Page, J. K., & Spalt, O. G. (2016). Gambling and Comovement. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 51(1), 85-111.
    Kwok, C. C., & Tadesse, S. (2006). National Culture and Financial Systems. Journal of International Business Studies, 37(2), 227-247.
    Lee, W., & Wang, L. (2017). Do Political Connections Affect Stock Price Crash Risk? Firm-Level Evidence from China. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 48(3), 643-676.
    Li, Y., & Zeng, Y. (2019). The Impact of Top Executive Gender on Asset Prices: Evidence from Stock Price Crash Risk. Journal of Corporate Finance, 58, 528-550.
    Mahajan, A., & Toh, S. M. (2017). Group Cultural Values and Political Skills: A Situationist Perspective on Interpersonal Citizenship Behaviors. Journal of International Business Studies, 48(1), 113-121.
    Masclet, D., Colombier, N., Denant-Boemont, L., & Loheac, Y. (2009). Group and Individual Risk Preferences: A Lottery-Choice Experiment with Self-Employed and Salaried Workers. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 70(3), 470-484.
    Murphy, A. L. (2005). Lotteries in the 1690s: Investment or Gamble? Financial History Review, 12(2), 227-246.
    Pan, Y., Siegel, S., & Wang, T. Y. (2017). Corporate Risk Culture. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 52(6), 2327-2367.
    Pollock, T. G., Lashley, K., Rindova, V. P., & Han, J.-H. (2019). Which of These Things Are Not Like the Others? Comparing the Rational, Emotional, and Moral Aspects of Reputation, Status, Celebrity, and Stigma. Academy of Management Annals, 13(2), 444-478.
    Rindova, V. P., Williamson, I. O., Petkova, A. P., & Sever, J. M. (2005). Being Good or Being Known: An Empirical Examination of the Dimensions, Antecedents, and Consequences of Organizational Reputation. Academy of Management Journal, 48(6), 1033-1049.
    Schein, E. H. (1991). What Is Culture. Newbury Park, CA: Sage, 243-253.
    Schipper, K. (1989). Earnings Management. Accounting Horizons, 3(4), 91.
    Shleifer, A. (1986). Do Demand Curves for Stocks Slope Down? The Journal of Finance, 41(3), 579-590.
    Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1986). Large Shareholders and Corporate Control. Journal of Political Economy, 94(3, Part 1), 461-488.
    Simons, T. (2002). Behavioral Integrity: The Perceived Alignment between Managers' Words and Deeds as a Research Focus. Organization Science, 13(1), 18-35.
    Thomas, A. S., & Simerly, R. L. (1994). The Chief Executive Officer and Corporate Social Performance: An Interdisciplinary Examination. Journal of Business Ethics, 13(12), 959-968.
    Tong, L., Wu, B., & Zhang, M. (2022). Local Gambling Attitudes and Audit Quality: Evidence from Audit Adjustments. Abacus.
    Weisbach, M. S. (1988). Outside Directors and Ceo Turnover. Journal of Financial Economics, 20, 431-460.
    Xu, N., Jiang, X., Chan, K. C., & Yi, Z. (2013). Analyst Coverage, Optimism, and Stock Price Crash Risk: Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 25, 217-239.

    無法下載圖示 校內:2028-06-19公開
    校外:2028-06-19公開
    電子論文尚未授權公開,紙本請查館藏目錄
    QR CODE